Coming off a massive 32-31 win over Ohio State, the No. 2 Oregon Ducks (6-0) look to avoid a letdown spot when they take on the Purdue Boilermakers (1-5) in a Big Ten matchup this Friday. Kickoff is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET in Indiana, with Fox on the broadcast.
Oregon is a massive favorite of 27.5 points on the spread in college football Week 8 odds, and Purdue is getting +1600 odds on the moneyline. The line for total points is at 58.5.
The Ducks are 0-3 against the spread when favored by 20-plus points this season, although their 37-34 Week 2 win over Boise State appears to have been handicapped incorrectly by oddsmakers now that the Broncos are ranked No. 15 in the nation. Preseason Heisman favorite Dillon Gabriel is a leading candidate once again, trailing only Boise’s prolific running back Ashton Jeanty on odds boards.
While Purdue has lost five straight, the Boilermakers pushed Illinois to overtime last Saturday as 22-point road underdogs in an eventual 50-49 loss. Freshman Ryan Browne was prolific as a dual-threat quarterback in place of injured starter Hudson Card, and he’s expected to get another start against Oregon.
We’re breaking down the odds and betting lines in this ACC matchup with a focus on a couple of player props below. We also cover a sportsbook promotion ahead of the game.
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Oregon vs. Purdue spread, moneyline, & total
Player props for Oregon vs. Purdue
How Jordan James could get over 106.5 rushing yards
Dillon Gabriel was brilliant against Ohio State, and James chipped in 115 rushing yards on 23 carries against arguably the best front seven in the FBS. Now James will get to run against a Purdue defense that is giving up an average of 253.8 rushing yards per game at 6.0 yards per carry this season.
The Oregon coaching staff could lean on the run rather than asking Gabriel to follow up on his 341-yard performance in last Saturday’s shootout. James has topped 100 rushing yards in five of his last six games and has scored five touchdowns over his last four outings. The Ducks’ offensive line has been dominant lately after struggling to open the season.
How Jordan James could get under 106.5 rushing yards
The same logic that indicates Gabriel could see a lower workload in a potential blowout applies to James, who could yield more carries to junior Noah Whittington if the score gets out of hand. Whittington racked up 64 yards on seven carries in a blowout win at Oregon State when James posted a season-low 86 rushing yards on 12 carries.
Purdue’s rushing defense has been vulnerable to dual-threat quarterbacks, so Gabriel could also eat up some yards on the ground. Oregon has bigger games coming up against No. 22 Illinois and No. 24 Michigan, so Dan Lanning could end up seeking to preserve James for those tougher matchups.
How Ryan Browne could get over 176.5 passing yards
Browne was a revelation last week for a Purdue offense that was struggling with Hudson Card under center. The redshirt freshman passed for 297 yards and ran for another 118 against an Illinois defense that has allowed a respectable 207.4 passing yards per game on the season.
The Boilermakers could even have a bit of momentum behind them after Browne nearly led them to a 24-point comeback over a top-tier conference opponent. Purdue has playmakers in Jaron Tibbs and Max Klare, and Browne could be throwing throughout the second half once again given the high-powered nature of Oregon’s offense.
How Ryan Browne could get under 176.5 passing yards
While this is a potential letdown spot for the Oregon defense, it’s also a far easier task than preparing for Ohio State’s prolific receivers. Jabbar Muhammad is a lockdown defender, and Kobe Savage is one of the better ball-hawking free safeties in the country, which is part of why Oregon has only allowed 193.6 passing yards per game this season.
Oregon has limited big plays, with opposing offenses averaging 313.4 total yards per game, and the Ducks’ defensive line shouldn’t need much help to control Purdue’s lackluster rushing attack. Now that there is some tape on Browne, a top-tier defense could key in on his tendencies and make him look like an inexperienced freshman.