The Kansas City Chiefs will play their first AFC West opponent of the season this Sunday at SoFi Stadium, with the Los Angeles Chargers playing host in a game with a 4:25 p.m. ET kickoff and CBS on the broadcast.
NFL Week 4 odds have the point spread for this game at -7.5 or -8 in favor of the Chiefs due in part to Justin Herbert’s ankle injury. The Chargers (+4.5) were short underdogs prior to a Week 3 loss at the Steelers in which they lost Herbert to injury and were unable to move the ball with backup Taylor Heinicke under center. The over/under line for the game is 39 points.
The Chargers (2-1) also lost offensive lineman Rashawn Slater (pec) to injury in Week 3 and played without elite edge rusher Joey Bosa (hip). Herbert practiced on a limited basis Wednesday and could still suit up Sunday after playing through foot and ankle injuries to start the season.
The Chiefs (3-0) have three close wins under their belt despite posting mediocre numbers by their standards. Kansas City will be without lead back Isiah Pacheco (fibula) for multiple weeks.
Below are a couple of the top player props for this AFC West clash. If you are looking for Missouri sportsbook promo‘s ahead of the game, check our full review.
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Player props for Chiefs vs. Chargers
How Patrick Mahomes could get over 1.5 passing touchdowns
The Kansas City Chiefs rank 22nd in touchdown conversion rate (44.4%) in the red zone so far this season. That number seems like an outlier given how good Andy Reid and his staff have been in scoring situations in recent years. Travis Kelce has yet to make an impact in the red zone, but Mahomes has still passed for two touchdowns in consecutive games.
With Pacheco out, we’ll likely see the Chiefs continue to attack through the air. They’re facing a Chargers defense that coughed up 232 passing yards to a run-heavy Steelers offense last week. Mahomes has averaged 294.6 passing yards and 2.2 passing touchdowns per game against division opponents since 2022 and has multiple touchdowns in six straight outings against the Chargers.
How Patrick Mahomes could get under 1.5 passing touchdowns
Struggles in the red zone have become commonplace in the NFL this season, and it’s possible the Chiefs continue to settle for field goals in those situations. The Los Angeles Chargers defense ranks second in the NFL in denying touchdowns in the red zone, allowing just 20% of opponent drives to find the end zone.
Jim Harbaugh’s club ranks third in points allowed (11.0) and eighth in opponent’s yards per attempt (5.8), so the Chargers could limit explosive plays. The Chargers have also become incredibly run-heavy under Harbaugh and new offensive coordinator Greg Roman, so that could shorten this game and keep it close to the low projected total of 39 points.
How J.K. Dobbins could score an anytime touchdown
Oddsmakers are listing Dobbins at +150 or longer to find the end zone this Sunday. After missing much of the past two seasons with multiple catastrophic injuries, Dobbins is averaging 103.3 rushing yards per game at 7.4 yards per carry with two touchdowns so far as the Chargers’ lead back.
He was held to 2.9 yards per carry and zero touchdowns at Pittsburgh last week, but the Steelers rank second in opponent’s rushing yards per game (71.3) behind a stellar defensive line. The Chiefs’ run defense is also above average, but superstar Chris Jones plays on the interior, and Dobbins has run off tackle more often than his counterpart Gus Edwards. Dobbins has breakaway speed, and he could score from outside the red zone.
How J.K. Dobbins could miss an anytime touchdown
The Chiefs have allowed three rushing touchdowns this season through three games. Opponents are only running on 41.4% of plays against Kansas City, which is the ninth-lowest rate in the NFL, indicating that opponents are often chasing points against the defending champs. The Chargers are sizable underdogs and might have to abandon the running game at some point if they’re unable to keep pace.
If Herbert plays injured, or Heinicke starts, the Chiefs will likely put more resources toward the line of scrimmage and dare the Chargers to beat them with an unproven cast of receivers. Dobbins is not a traditional power back, so he could lose goal-line touches to Gus Edwards in critical scoring situations.
