As we get set for NFL Week 3, the early season playoff picture continues to come into focus. Preseason favorites, including the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers, remain in fantastic shape as far as the odds are concerned. Other clubs, such as the Cincinnati Bengals, have moved down the board after struggling to begin the campaign.
There has been some movement in the betting odds following last week’s results, and the same will hold true as the remainder of the regular season plays out. On this page, we break down the current NFL playoff odds and take a look at what the seeds and matchups would look like if the playoffs started today using the current odds as a guide.
AFC playoff odds for Week 3
The table below has the latest playoff odds for all 16 AFC teams from Caesars Sportsbook, along with the lines for this week’s games.
| Team | Playoff Odds | Implied Probability* | This Week |
| Kansas City Chiefs | -600 | 81.38% | vs. Bears |
| Miami Dolphins | -380 | 75.17% | vs. Broncos |
| Baltimore Ravens | -320 | 72.34% | vs. Colts |
| Buffalo Bills | -280 | 69.96% | at Commanders |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | -200 | 63.30% | vs. Texans |
| Cleveland Browns | -150 | 56.97% | vs. Titans |
| Cincinnati Bengals | -110 | 49.73% | vs. Rams |
| Tennessee Titans | +140 | 39.56% | at Browns |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | +145 | 38.75% | at Raiders |
| Los Angeles Chargers | +150 | 37.98% | at Vikings |
| Indianapolis Colts | +310 | 23.16% | at Ravens |
| New York Jets | +325 | 22.34% | vs. Patriots |
| Las Vegas Raiders | +350 | 21.10% | vs. Raiders |
| New England Patriots | +360 | 20.64% | at Jets |
| Denver Broncos | +400 | 18.99% | at Dolphins |
| Houston Texans | +1000 | 8.63% | at Jaguars |
*Our implied probability calculation uses the sportsbook’s odds minus the vigorish charged by that sportsbook. An average online gambling calculator will provide you with the implied probability based on just the betting odds. By going a step further and accounting for the vig, we find a true implied probability in relation to the sportsbook’s odds.
The Chiefs entered the season as the top favorite on the AFC side of the bracket, and that’s still the case after the club’s 1-1 start. The Dolphins and Ravens have climbed up the charts after 2-0 starts, while odds for the Bills and Jaguars have fluctuated in response to both opening at 1-1. Here’s how the AFC seeds line up based on the current betting odds:
- Bye: (1) Kansas City Chiefs
- (2) Miami Dolphins vs. (7) Cincinnati Bengals
- (3) Baltimore Ravens vs. (6) Cleveland Browns
- (4) Jacksonville Jaguars vs. (5) Buffalo Bills
The Dolphins have taken the lead over the Bills in AFC East division odds. Over in the AFC North, the Browns took a blow this week as Nick Chubb went down to a season-ending injury during a loss to the Steelers. The Bengals are off to a 0-2 start, and there are concerns that Joe Burrow’s calf injury will continue to be an issue.
Behind the top seven, the Titans, Steelers, and Chargers are next in line and could rise or fall based on what happens this week. Tennessee and Pittsburgh are 1-1, while Los Angeles has opened at 0-2. It’s still early, but the Chargers have a road date with the 0-2 Vikings on Sunday, a game that has a “must-win” feel for both sides.
NFC Playoff Odds Week 3
Here are the playoff odds for all 16 NFC teams from Caesars Sportsbook, along with the implied probability of the club making the playoffs and the lines for their next game.
| Team | Playoff Odds | Implied Probability* | This Week |
| San Francisco 49ers | -1800 | 88.56% | vs. Giants |
| Philadelphia Eagles | -800 | 83.09% | at Buccaneers |
| Dallas Cowboys | -800 | 83.09% | at Cardinals |
| New Orleans Saints | -280 | 68.88% | at Packers |
| Detroit Lions | -210 | 63.32% | vs. Falcons |
| Atlanta Falcons | -170 | 58.86% | at Lions |
| Green Bay Packers | +100 | 46.74% | vs. Saints |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +130 | 40.64% | vs. Eagles |
| Seattle Seahawks | +150 | 37.39% | vs. Panthers |
| Washington Commanders | +220 | 29.21% | at Bills |
| Minnesota Vikings | +250 | 26.71% | vs. Chargers |
| Los Angeles Rams | +280 | 24.60% | at Bengals |
| New York Giants | +360 | 20.32% | at 49ers |
| Chicago Bears | +650 | 12.46% | at Chiefs |
| Carolina Panthers | +700 | 11.68% | at Seahawks |
| Arizona Cardinals | +2000 | 4.45% | vs. Cowboys |
*Our implied probability calculation uses the sportsbook’s odds minus the vigorish charged by that sportsbook. An average online gambling calculator will provide you with the implied probability based on just the betting odds. By going a step further and accounting for the vig, we find a true implied probability in relation to the sportsbook’s odds.
As far as the betting odds are concerned, there are three clear favorites on the NFC side: 49ers, Cowboys, and Eagles. All three are off to 2-0 starts. San Francisco and Dallas have looked every bit the part of a serious contender, while Philadelphia has had to dig for its two victories. Here’s what the NFC matchups would look like based on the latest betting lines:
- Bye: (1) San Francisco 49ers
- (2) Philadelphia Eagles vs. (7) Green Bay Packers
- (3) New Orleans Saints vs. (6) Atlanta Falcons
- (4) Detroit Lions vs. (5) Dallas Cowboys
The Eagles continue to hold a lead over the Cowboys in NFC East betting odds, but the lines have tightened since the start of the season. Four of the top seven teams will be squaring off on Sunday in games that could alter the picture once the results are in the books: the Saints travel to take on the Packers, while the Falcons are at the Lions.
Further down the charts, odds for the Buccaneers and Commanders have risen in the wake of 2-0 starts. The Vikings were NFC North champs a season ago with a record of 13-4, but are now looking for their first win of the campaign. The Giants were a wild-card team last season, but a 1-1 start and an injury to Saquon Barkley have clouded the forecast.
Projected Super Bowl 58 matchups for Week 3
Betting odds on the winner of Super Bowl 58 have also continued to shift in response to the early season results. Four teams have emerged as the top favorites: the Chiefs, 49ers, Eagles, and Cowboys. The Bills, Ravens, and Dolphins are battling to be the second choice on the AFC side of the bracket.
The seven teams are the only clubs with odds of less than +2000 to win the next big game at most top online sportsbooks. Based on the latest lines, potential Super Bowl 58 matchups include the following:
- Chiefs vs. 49ers
- Chiefs vs. Eagles
- Chiefs vs. Cowboys
- 49ers vs. Bills
- 49ers vs. Ravens
- 49ers vs. Dolphins
- Eagles vs. Bills
- Eagles vs. Ravens
- Eagles vs. Dolphins
- Cowboys vs. Bills
- Cowboys vs. Ravens
- Cowboys vs. Dolphins
For this week, the Chiefs, 49ers, Cowboys, Ravens, and Dolphins are all sizable favorites to win their respective games. The Eagles and Bills are also favored, but both will be on the road this week against 2-0 teams: Philadelphia faces the Buccaneers on Monday Night Football, while Buffalo travels to take on the Commanders on Sunday.
