How Oddsmakers Are Reacting To Scottie Scheffler’s Historic Run

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Scottie Scheffler has been on an epic run in 2024. He already has five victories, including The Players Championship and the Masters. The hot streak continued last week when he won the Memorial Tournament. 

That was the final event in advance of this week’s US Open, which will be the first major golf tournament in North Carolina since legal online sports betting opened there in March. Sportsbooks are responding with many sports betting promotions in North Carolina to try and capture new customers.

NC sports betting apps seize US Open opportunity

In addition to the usual sign-up offers, North Carolina sportsbooks are adding some in-app deals to boost bets.

On the course, Scheffler enters the third major of the season as the overwhelming favorite to win. How do Scheffler’s US Open odds stack up on an all-time basis, and how are sportsbooks pricing him?  

What are sportsbooks saying about Scottie?

At online golf sportsbooks, Scheffler’s US Open odds range from a low of +240 to a high of +300 to win the tournament. Earlier this week, BetMGM provided some betting insights on the US Open: 

It’s a similar story over at DraftKings. Scheffler’s opening odds to win the US Open were +800. They now stand at +280 at the sportsbook, and DraftKings notes that this is the shortest price that it’s had for a golfer in pre-tournament odds. 

“Scottie Scheffler is on a historical run right now and his short US Open price reflects that — to be +300 in a major says a lot. Even when he’s not atop the leaderboard heading into Sunday, he is so consistent and such a strong closer that he’s really never out of it. We have not seen a run like this since prime Tiger. This also creates a lot of attractive prices for some of the other top golfers in the world, which can be enticing to a lot of bettors.”

— Johnny Avello, director of sports operations, DraftKings

In recent times, Scheffler’s odds to win the US Open are the shortest on record. However, they’re not the lowest of all time. As BetMGM explained, that distinction belongs to Tiger Woods, who had some insanely short prices at his peak, including odds of +150 to win the 2000 British Open and 2001 Masters. 

Scheffler has won the Masters twice, but he has yet to taste victory in another major. The last golfer to win two majors in a single season was Brooks Koepka. The five-time major winner hit the mark in 2018, winning both the PGA Championship and US Open. 

Scheffler’s best performance at the US Open came in 2022. He finished in a tie for second, just a stroke behind the winner, Matthew Fitzpatrick. In his last three tries, he has finished in a tie for 7th or better, including a third-place finish last season.  

Has Scheffler set the record for most weeks at No. 1? 

Scheffler has been the top-ranked player in the world for a staggering 91 weeks. It’s an incredibly impressive feat, but nowhere near the record. Woods holds that distinction with an unfathomable 683 cumulative weeks at the top of the charts. Other active golfers with lengthy runs as the sport’s best include Dustin Johnson (135) and Rory McIlroy (122). 

Scheffler also has a ways to go to catch Woods on another metric: the number of wins during one tour season. Woods won nine tournaments in 2000 and eight in 1999 and 2006. Byron Nelson holds the all-time mark with 18 victories in 1945. Scheffler is at five wins as he eyes up another major victory this week.  

Scheffler’s epic run in 2024

As the top player in the Official World Golf Ranking, Scheffler has been among the pre-tournament favorites for each of his 2024 events. He has delivered, and then some. In 13 tournaments, Scheffler’s lowest finish so far is a tie for 17th place. His lowest to-par score stands at -8.    

Event Pre-tournament oddsFinish Earnings
The Sentry+550T5 (-25)$690,500
The American Express+550T17 (-21)$132,300
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am+800T6 (-13)$642,500
WM Phoenix Open +450T3 (-18)$519,200
The Genesis Invitational +650T10 (-8)$455,000
Arnold Palmer Invitational+6001 (-15)$4,000,000
The Players Championship+5501 (-20)$4,500,000
Texas Children’s Houston Open +280T2 (-11)$553,735
The Masters+3251 (-11)$3,600,000
RBC Heritage+4001 (-19)$3,600,000
PGA Championship+300T8 (-13)$521,418
Charles Schwab Challenge+300T2 (-9)$809,900
The Memorial Tournament+3601 (-8)$4,000,000

The tale of the tape reads as five wins, seven other top-10 finishes, and no missed cuts in 13 tries. He tops the PGA Tour money list for 2024 with a staggering sum of $24,024,552. Scheffler also leads the FedEx Cup standings with 4,351 points, well ahead of Xander Schauffele, who is in second at 2,689. 

Photo by Associated Press