The NFL playoff picture continues to evolve as we get set for Week 12. According to the latest odds, the Chiefs continue to be the favorite on the AFC side, while three teams top the charts in the NFC: Eagles, Lions, and 49ers.
Behind the leaders, competitive races are underway for the remaining spots. Each week, we review the current NFL playoff odds and examine what the seeds and matchups would look like if the playoffs started today, based on the latest lines.
AFC playoff odds in Week 12
The table below has the latest playoff odds for all 16 AFC teams from Caesars Sportsbook, along with the lines for their Week 12 games from various NFL betting sites.
| Team | Playoff Odds | Implied Probability* | This Week |
| Kansas City Chiefs | –10000 | 91.66% | vs. Raiders |
| Baltimore Ravens | –5000 | 90.76% | vs. Chargers |
| Miami Dolphins | –4000 | 90.32% | vs. Jets |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | –1400 | 86.41% | vs. Texans |
| Cleveland Browns | –450 | 75.75% | vs. Broncos |
| Houston Texans | –200 | 61.72% | vs. Jaguars |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | –140 | 54.00% | vs. Bengals |
| Buffalo Bills | +155 | 36.31% | vs. Eagles |
| Indianapolis Colts | +180 | 33.06% | vs. Buccaneers |
| Denver Broncos | +260 | 25.72% | vs. Browns |
| Los Angeles Chargers | +450 | 16.83% | vs. Ravens |
| Cincinnati Bengals | +550 | 14.24% | vs. Steelers |
| New York Jets | +1000 | 8.42% | vs. Dolphins |
| Tennessee Titans | +1500 | 5.79% | vs. Panthers |
| Las Vegas Raiders | +1600 | 5.45% | vs. Chiefs |
| New England Patriots | +2500 | 3.56% | vs. Giants |
*Our implied probability calculation uses the sportsbook’s odds minus the vigorish charged by that sportsbook. An average online gambling calculator will provide you with the implied probability based on just the betting odds. By going a step further and accounting for the vig, we find a true implied probability in relation to the sportsbook’s odds.
The Chiefs returned from a bye week with a loss to drop to 7-3, but the team remains a sizable favorite to win the AFC West and reach the postseason. The Ravens, Dolphins, and Jaguars all saw a boost in odds following victories last week. Here’s how the seeds would shake out in the AFC based on the latest postseason betting odds.
- Bye: (1) Kansas City Chiefs
- (2) Baltimore Ravens vs. (7) Pittsburgh Steelers
- (3) Miami Dolphins vs. (6) Houston Texans
- (4) Jacksonville Jaguars vs. (5) Cleveland Browns
The Browns are without Deshaun Watson for the rest of the season, but they still have a record of 7-3 following the win over the Steelers. Pittsburgh is 6-4 and holds the lead for the seventh spot in the AFC for now. The Texans are 6-4 and continue to impress after entering the campaign with expectations of being among the league’s worst.
The Bills are 6-5 and knocking at the postseason door, but that’s not great news as the club entered the season as one of the top favorites to reach the playoffs. The Bengals were in the mix as far as the odds were concerned last week, but those numbers have plummeted in the wake of Joe Burrow being lost for the season.
In AFC vs. AFC action this week, three games stand out with the potential to shake up the board based on their results: Jaguars vs. Texans in an AFC South battle, the Browns traveling to take on the red-hot Broncos, and the Ravens at the Chargers on this week’s edition of Sunday Night Football.
NFC playoff odds in Week 12
Here are the playoff odds for all 16 NFC teams from Caesars Sportsbook, along with their implied playoff probability and the lines for their Week 12 games.
| Team | Playoff Odds | Implied Probability* | This Week |
| Philadelphia Eagles | -25000 | 95.12% | vs. Bills |
| Detroit Lions | -25000 | 95.12% | vs. Packers |
| San Francisco 49ers | -25000 | 95.12% | vs. Seahawks |
| Dallas Cowboys | -5000 | 93.63% | vs. Commanders |
| Minnesota Vikings | -230 | 66.56% | vs. Bears |
| Seattle Seahawks | -225 | 66.12% | vs. 49ers |
| New Orleans Saints | -190 | 62.57% | vs. Falcons |
| Atlanta Falcons | +190 | 32.93% | vs. Saints |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +190 | 32.93% | vs. Colts |
| Green Bay Packers | +300 | 23.88% | vs. Lions |
| Los Angeles Rams | +500 | 15.92% | vs. Cardinals |
| Washington Commanders | +2000 | 4.55% | vs. Cowboys |
| Chicago Bears | +2000 | 4.55% | vs. Vikings |
| New York Giants | +2500 | 3.67% | vs. Patriots |
| Arizona Cardinals | +2500 | 3.67% | vs. Rams |
| Carolina Panthers | +2500 | 3.67% | vs. Titans |
*Our implied probability calculation uses the sportsbook’s odds minus the vigorish charged by that sportsbook. An average online gambling calculator will provide you with the implied probability based on just the betting odds. By going a step further and accounting for the vig, we find a true implied probability in relation to the sportsbook’s odds.
The Eagles have the NFL’s best record at 9-1, winning over the Chiefs in their first game back from a bye. The Lions are 8-2 following a big comeback at home over the Bears. The 49ers have won two straight following a three-game skid, while the Cowboys continue to lead the chase for the top wild card spot after another impressive victory.
- Bye: (1) Philadelphia Eagles
- (2) Detroit Lions vs. (7) Seattle Seahawks
- (3) San Francisco 49ers vs. (6) Minnesota Vikings
- (4) New Orleans Saints vs. (5) Dallas Cowboys
The Saints remain atop the NFC South standings with a record of 5-5. They take on the second-place Falcons this week in a meeting of two teams returning from a bye. Interestingly, Atlanta and the Buccaneers are the next two teams behind the top seven in the NFC, suggesting that this division chase could be far from over.
The odds like the Vikings’ and Seahawks’ postseason chances, but both clubs head into this week looking to rebound from losses. Trailing well behind are the 4-6 Packers and Rams, but there’s still some time for both teams to make a move. The rest of the NFC squads remain in longshot territory to reach the postseason.
There’s also a trio of NFC vs. NFC games coming up that could have an impact on betting odds. The Lions take on the Packers in NFC North action on Thursday, while the 49ers travel to face the Seahawks in an NFC West battle to cap off Thanksgiving. On Sunday, there’s a potentially pivotal NFC South showdown between the Saints and Falcons.
Projected Super Bowl 58 matchups for Week 12
Betting odds on the winner of Super Bowl 58 continue to shift as we hit the stretch run of the regular season. At most legal online sportsbooks, just five teams have odds of +1000 or less to win the big game.
- Odds to win Super Bowl 58:
- Philadelphia Eagles
- Kansas City Chiefs
- San Francisco 49ers
- Baltimore Ravens
- Miami Dolphins
Based on the latest odds, potential matchups for Super Bowl 58 include the following:
- Eagles vs. Chiefs
- Eagles vs. Ravens
- Eagles vs. Dolphins
- Chiefs vs. 49ers
- 49ers vs. Ravens
- 49ers vs. Dolphins
All five teams are in action this week and are favored to win their respective games, but upsets for any could shake up the odds. Right behind the leaders are two teams that will be in the Thanksgiving Day spotlight: the Lions and Cowboys . Impressive victories for either in front of a national audience could lead to their odds rising.
