NFL Playoff Picture & Possible Playoff Matchups Heading Into Week 7


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NFL Playoff Picture & Possible Playoff Matchups Heading Into Week 7

After six weeks of regular season action, the NFL playoff picture continues to come into focus. 

Based on the latest NFL playoff odds, there are clear favorites to reach the postseason in both conferences. Behind the leaders, the lines suggest that the battle for the final few playoff spots could be highly competitive. 

Here’s what the seeds and matchups would look like if the postseason started today using the current playoff odds as a guide, along with the NFL Week 7 matchups for each team.   

AFC playoff odds in Week 7

The table below has the latest playoff odds for AFC teams from bet365 Sportsbook, along with the implied probability for each team to reach the postseason and that team’s opponent for this week.  

TeamPlayoff OddsImplied Probability*This Week 
Kansas City Chiefs-3000093.98%vs. 49ers
Baltimore Ravens-180089.33%vs. Buccaneers
Houston Texans-140088.01%vs. Packers
Buffalo Bills-140088.01%vs. Titans
Los Angeles Chargers-20062.86%vs. Cardinals
Pittsburgh Steelers-16558.71%vs. Jets
Cincinnati Bengals+11044.90%vs. Browns
New York Jets+13540.13%vs. Steelers
Indianapolis Colts+15037.72%vs. Dolphins
Miami Dolphins+19531.96%vs. Colts
Denver Broncos +25026.94%vs. Saints
Jacksonville Jaguars+70011.79%vs. Patriots
Las Vegas Raiders+11007.86%vs. Rams
Tennessee Titans+11007.86%vs. Bills
Cleveland Browns+18004.96%vs. Bengals
New England Patriots+18004.96%vs. Jaguars

Our implied probability calculation uses the sportsbook’s odds minus the vigorish charged by that sportsbook. An average online gambling calculator will provide you with the implied probability based on just the betting odds. By going a step further and accounting for the vig, we find a true implied probability in relation to the sportsbook’s odds.

The Chiefs (5-0) continue to hold the top spot on the odds board as they return from a bye week. Teams two through four remain the same as last week, with the Ravens in second, followed by the Texans and Bills. Here is what the first round of the playoffs would look like, based on the odds, if the season ended today:

The Chargers jump from seventh to fifth in this week’s projection following a road win over the Broncos. The Steelers fell one place after taking down the Raiders. 

The Bengals are a new arrival in the bracket, replacing the Jets. Both clubs are 2-4 after entering the season among the top 10 in preseason Super Bowl odds

Behind the top four, the odds for the final three spots are competitive. Conference showdowns that could move the needle this week include the Jets versus the Steelers on Sunday Night Football

At BetMGM Sportsbook, the Ravens have the most betting handle to win the AFC at 50%. Meanwhile, the Chiefs have the largest share of tickets at 18.6%. 

NFC playoff odds in Week 7

Bet365 Sportsbook’s playoff odds for the NFC are in the table below, along with the probability that those odds imply for each team to make the playoffs and the matchups for the week.

TeamPlayoff OddsImplied Probability*This Week 
Minnesota Vikings-100084.85%vs. Lions
Atlanta Falcons-36073.04%vs. Seahawks
Detroit Lions-36073.04%vs. Vikings
San Francisco 49ers-29069.40%vs. Chiefs
Washington Commanders-22564.62%vs. Panthers
Philadelphia Eagles-18560.59%vs. Giants
Green Bay Packers-18560.59%vs. Texans
Tampa Bay Buccaneers-14054.45%vs. Ravens
Chicago Bears+16035.90%Bye week
Dallas Cowboys+18033.33%Bye week
Seattle Seahawks+23028.28%vs. Falcons
Arizona Cardinals+32022.22%vs. Chargers
New Orleans Saints+42517.78%vs. Broncos
Los Angeles Rams+60013.33%Vs. Raiders 
New York Giants+15005.83%vs. Eagles
Carolina Panthers+3300 2.75%vs. Commanders

Our implied probability calculation uses the sportsbook’s odds minus the vigorish charged by that sportsbook. An average online gambling calculator will provide you with the implied probability based on just the betting odds. By going a step further and accounting for the vig, we find a true implied probability in relation to the sportsbook’s odds.

The Vikings are back from a bye at 5-0 and remain atop the odds board. The Falcons are up to the two spot, followed by the 49ers in third and the Commanders in fourth. 

The Lions are one of the top teams in odds to make the postseason but land in the five spot due to trailing Minnesota, the projected top seed, in the NFC North chase. 

The Eagles were the second seed in last week’s projection. They’re now sixth, with the Commanders ahead of them in both playoff odds and the NFC East standings. 

The Packers are holding off the Buccaneers in the race for the final playoff slot. In conference action to keep an eye on this week, the Vikings will host the Lions.

The winner of that matchup could be the top seed in next week’s projection. At BetMGM, Detroit has attracted the most betting handle to win the conference at 39.7%.  

Projected Super Bowl 59 matchups for Week 7

As we get set for Week 7 of the NFL season, Super Bowl odds continue to evolve. At most legal betting sites, just four teams have odds of +1000 or less to win it all. 

Based on the latest lines, potential matchups for the 2025 Super Bowl include the following: 

All four favorites are in action this week. There’s a potential Super Bowl preview on Sunday — and a rematch of last season’s big game — as the Chiefs will take on the 49ers in San Francisco. 

At most NFL betting sites, just four other teams have current odds of less than +2000 to win Super Bowl 59: the Bills (+1200), Texans (+1200), Vikings (+1300), and Eagles (+1600). 

Photo by Associated Press/Jeff Dean