The Kansas City Chiefs (4-0) will look to stay undefeated when they host the New Orleans Saints (2-2) in a Monday Night Football matchup this week. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET at Arrowhead Stadium, with ESPN on the broadcast.
Playing without Isiah Pacheco (fibula) and Rashee Rice (knee) for the foreseeable future, the Chiefs are still Super Bowl favorites (+500) and are five-point favorites on the spread for this game. The Saints are getting at +185 on the moneyline in NFL Week 5 odds, and the over/under line is at 42.5 points.
The Saints are coming off consecutive close losses after dominating the Panthers and Cowboys in their first two games of the season. Alvin Kamara (hip) and Chris Olave (hamstring) played through injuries in Week 4, and Taysom Hill (ribs) suffered an injury that could keep him out in Week 5. The Saints’ defense is also banged up, with linebackers Willie Gay (hand) and Demario Davis (hamstring) questionable to suit up.
We’ll take a look at the odds and a couple of player props for this Monday Night Football matchup below. If you are looking for a MO sportsbook promo, check out our page.
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Saints vs. Chiefs player prop tool
You can use the player prop tool below to find props for anyone in this game or other NFL contests this weekend and compare odds at NFL betting sites.
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Player props for Saints vs. Chiefs
How Alvin Kamara could get over 90.5 rushing and receiving yards
If Taysom Hill (ribs) is out, the Saints will likely rely almost exclusively on Kamara as their lead back. Kamara has topped 110 scrimmage yards in all four outings this season, with his lowest output coming in a Week 1 blowout over the Panthers. With the New Orleans Saints as underdogs at Dallas and Atlanta, Kamara totaled 180 and 119 scrimmage yards.
He’s averaging 24.25 touches per game and leads all running backs in target share (20.6%) this season while averaging 5.5 yards per touch. The Chiefs’ defense is strongest up the middle, where Chris Jones anchors the defensive tackle position. Kamara can do most of his damage on the edges.
How Alvin Kamara could get under 90.5 rushing and receiving yards
No matter how you slice it, the defending champions are stronger on defense than they are on offense. The Kansas City Chiefs have mostly played low-scoring games over the past two seasons, and they’re allowing the fourth-fewest yards per carry (3.8) and eight-fewest rushing yards per game (99) this season.
While that defense is strongest up the middle, the Chiefs have fast and physical linebackers led by Nick Bolton. Chiefs defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo is a veteran play-caller who will be very aware of Kamara as the Saints’ primary weapon. The Chiefs have only allowed one player to top 100 rushing yards so far this season, and that was a quarterback — Lamar Jackson.
How Patrick Mahomes could get over 1.5 passing touchdowns
While the Chiefs have struggled to convert red zone possessions into touchdowns (45.5% success rate this season), Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes have a long history of producing in those tight windows. Mahomes threw for 17 touchdowns in nine home games last season and posted a 10:3 touchdown-to-interception ratio in five games against NFC opponents.
The Saints are scoring a league-high 31.8 points per game so far this season, and that could force the Chiefs to come out of their conservative approach by throwing the ball down the field. With injuries at linebacker and to safety Tyrann Mathieu (groin), the Saints could be vulnerable against the intermediate passing game.
How Patrick Mahomes could get under 1.5 passing touchdowns
The Saints have the top red zone defense in the NFL thus far, allowing touchdowns on just 22.2% of opponent possessions inside their 20-yard line. While they’ve allowed a healthy 233.5 passing yards per game, this defense has given up just one passing touchdown through four games — tied for the league lead with Tampa Bay.
Mahomes is down multiple weapons, including his leading receiver this season in Rashee Rice. Travis Kelce has yet to re-establish his Pro Bowl form, and the aging tight end has become less of a red zone threat. The Chiefs’ greatest offensive strength now is arguably their entire offensive line, so Reid and offensive coordinator Matt Nagy could lean toward running plays near the goal line.