The NFL playoff picture continues to take shape as we get set for Week 13. According to the latest odds, the four division leaders are overwhelming favorites to reach the postseason on the AFC side. The Eagles and 49ers top the charts on the other side of the bracket in advance of this week’s NFC title game rematch between the two clubs.
Behind the leaders, competitive races are underway for the remaining spots, while time is starting to run short for the squads with more ground to make up. Each week, we review the current NFL playoff odds and examine what the seeds and matchups would look like if the playoffs started today, based on the latest lines.
AFC playoff odds in Week 13
The table below has the latest playoff odds for all 16 AFC teams from Caesars Sportsbook, along with the lines for their Week 13 games from various NFL betting sites.
| Team | Playoff Odds | Implied Probability* | This Week |
| Baltimore Ravens | -20000 | 94.12% | Bye week |
| Kansas City Chiefs | -20000 | 94.12% | vs. Packers |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | -20000 | 94.12% | vs. Bengals |
| Miami Dolphins | -20000 | 94.12% | vs. Commanders |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | -260 | 68.32% | vs. Cardinals |
| Cleveland Browns | -250 | 67.56% | vs. Rams |
| Houston Texans | -115 | 50.60% | vs. Broncos |
| Indianapolis Colts | -105 | 48.45% | vs. Titans |
| Denver Broncos | +150 | 37.84% | vs. Texans |
| Buffalo Bills | +450 | 17.20% | Bye week |
| Los Angeles Chargers | +800 | 10.51 | vs. Patriots |
| Cincinnati Bengals | +1800 | 4.98% | vs. Jaguars |
| New York Jets | +1800 | 4.98% | vs. Falcons |
| Las Vegas Raiders | +1900 | 4.73% | Bye week |
| Tennessee Titans | +1900 | 4.73% | vs. Colts |
| New England Patriots | +2500 | 3.64% | vs. Chargers |
*Our implied probability calculation uses the sportsbook’s odds minus the vigorish charged by that sportsbook. An average online gambling calculator will provide you with the implied probability based on just the betting odds. By going a step further and accounting for the vig, we find a true implied probability in relation to the sportsbook’s odds.
The top four favorites in the AFC have matching odds, so we have to use tiebreakers to determine the seeds. The Ravens have the conference’s best record at 9-3, while the Chiefs hold wins over the Jaguars and Dolphins in their back pocket. Jacksonville and Miami both have 8-3 records, but the former gets the nod on strength of victory.
- Bye: (1) Ravens
- (2) Chiefs vs. (7) Texans
- (3) Jaguars vs. (6) Browns
- (4) Dolphins vs. (5) Steelers
The Steelers have edged ahead of the Browns in betting odds to claim the first wild card slot. The teams have matching records of 7-4 and have already split a pair of games. Pittsburgh parted ways with offensive coordinator Matt Canada in advance of last week’s win over the Bengals. Cleveland continues to deal with QB issues in the wake of a loss to the Broncos.
The Texans fell to 6-5 with a loss to the Jaguars. That leaves them two games behind in the AFC South chase and just ahead of the Colts in odds for the conference’s final seed. Indianapolis is also 6-5 and riding a three-game winning streak. Behind those two clubs, the Broncos have surged up the charts while winning five straight to get to 6-5.
Next up, we find several teams that were being viewed as postseason contenders in advance of the season. The Bills have stumbled to a 6-6 mark, while the Chargers have dropped three straight to fall to 4-7. Meanwhile, QB injuries have proven to be too much to overcome for the Bengals and Jets.
On this week’s schedule, the result of the game between the Texans and Broncos could have a big impact on playoff betting odds for next week. The victor will likely hold down at least the seventh spot on the board, with the potential to jump up even higher if the Steelers or Browns happen to misfire this weekend.
