Looking back to last year’s NFL win totals, the Bills and Chiefs were among the clubs with the largest lines on the odds board, while the Texans were at the bottom of the charts. Legal online sportsbooks will release win total lines for the 2023-24 NFL season in the next few months. It’s one of the top highlights of the offseason for NFL bettors, as it helps to provide perspective on what to expect from each of the league’s 32 teams. Here’s a look at what you need to know about NFL win total odds.
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2022-23 NFL win total tracker for all 32 teams
Below are the final win total lines for last season for all 32 NFL teams at DraftKings Sportsbook, along with a comparison of the numbers to last year’s records. As you can see, some teams took steps forward while others headed in the opposite direction.
| Team | Opening Win Total | Final Record | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals | 9.0 | 4-13 | -5.0 |
| Falcons | 5.5 | 7-10 | +1.5 |
| Ravens | 9.5 | 10-7 | +0.5 |
| Bills | 11.5 | 13-3 | +1.5 |
| Panthers | 6.0 | 7-10 | +1.0 |
| Bears | 7.0 | 3-14 | -4.0 |
| Bengals | 10.0 | 12-4 | +2.0 |
| Browns | 9.5 | 7-10 | -1.5 |
| Cowboys | 10.5 | 12-5 | +1.5 |
| Broncos | 10.0 | 5-12 | -5.0 |
| Lions | 6.0 | 9-8 | +3.0 |
| Packers | 11.0 | 8-9 | -3.0 |
| Texans | 4.5 | 3-13-1 | -1.5 |
| Colts | 9.5 | 4-12-1 | -5.5 |
| Jaguars | 6.5 | 9-8 | +2.5 |
| Chiefs | 11.0 | 14-3 | +3.0 |
| Raiders | 8.0 | 6-11 | -2.0 |
| Chargers | 10.0 | 10-7 | – |
| Rams | 10.5 | 5-12 | -5.5 |
| Dolphins | 8.5 | 9-8 | +0.5 |
| Vikings | 9.0 | 13-4 | +4.0 |
| Patriots | 8.5 | 8-9 | -0.5 |
| Saints | 7.5 | 7-10 | -0.5 |
| Giants | 7.5 | 9-7-1 | +1.5 |
| Jets | 5.0 | 7-10 | +2.0 |
| Eagles | 8.5 | 14-3 | +5.5 |
| Steelers | 7.5 | 9-8 | +1.5 |
| 49ers | 10.0 | 13-4 | +3.0 |
| Seahawks | 6.5 | 9-8 | +2.5 |
| Buccaneers | 11.5 | 8-9 | -3.5 |
| Titans | 9.5 | 7-10 | -2.5 |
| Commanders | 7.5 | 8-8-1 | +0.5 |
Last updated: March 9
Largest NFL win totals
The line for a team’s total wins can vary by sportsbook. For this past year, most books had several teams with double-digit win lines but just a few at 10.5 or more. These were the teams at the top of the charts and how the individual results shook out.
- Buffalo Bills: over/under 11.5 wins. The club went 13-3, exceeding the line by 1.5.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers: over/under 11.5 wins. The club went 8-9, falling short of the line by 3.5.
- Kansas City Chiefs: over/under 11.0 wins. The club went 14-3, exceeding the line by 3.0.
- Green Bay Packers: over/under 11.0 wins. The club went 8-9, falling short of the line by 3.0.
- Dallas Cowboys: over/under 10.5 wins. The club went 12-5, exceeding the line by 1.5.
Lowest NFL win totals
At the other end of the spectrum were a handful of clubs with lines at 5.5 wins or under. Here’s how those three squads fared for the season in relation to their listed totals.
- Atlanta Falcons: over/under 5.5 wins. The club went 7-10, exceeding the line by 1.5.
- Houston Texans: over/under 4.5 wins. The club went 3-13-1, falling short of the line by 1.5.
- New York Jets: over/under 5.0 wins. The club went 7-10, exceeding the line by 2.0.
Teams on the rise
The NFL regular season is relatively short at 17 games, so a possible improvement of two or more wins is significant. Heading into last season, oddsmakers projected teams like the Jaguars, Giants and Jets to make it happen. All three clubs not only showed improvement, but also exceeded their lines. Several other squads also beat the preseason benchmark, with the Eagles checking in as the biggest overachiever: 14 wins versus a line of 8.5.
Teams projected to decline
Oddsmakers expected the arrow to point down for several teams, including the Cardinals, Packers and Buccaneers. They were right on all three counts, as each of those clubs won fewer games than in the prior season. In addition, under would have been the correct call when wagering on the win total for all three teams. The biggest underachievers of the season were the Colts and Rams, both of which missed their line by 5.5 games.
Other NFL win totals of note
As we look back on the season in relation to the preseason win total betting lines, oddsmakers were pretty close to being on the money in several spots. A total of 14 teams finished within 1.5 wins of their line, and six were decided by 0.5. Just one team landed exactly on its opening number at DraftKings Sportsbook: the 10-win Los Angeles Chargers. However, there were also some notable misses, including overachievers such as the Eagles and Vikings, and clubs that fell well short of their benchmarks, including the Cardinals, Broncos, Colts and Rams.