The Denver Broncos will be at the Caesars Superdome on Thursday Night Football to take on the New Orleans Saints in a game that will feature the subplot of Sean Payton returning to take on New Orleans for the first time. Both teams are coming off losses, and despite Denver being on the road, NFL Week 7 odds have the Broncos as 2.5-point favorites, as the Saints have lost four straight.
The over/under line anticipates a potentially low-scoring affair between a Broncos team with one of the best defenses in the NFL and a Saints team with a rookie quarterback making his first start. There’ll also be plenty of player props to choose from. We also cover a CO sportsbook promo ahead of the game.
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Denver Broncos vs. New Orleans Saints player prop tool
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Denver Broncos vs. New Orleans Saints spread, moneyline, & total
Player props for Denver Broncos vs. New Orleans Saints
How Alvin Kamara could get over 69.5 rushing yards
Alvin Kamara has had a hot start to the season. The veteran running back has carried the ball 104 times for 428 yards and six rushing touchdowns through the first six weeks of the season and has been a big part of a New Orleans Saints offense that was rolling in the first few weeks. Since then, the Saints offense has taken a step back and suffered from injuries, but Kamara is still the fulcrum.
Kamara has already surpassed his touchdown totals from the last two seasons, and his 53.8% rushing success rate is his highest since 2018. He’s playing some of his best football, even if he’s averaged just 33 rushing yards per game in his last two games.
With Derek Carr out and Chris Olave potentially out with a concussion, the Saints could lean on Kamara even more. And Kamara has shown early in the season he can do that. He has averaged 90.5 rushing yards per game when he’s carried the ball more than 15 times, and as good as the Broncos’ defense has been this season, it’s given up over 100 rushing yards four times this season and allowed J.K. Dobbins to rush for 96 yards in Week 6.
How Alvin Kamara could get under 69.5 rushing yards
The last two games have been a far cry from what we’ve seen from Alvin Kamara this season. His average yards per carry has been a meager 2.75 (66 yards on 24 carries), and most of his good work has come in the passing game as the game script called for it.
Even though the Broncos have struggled to score points this season, there’s a chance the score could get away from a banged-up Saints team. That means Kamara could work on less volume and have to rely on chunk plays. Per PFF, Kamara hasn’t had a run of 10 yards or more since Week 4. The offensive line has suffered injuries, and the Broncos will likely be honing in on Kamara regardless of the game script. He’s the Saints’ top weapon without Olave, and Vance Joseph has a talented enough defense to potentially shut him down.
How Courtland Sutton could get over 45.5 receiving yards
The Broncos’ passing game has struggled in 2024, averaging just 170.8 yards per game with the third-fewest passing touchdowns on the season. Rookie Bo Nix has shown some flashes but hasn’t moved the ball efficiently on a week-to-week basis. Courtland Sutton currently leads Denver Broncos receivers in every statistical category: targets, catches, receiving yards, and touchdowns.
His numbers have been streaky, but Sutton has eclipsed 50 receiving yards three times this season and could be on course to do it again on Thursday Night Football. The Saints’ defense is giving up 262.2 passing yards per game, the fourth-most in the NFL, and has given up over 300 yards in the last two games. With the injuries mounting up, the defense could be ripe for the picking. Sutton is the best receiver on the team, and Payton can plan an offense, especially against a defense he knows well.
How Courtland Sutton could get under 45.5 receiving yards
Trusting in the Broncos’ offense asks quite a bit. The offense is currently 26th in expected points added per play, per RBSDM, and is scoring just 18.7 points per game. Bo Nix is a rookie who, despite showing that he can scramble and create out of the pocket, is struggling to create within the structure of the offense and lacks an arm with real velocity, and that has given the offense a low ceiling with low passing volume.
Nix hasn’t had more than 20 completions since Week 3, and he’s averaging just 5.5 yards per attempt on the season. That’s accounted for a few quieter-than-anticipated games from Sutton, as he and the quarterback just haven’t connected. That could again be the case this week as the young quarterback finds his feet.