The San Francisco 49ers will be at Lumen Field to take on the Seattle Seahawks on Thursday Night Football in another installment of one of the most intense rivalries in the NFL in the last 10 years. Both teams are coming off losses, and despite the 49ers being on the road, NFL Week 6 odds narrowly favor them. They’ve also won the last five meetings between these two teams.
The over/under line anticipates a high-scoring affair between two teams that have shown the ability to create offense and score points with ease at times this season. There’ll also be plenty of player props to choose from. We also cover a sportsbook promotion ahead of the game.
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Player props for San Francisco 49ers vs. Seattle Seahawks
How Jordan Mason could get over 78.5 rushing yards
The 49ers’ offense looked to be in peril at the start of the season with the injury to Christian McCaffrey, but since then, San Francisco hasn’t missed a beat with Jordan Mason at running back. He’s carried the ball a league-high 105 times for 536 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 5.1 yards per attempt. He’s also averaging 107.2 rushing yards per game and leads the NFL in missed tackles forced and runs of 10 yards or more, per PFF.
As good as the Seahawks’ defense has been, it’s been below average against the run, allowing 128 yards per game, and could struggle to slow down Mason and the 49ers on Thursday Night Football.
The ground game has always been an integral part of Kyle Shanahan’s offense, and it’s rarely something he’ll shy away from. Mason has averaged 21 carries per game and has run for over 100 yards in three games this season.
How Jordan Mason could get under 78.5 rushing yards
The only time Jordan Mason hasn’t eclipsed 78 rushing yards this season came in a 27-24 loss to the Los Angeles Rams in Week 3. It was also the only time that Mason failed to average over five yards per carry, and the Rams’ defense did an excellent job limiting him. However, the San Francisco 49ers still tallied 137 total rushing yards in the game.
A negative game script on the road could be the quickest way for Mason to hit under his rushing yards. The Seattle Seahawks rank sixth in average points scored in the first quarter in 2024, and if they get out to an early lead and also force some turnovers from an offense that has given the ball away eight times in the last four games, the 49ers might run the ball less.
How Jaxon Smith-Njigba could get over 4.5 receptions
The Seahawks selected Jaxon Smith-Njigba in the first round of the 2023 NFL Draft. His rookie season was quiet, but Smith-Njigba has grown into his role in 2024 and has caught 29 passes for 257 yards and a touchdown.
Smith-Njigba currently leads the Seahawks in catches (29) and is third in yards behind DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett. Despite that, he’s carved out a role for himself as a reliable slot option for Geno Smith and has two games with at least eight catches in 2024. Through the last two weeks, he’s averaging just under 10 targets per game, and the Seattle offense will likely lean into its strengths and remain pass-heavy on Thursday night.
How Jaxon Smith-Njigba could get under 4.5 receptions
Despite leading the Seahawks in receptions, Smith-Njigba has fewer than five receptions in three games this season, including the team’s Week 5 loss to the Giants where he earned seven targets. Smith still has options in Metcalf and Lockett, and the NFL is a matchup sport.
Unfortunately for Smith-Njigba, he could spend a lot of his time matched up with Fred Warner on Thursday. Warner is the best linebacker in the NFL right now and patrols the middle of the field, while Smith-Njigba has been targeted out of the slot 35 times, per PFF, the most in the NFL. Warner has done an excellent job covering the middle of the field for the 49ers and could force Smith to look to other options.