The 0-2 Jacksonville Jaguars will travel to New York to take on the 2-0 Buffalo Bills to cap off the weekend before heading into NFL Week 4. The winless Jaguars are looking to turn their fortunes around sooner rather than later, otherwise they may lose even more ground in the AFC. Conversely, the Bills are flying high after a Week 2 victory against the Miami Dolphins, and sportsbooks have them as the favorites for this contest.
However, the over/under line anticipates a fairly high-scoring affair. There’ll also be plenty of player props to choose from in the matchup. We also cover a sportsbook promo from BetMGM Sportsbook.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Buffalo Bills player prop tool
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Player props for Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Buffalo Bills
How Travis Etienne could get over 47.5 rushing yards
Etienne already has two rushing touchdowns on the season, but his production in rushing yards has left a lot to be desired. Through two games, Etienne has rushed 25 times for 96 yards, earning 3.8 yards per carry while watching Tank Bigsby prove to be far more efficient. However, Bigsby’s status for Monday Night Football is in jeopardy, which means Etienne could receive a larger workload.
He only touched the ball 16 times against the Cleveland Browns in a close Week 2 loss, but with the passing game struggling, Etienne could be Jacksonville’s salvation. The Jaguars will face a Bills defense that’s allowing just 179 passing yards per game but 131.5 rushing yards per game.
How Travis Etienne could get under 47.5 rushing yards
The problem for Etienne is already a lack of efficiency. The Jaguars’ rushing offense has looked better with Bigsby carrying the ball at 6.1 yards per carry, and if Week 1 was any indication, the coaching staff would prefer to lean into a running back committee with a split workload.
That would eat into Etienne’s workload, where volume looks to be trumping efficiency right now. Etienne has the talent to rip off a big run, but while he’s averaging 3.8 yards per carry, he’ll likely need significant touches to hit over his total, and that might not happen if Bigsby plays.
How Dalton Kincaid could get over 39.5 receiving yards
Kincaid came alive down the stretch in his rookie season but has caught just five passes for 44 yards in the first two weeks of this season. The 2023 first-round pick is still a big part of the Bills’ passing offense that is finding its feet, especially with the lack of an elite option at wide receiver. Kincaid’s Week 2 performance against the Dolphins was more productive, catching all four targets for 33 yards, and it’s likely that his role will continue to grow.
His six targets are the second-most on the Buffalo Bills to Khalil Shakir, and with a quarterback like Josh Allen under center, there’s always a chance that a big passing game is on the horizon. That hasn’t happened yet, as Allen is averaging just 185.5 passing yards per game, but the Jaguars are allowing the third-most passing yards per game in the NFL through two weeks (245.5).
How Dalton Kincaid could get under 39.5 receiving yards
Passing percentages throughout the entire league are down in 2024. Defenses are dropping more players into coverage and daring offenses to run the ball as a counter to the last few seasons. That’s impacted the Bills significantly, who are only passing on 42.7% of their offensive plays so far this season — the sixth-lowest rate in the NFL.
That commitment to the running game has impacted targets across the board, and no Bills player has more than eight targets so far this season, and Skakir leads the receiving room with just 96 yards. Despite that, the Bills are 2-0 and have been successfully running the ball, and there’s a chance that the game plan remains the same, which could mean less usage for Kincaid.