After two weeks of play, several of the preseason favorites remain front and center in the NFL playoff picture.
However, other expected contenders haven’t quite looked the part thus far. NFL playoff odds have shifted and will continue to do so with each passing week.
As we get set for NFL Week 3 games, here’s what the seeds and matchups would look like if the postseason started today using the current playoff odds as a guide.
AFC playoff odds in Week 3
The table below has the latest playoff odds for all 16 AFC teams from bet365 Sportsbook, along with the implied probability for each team to reach the postseason and that team’s opponent for this week.
| Team | Playoff Odds | Implied Probability* | This Week |
| Kansas City Chiefs | -3000 | 92.42% | vs. Falcons |
| Houston Texans | -550 | 80.81% | vs. Vikings |
| Buffalo Bills | -500 | 79.58% | vs. Jaguars |
| New York Jets | -155 | 58.05% | vs. Patriots |
| Baltimore Ravens | -140 | 55.71% | vs. Cowboys |
| Cincinnati Bengals | -140 | 55.71% | vs. Commanders |
| Los Angeles Chargers | -115 | 51.08% | vs. Steelers |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | +115 | 44.42% | vs. Chargers |
| Cleveland Browns | +170 | 35.37% | vs. Giants |
| Miami Dolphins | +175 | 34.73% | vs. Seahawks |
| Las Vegas Raiders | +250 | 27.29% | vs. Panthers |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | +270 | 25.81% | vs. Bills |
| Indianapolis Colts | +300 | 23.87% | vs. Bears |
| New England Patriots | +550 | 14.69% | vs. Jets |
| Tennessee Titans | +600 | 13.64% | vs. Packers |
| Denver Broncos | +1300 | 6.82% | vs. Buccaneers |
Our implied probability calculation uses the sportsbook’s odds minus the vigorish charged by that sportsbook. An average online gambling calculator will provide you with the implied probability based on just the betting odds. By going a step further and accounting for the vig, we find a true implied probability in relation to the sportsbook’s odds.
The defending champion Chiefs are 2-0 following a pair of close wins over the Ravens and Bengals. The Texans and Bills are also unblemished, while Baltimore enters Week 3 still searching for its first victory.
- Bye: (1) Chiefs
- (2) Texans vs. (7) Chargers
- (3) Bills vs. (6) Bengals
- (4) Ravens vs. (5) Jets
The Jets moved to 1-1 with a road win over the Titans. They’ll be in the Thursday Night Football spotlight this week versus the Patriots, who also are 1-1.
The Ravens get the nod over the 0-2 Bengals as they hold a slight edge in AFC North division winner odds. Cincinnati has dropped two close decisions to the Patriots and Chiefs.
The Chargers have opened the Jim Harbaugh era with a 2-0 record. They’re on the road this week to face the team right behind them in playoff odds, the 2-0 Steelers.
The winner of that AFC vs. AFC tilt could rise even further than seventh in the odds, depending on the rest of the week’s results. The Browns and Raiders have risen slightly following victories, with the Dolphins, Jaguars, and Colts dropping after defeats.
At BetMGM Sportsbook, the Chiefs remain in the lead for betting handle to win the AFC at 28.7%. The Jets (12.1%) are next, followed by the Ravens (8.2%).
NFC playoff odds in Week 3
Playoff odds for all 16 NFC teams from bet365 Sportsbook are in the table below, along with each squad’s implied probability of reaching the postseason and this week’s opponent.
| Team | Playoff Odds | Implied Probability* | This Week |
| San Francisco 49ers | -500 | 77.24% | vs. Rams |
| Philadelphia Eagles | -400 | 74.19% | vs. Saints |
| Detroit Lions | -210 | 62.79% | vs. Cardinals |
| New Orleans Saints | -200 | 61.79% | vs. Eagles |
| Dallas Cowboys | -180 | 59.59% | vs. Ravens |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | -160 | 57.04% | vs. Broncos |
| Seattle Seahawks | -140 | 54.07% | vs. Dolphins |
| Atlanta Falcons | -140 | 54.07% | vs. Chiefs |
| Minnesota Vikings | +100 | 46.35% | vs. Texans |
| Green Bay Packers | +120 | 42.13% | vs. Titans |
| Chicago Bears | +150 | 37.08% | vs. Colts |
| Arizona Cardinals | +210 | 29.90% | vs. Lions |
| Los Angeles Rams | +400 | 18.54% | vs. 49ers |
| Washington Commanders | +425 | 17.66% | vs. Bengals |
| New York Giants | +2200 | 4.03% | vs. Browns |
| Carolina Panthers | +2500 | 3.57% | vs. Raiders |
Our implied probability calculation uses the sportsbook’s odds minus the vigorish charged by that sportsbook. An average online gambling calculator will provide you with the implied probability based on just the betting odds. By going a step further and accounting for the vig, we find a true implied probability in relation to the sportsbook’s odds.
The 49ers remain atop the NFC odds board despite dropping to 1-1 with an upset loss to the Vikings. The Eagles and Lions also lost last week to fall to 1-1, while the surging Saints improved to 2-0.
- Bye: (1) 49ers
- (2) Eagles vs. (7) Seahawks
- (3) Lions vs. (6) Buccaneers
- (4) Saints vs. (5) Cowboys
New Orleans had its way with the Cowboys in a 44-19 victory. Dallas will try to rebound at home versus the Ravens on Sunday.
The Buccaneers are 2-0 following an upset win over the Lions. The Seahawks and Falcons are tied in betting odds, but Seattle gets the edge with a record of 2-0.
The 1-1 Falcons took down the Eagles last week. They’ll be at home for a Sunday Night Football date with the Chiefs.
The featured NFC vs. NFC matchup of the week will see the Eagles travel to face the Saints. A New Orleans win could push the Saints further up the charts, while Philadelphia could be first or second on the board with a victory depending on the rest of the week’s results.
The Vikings and Packers are among this week’s risers, while the Rams were a big tumbler following a decisive loss to the Cardinals. The Lions are still tops with 42.3% of betting handle at BetMGM to win the NFC.
Projected Super Bowl 59 matchups for Week 3
As we get ready for Week 3 action, Super Bowl odds continue to evolve. At most legal sports betting sites, just five teams have odds of +1300 or less to win the big game.
- Chiefs (+500)
- 49ers (+650)
- Bills (+1200)
- Texans (+1200)
- Eagles (+1300)
Based on the latest odds, potential matchups for the 2025 Super Bowl include the following:
- Chiefs vs. 49ers
- Chiefs vs. Eagles
- 49ers vs. Bills
- 49ers vs. Texans
- Bills vs. Eagles
- Texans vs. Eagles
Right behind the top five favorites are the Lions (+1400) and Ravens (+1500). The next two names on the board are the Cowboys (+2000) and Bengals (+2000), followed by the Jets (+2200).
At BetMGM, the following teams have attracted the most betting handle to win Super Bowl 59: the Chiefs (16.5%), Lions (16%), and 49ers (8.8%).
