While only one week of regular season action is in the books, it’s never too early to look ahead at the NFL playoff picture.
Many of the preseason favorites looked the part during opening week, while other squads opened with disappointments. NFL playoff odds have shifted in response to the results and will continue to do so all season long.
As we get set for NFL Week 2 action, here’s what the seeds and matchups would look like if the playoffs started today using the current betting odds as a guide.
AFC playoff odds in Week 2
The table below has the latest playoff odds for all 16 AFC teams from bet365 Sportsbook, along with the implied probability for each team to reach the postseason and their opponent for this week.
| Team | Playoff Odds | Implied Probability* | This Week |
| Kansas City Chiefs | -1600 | 89.26% | vs. Bengals |
| Houston Texans | -330 | 72.79% | vs. Bears |
| Baltimore Ravens | -250 | 67.75% | vs. Raiders |
| Miami Dolphins | -220 | 65.20% | vs. Bills |
| Buffalo Bills | -200 | 63.23% | vs. Dolphins |
| New York Jets | -155 | 57.65% | vs. Titans |
| Cincinnati Bengals | -130 | 53.61% | vs. Chiefs |
| Los Angeles Chargers | +100 | 47.42% | vs. Panthers |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | +150 | 37.94% | vs. Browns |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | +175 | 34.49% | vs. Broncos |
| Indianapolis Colts | +190 | 32.70% | vs. Packers |
| Cleveland Browns | +225 | 29.18% | vs. Jaguars |
| Las Vegas Raiders | +550 | 14.59% | vs. Ravens |
| Tennessee Titans | +600 | 13.55% | vs. Jets |
| New England Patriots | +750 | 11.16% | vs. Seahawks |
| Denver Broncos | +900 | 9.48% | vs. Steelers |
Our implied probability calculation uses the sportsbook’s odds minus the vigorish charged by that sportsbook. An average online gambling calculator will provide you with the implied probability based on just the betting odds. By going a step further and accounting for the vig, we find a true implied probability in relation to the sportsbook’s odds.
The defending champion Chiefs opened at 1-0 with a 27-20 home win over the Ravens. Those two squads met in last season’s AFC title game, with Kansas City getting a 17-10 road win.
The Texans kicked off with a 29-27 victory over the Colts. Based on the current odds, here’s how the AFC playoff seeds could shake out.
- Bye: (1) Chiefs
- (2) Texans vs. (7) Bengals
- (3) Ravens vs. (6) Jets
- (4) Dolphins vs. (5) Bills
Interestingly, three of the seven projected seeds opened the campaign with losses. Beyond the Ravens, the Jets lost to the 49ers, and the Bengals were upset by the Patriots.
The latest AFC East division winner odds have the Dolphins slightly ahead of the Bills. We’ll get a better sense of the early season hierarchy when the two teams meet on Thursday Night Football.
Behind the Bengals in the battle for the seventh seed are the Chargers. Los Angeles opened the Jim Harbaugh era with a 22-10 home win over the Raiders.
In addition to TNF, there are a few other AFC vs. AFC games that could shake up the rankings. The Bengals face a stiff test on the road against the Chiefs, while the Browns and Jaguars will square off in a battle of winless teams.
At BetMGM Sportsbook so far, the Chiefs have received the most betting interest to win the conference, attracting 18.4% of tickets and 29.2% of total betting handle to take down the AFC.
NFC playoff odds in Week 2
Playoff odds for all 16 NFC teams from bet365 Sportsbook are in the table below, along with each squad’s implied probability of reaching the postseason and this week’s opponent.
| Team | Playoff Odds | Implied Probability* | This Week |
| San Francisco 49ers | -1000 | 83.87% | vs. Vikings |
| Philadelphia Eagles | -600 | 79.08% | vs. Falcons |
| Detroit Lions | -380 | 73.04% | vs. Buccaneers |
| Dallas Cowboys | -380 | 73.04% | vs. Saints |
| Atlanta Falcons | -130 | 52.15% | vs. Eagles |
| New Orleans Saints | +100 | 46.13% | vs. Cowboys |
| Seattle Seahawks | +100 | 46.13% | vs. Patriots |
| Chicago Bears | +110 | 43.93% | vs. Texans |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +110 | 43.93% | vs. Lions |
| Los Angeles Rams | +150 | 36.90% | vs. Cardinals |
| Minnesota Vikings | +160 | 35.48% | vs. 49ers |
| Green Bay Packers | +175 | 33.59% | vs. Colts |
| Arizona Cardinals | +350 | 20.50% | vs. Rams |
| Washington Commanders | +450 | 16.77% | vs. Giants |
| New York Giants | +1000 | 8.39% | vs. Commanders |
| Carolina Panthers | +1200 | 7.10% | vs. Chargers |
Our implied probability calculation uses the sportsbook’s odds minus the vigorish charged by that sportsbook. An average online gambling calculator will provide you with the implied probability based on just the betting odds. By going a step further and accounting for the vig, we find a true implied probability in relation to the sportsbook’s odds.
The 49ers kicked off the season with a 32-19 home win over the Jets. The Eagles opened with a 34-29 victory over the Packers in Brazil.
The Lions needed overtime to get by the visiting Rams. The Cowboys had a relatively easy time in a road win over the Browns as two-point underdogs.
- Bye: (1) 49ers
- (2) Eagles vs. (7) Seahawks
- (3) Lions vs. (6) Saints
- (4) Falcons vs. (5) Cowboys
The Falcons came up short in a home loss to the Steelers but remain the favorites to win the NFC South. They edge out the Cowboys for the fourth seed as a result.
While only one week is in the books, the early playoff betting odds suggest that it could be a competitive race for the final two seeds. The Saints, Seahawks, Bears, and Buccaneers are only separated by a few ticks, with three other clubs not far behind.
The Packers had a rough opening week, and their odds took a hit as a result. In addition to the loss to the Eagles, Jordan Love suffered an MCL injury and could miss a few weeks.
There are several intriguing conference battles on the way this week, including the 49ers versus the Vikings. San Francisco is a -5.5 road favorite in Minnesota, which opened at 1-0 with a 28-6 road win over the Giants.
While the 49ers are the conference favorites, another team is attracting the most betting attention at BetMGM. The Lions account for 34.5% of tickets and 41.1% of the total handle at the online sportsbook for bets to win the conference.
Projected Super Bowl 59 matchups for Week 2
As we get set for Week 2, Super Bowl odds continue to evolve. At most legal online sportsbooks, just six teams have odds of +1500 or less to win the big game.
- Chiefs (+500)
- 49ers (+550)
- Lions (+1100)
- Eagles (+1100)
- Ravens (+1200)
- Texans (+1400)
Based on the latest odds, potential matchups for the 2025 Super Bowl include the following:
- Chiefs vs. 49ers
- Chiefs vs. Lions
- Chiefs vs. Eagles
- 49ers vs. Ravens
- 49ers vs. Texans
- Lions vs. Ravens
- Lions vs. Texans
- Eagles vs. Ravens
- Eagles vs. Texans
To date, the most heavily bet Super Bowl 59 matchup at BetMGM is Chiefs vs. Lions at odds of +2000. Teams that are just behind the top six in early odds include the Bills (+1700) and Cowboys (+1700).