NFC playoff odds in Week 13
Here are the playoff odds for all 16 NFC teams from Caesars Sportsbook, along with their implied playoff probability and the lines for their Week 13 games.
| Team | Playoff Odds | Implied Probability* | This Week |
| Philadelphia Eagles | -25000 | 93.80% | vs. 49ers |
| San Francisco 49ers | -25000 | 93.80% | vs. Eagles |
| Detroit Lions | -20000 | 93.71% | vs. Saints |
| Dallas Cowboys | -20000 | 93.71% | vs. Seahawks |
| Minnesota Vikings | -135 | 54.10% | Bye week |
| Atlanta Falcons | -135 | 54.10% | vs. Jets |
| Green Bay Packers | -110 | 49.33% | vs. Chiefs |
| New Orleans Saints | -110 | 49.33% | vs. Lions |
| Seattle Seahawks | +110 | 44.85% | vs. Cowboys |
| Los Angeles Rams | +220 | 29.43% | vs. Browns |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +300 | 23.54% | vs. Panthers |
| Chicago Bears | +1800 | 4.96% | Bye week |
| Washington Commanders | +2000 | 4.48% | vs. Dolphins |
| New York Giants | +2500 | 3.62% | Bye week |
| Arizona Cardinals | +2500 | 3.62% | vs. Steelers |
| Carolina Panthers | +2500 | 3.62% | vs. Buccaneers |
*Our implied probability calculation uses the sportsbook’s odds minus the vigorish charged by that sportsbook. An average online gambling calculator will provide you with the implied probability based on just the betting odds. By going a step further and accounting for the vig, we find a true implied probability in relation to the sportsbook’s odds.
The Eagles have the NFL’s best record at 10-1. They’re tied with the 49ers in betting odds to make the playoffs in advance of Sunday’s showdown between the two teams. The Lions are 8-3 following an upset loss to the Packers, but they remain on top of the NFC North standings and in great shape to make it to the dance as far as the odds are concerned.
- Bye: (1) Eagles
- (2) 49ers vs. (7) Packers
- (3) Lions vs. (6) Vikings
- (4) Falcons vs. (5) Cowboys
The Cowboys are two games behind the Eagles in the NFC East but also an overwhelming favorite to snag the conference’s top wild card spot. The team’s point differential of +162 is the best in the league. The Falcons defeated the Saints last week and are now slightly favored to win the NFC South in the latest division odds.
The race for the final two seeds continues to heat up. The Vikings hold down the sixth spot in the odds for now, but the team heads to a bye week on a two-game skid, falling to 6-6 as QB questions have emerged once again. The Packers have won two straight to get to 5-6, the same record as the Saints, a team they hold a head-to-head win over.
The Seahawks have been in good shape for a spot for much of the season as far as the odds go, but the team’s two-game losing streak has led to it falling down the board. Meanwhile, the Rams are beginning to creep up the charts after winning two straight. The Buccaneers aren’t too far behind, but the clock is ticking loudly for the 4-7 club.
The headline matchup on the NFC side for this week is the 49ers vs. Eagles, with the winner likely emerging as the favorite for the conference’s top seed. Two other games could shake up next week’s board, especially if we see an upset in either: the Lions are favored at the Saints, while the Seahawks are hefty road dogs at the Cowboys.
Projected Super Bowl 58 matchups for Week 13
As we hit the stretch run of the regular season, betting odds on the winner of Super Bowl 58 continue to move. At most legal online sportsbooks, just six teams have odds of +1000 or less to win the big game.
- Odds to win Super Bowl 58:
- San Francisco 49ers
- Philadelphia Eagles
- Kansas City Chiefs
- Baltimore Ravens
- Miami Dolphins
- Dallas Cowboys
Based on the latest odds, potential matchups for Super Bowl 58 include the following:
- 49ers vs. Chiefs
- 49ers vs. Ravens
- 49ers vs. Dolphins
- Eagles vs. Chiefs
- Eagles vs. Ravens
- Eagles vs. Dolphins
- Chiefs vs. Cowboys
- Ravens vs. Cowboys
- Dolphins vs. Cowboys
The aforementioned Eagles vs. 49ers game is the marquee matchup for the six contenders this week. The Ravens are on a bye, while the Chiefs, Dolphins, and Cowboys are sizable favorites to win their respective games. Behind the top six favorites, we find the Jaguars and Lions , two 8-3 division leaders who certainly have the potential to remain in the hunt.
