The field continues to shrink in NFL survivor pools.
Another big moneyline favorite went down to defeat on Sunday. This has been a pattern throughout the first month of the season, with eliminations steadily piling up.
For those who remain in the hunt for NFL Week 5 games — or those who are taking a crack at second-chance survivor pools — there are plenty of options to consider for this week’s pick.
NFL Week 5 moneyline odds
The table below has the latest moneyline odds for Week 5 games at top football betting sites.
NFL survivor Week 5: Implied win probabilities
The implied win probabilities for the favorites in this week’s games based on the current moneyline odds are in the table below. Typically, the top favorites are popular picks in weekly NFL survivor pools.
| Game | Favorite | Moneyline Odds | Implied Probability |
| Cardinals at 49ers | 49ers | -345 | 77.53% |
| Giants at Seahawks | Seahawks | -250 | 71.43% |
| Saints at Chiefs | Chiefs | -215 | 68.25% |
| Panthers at Bears | Bears | -185 | 64.91% |
| Browns at Commanders | Commanders | -170 | 62.96% |
| Packers at Rams | Packers | -168 | 62.69% |
| Raiders at Broncos | Broncos | -150 | 60.00% |
| Colts at Jaguars | Jaguars | -148 | 59.68% |
| Ravens at Bengals | Ravens | -146 | 59.35% |
| Jets at Vikings | Vikings | -140 | 58.33% |
| Cowboys at Steelers | Steelers | -132 | 56.90% |
| Buccaneers at Falcons | Falcons | -122 | 54.95% |
| Bills at Texans | Bills | -112 | 52.83% |
| Dolphins at Patriots | Pick’em | -110 | 52.38% |
Another week, another big favorite goes down to defeat
The Jets were the latest heavy favorite to lose. On Sunday, New York walked onto the field as a -8.5 favorite versus the visiting Broncos.
It was a rainy and unpleasant day at MetLife Stadium. As a result, neither offense could get into gear, but Denver did just enough to exit with a 10-9 win.
In the Circa Sportsbook survivor pool, 110 of the remaining 642 contestants picked the Jets. The top choice was the 49ers at 277, with San Francisco easily handling the Patriots, 30-13.
Biggest moneyline favorites for NFL Week 5 games
Four teams have byes this week, leaving us with 14 games to sort through. If you’re looking for a sizable moneyline favorite, the pickings are slim.
There are just three teams with odds of -200 or greater: the 49ers, Seahawks, and Chiefs. San Francisco is the largest favorite for its home game versus the Cardinals.
The Seahawks will also be at home to take on the Giants, and the Chiefs will host the Saints on Monday Night Football. San Francisco, Seattle, and Kansas City will likely be popular options among those who haven’t used those teams yet.
However, the popular picks have proven to be anything but a sure thing through the first month of play. As we browse the rest of this week’s games, there are a number of other risky propositions.
The rest of this week’s slate
Behind the three favorites, just four other squads have an implied win probability of 60% or greater: the Bears, Commanders, Packers, and Broncos.
From that group of teams, Washington has won three straight, while the Broncos have won two in a row. Chicago and Green Bay are 2-2.
For the remainder of the week’s games, the odds range from pick’em to -148. The biggest favorite from this group is the winless Jaguars, followed by the 2-2 Ravens.
At the bottom of the list are two games that appear to be close to toss-ups: Bills at Texans and Dolphins at Patriots.
A sneak peek at NFL Week 6 lines
As the first month of the season has demonstrated, living to play another week in NFL survivor pools is challenging. The initial task at hand is to pick your team for this week while also trying to plan for the future.
Early betting lines are available for Week 6 games. Based on the current point spreads, there appear to be a few sizable favorites:
- 49ers (-5) at Seahawks
- Commanders at Ravens (-8.5)
- Texans (-5.5) at Patriots
- Cardinals at Packers (-5)
- Bengals (-5.5) at Giants
The 49ers are on this week’s list of top moneyline favorites for a home game versus the 1-3 Cardinals. They could face a stiffer test next week when they travel to face the 3-1 Seahawks.
