Last weekend saw a number of memorable upsets in a wild slate of college football action.
Could we be in store for even more from the college football Week 7 schedule? We have a marathon Saturday of games on tap, leaving us with plenty of options to consider.
Trying to spot the potential upsets among dozens of games can be a challenging endeavor. However, public betting trends, odds movement, and current betting lines can provide some clues to look at.
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BetMGM data on Week 7 underdogs
At BetMGM Sportsbook the wagers are trending in a clear direction for a handful of games.
“Biggest needs on Saturday are South Carolina, Oklahoma, and Oregon,” said Seamus Magee, a trading manager at BetMGM. “A cover is good, but an outright win would be great for the sportsbook. Kansas State beating Colorado and not covering would be exceptional.”
A number of point spread and moneyline underdogs are also attracting interest this week at the sportsbook. There’s also a handful of games that appear to be close to toss-ups based on the latest lines.
Popular underdogs on the spread
Texas vs. Oklahoma (+14.5)
The Red River Rivalry is one of the most highly anticipated annual games this week. Texas is 5-0 and ranks first in the latest AP Top 25 poll heading into this week’s tilt with No. 18 Oklahoma (4-1).
Quinn Ewers is back from injury and will be at QB for the Longhorns. The Sooners took last season’s meeting by a score of 34-30 and have won five of their last six meetings with Texas. At BetMGM, 63% of bets are on Oklahoma to get the cover.
Mississippi State (+33.5) vs. Georgia
Mississippi State is a massive road dog versus Georgia. The visitors are 1-4 on the season and have dropped four straight, losing their last three by 17 or more points apiece.
Georgia rebounded from a loss to Alabama with a 31-13 win over Auburn on Oct. 5. The Bulldogs have won four straight meetings between these schools, including a 45-19 victory most recently. Mississippi State has attracted 65% of spread bets to cover at BetMGM.
Popular moneyline underdog bets
Penn State vs. USC (+140)
Penn State is a perfect 5-0 ahead of this lengthy road trip to face USC. The Nittany Lions picked up a 27-11 win over UCLA last week, while the Trojans have dropped two of three to fall to 3-2.
Despite the recent play, many bettors at BetMGM like the upset, with 76% of the handle landing on that side of the ledger. These two schools last met at the 2017 Rose Bowl, a 52-49 victory for USC.
Kansas State vs. Colorado (+145)
Kansas State is 4-1 ahead of this road matchup with Colorado, which has the same record. The Jayhawks took down Oklahoma State last time out, while the Buffaloes are coming back from a bye on a three-game winning streak.
Colorado’s Travis Hunter has made a steady ascent in betting odds to win the Heisman Trophy and is now second on the board behind Ashton Jeanty. At BetMGM, 88% of the bets and 93% of the handle are backing a Colorado upset.
Potential upsets based on the odds
Ohio State (-3.5) vs. Oregon
Two of the top favorites in College Football Playoff odds will do battle under the primetime lights. Ohio State and Oregon are both 5-0 so far, with the winner likely becoming the favorite to win the Big Ten.
The Buckeyes have won all five of their games by double digits, while the Ducks have won four of five by 10 points or more. Moneyline bets are nearly split down the middle for this one at BetMGM.
Ole Miss (-3.5) vs. LSU
Ole Miss rebounded from an upset loss to Kentucky with a 24-point win over South Carolina on Oct. 5. The Rebels are 5-1 as they get set to take on LSU, which is 4-1 and riding a four-game winning streak.
Last season’s meeting between these two teams turned into a wild shootout, with Ole Miss exiting with a 55-49 win. Spread bets at BetMGM are nearly even, while moneyline wagers are trending toward LSU getting the upset.
Were there any big college football upsets last week?
Upsets were a huge storyline last week. Alabama was the top-ranked team in the nation and a -22.5 road favorite over Vanderbilt, but the Crimson Tide fell to the Commodores in a 40-35 stunner.
Tennessee was a -14.5 road favorite versus Arkansas but came up short in a 19-14 defeat. And USC traveled to Minnesota as a -9.5 favorite, but it was the Golden Gophers exiting with a 24-17 victory.
On the spread, Miami had to rally from a 20-point deficit to escape with a 39-38 win over Cal. The Hurricanes were -8.5 road favorites ahead of game time.