The college football playoff picture has adjusted once again following a wild week of games.
In the latest College Football Playoff odds, Ohio State is on top of the board, just slightly ahead of Alabama. The potential seeds and matchups continue to evolve based on the weekly results and team performances.
As we get ready for college football Week 6 action, here’s a detailed look at the current state of the CFP chase.
Latest College Football Playoff odds
CFP bracket projection
In the expanded CFP format, the five highest-ranked conference champions receive automatic berths The next seven highest-ranked clubs will take the remaining slots. Here’s how the seeds would currently look based on the latest college football odds.
- 1 – Alabama Crimson Tide
- 2 – Ohio State Buckeyes
- 3 – Miami Hurricanes
- 4 – Utah Utes
- 5 – Texas Longhorns
- 6 – Oregon Ducks
- 7 – Tennessee Volunteers
- 8 – Georgia Bulldogs
- 9 – Penn State Nittany Lions
- 10 – Ole Miss Rebels
- 11 – Missouri Tigers
- 12 – Boise State Broncos
Alabama is the new top team in this projected bracket. On Saturday night, the Crimson Tide pulled out a 41-34 win over Georgia, which dropped all the way to the eighth seed with the loss.
The next three seeds remain the same. Ohio State holds second, while Miami and Utah are third and fourth as the top ACC and Big 12 teams in betting odds.
No teams have moved in or out of the bracket this week, but the jockeying for position continues. Texas is down to fifth after spending last week in second, while Tennessee has moved up a notch.
In the chase for the highest-ranked Group of Five team, Mountain West favorite Boise State leads over Conference USA’s Liberty.
Potential CFP first-round matchups
The winners of the Power Four conferences — the ACC, Big Ten, Big 12, and SEC — are expected to receive the first-round byes. The next eight seeds will play in first-round action. If the seeding and current odds continue to align, the opening matchups would look like this:
- (12) Boise State vs. (5) Texas
- (11) Missouri vs. (6) Oregon
- (10) Ole Miss vs. (7) Tennessee
- (9) Penn State vs. (8) Georgia
SEC programs continue to comprise the bulk of the bracket. Teams from the conference represent five of the potential slots, with the Big Ten holding two and Boise State in the 12th spot.
The most notable mover is Alabama, surging from the seventh seed last week up to the top spot. Texas dropped from first to fifth, and Georgia is down from the fifth spot to eighth.
While the odds and projected seeds can give an idea of what the CFP bracket will ultimately look like, the CFP selection committee rankings still serve as the final word, with the first edition due on Nov. 5.
At BetMGM Sportsbook, Ohio State still leads the way in betting handle to win the national title at 17.9%. Georgia (16.1%) is next, followed by Miami (10.7%).
College Football Playoff bubble teams
The first two teams on the bubble this week are Notre Dame (+150) and Clemson (+150). The Fighting Irish are 4-1, and the Tigers check in at 3-1, with both teams rebounding from losses early in the season.
Up next is 3-1 USC (+225), which rebounded from a loss to Michigan with a win over Wisconsin on Saturday. The defending champion Wolverines are tied for 25th in odds to reach the CFP at +800.
Next up are Iowa State (+300) and Kansas State (+350). The two clubs are now tied in college football conference odds to win the Big 12.
However, Utah continues to hold a slight lead in odds to make the CFP. The Utes fell to 4-1 with a loss to Arizona on Saturday.
Boise State (+200) continues to hold an edge over Liberty (+450) in the Group of Five chase for a CFP spot.
Upcoming matchups that could impact the CFP race
It’s a light week for ranked vs. ranked matchups. The lone meeting of Top 25 teams will happen on Saturday with No. 9 Missouri on the road to face No. 25 Texas A&M.
However, that doesn’t mean that the CFP chase will stand still. As we’ve seen each week of the regular season, an upset can happen at any time.
Outside of Missouri (+2), all of the teams in our projected CFP bracket that will be in action this week are favored by 8.5 points or more on the spread. If one or more go down to defeat, next week’s picture could be quite different.
