2024 Kentucky Derby Betting: Longshot Horses To Win


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Kentucky sports betting

The Kentucky Derby is coming our way on Saturday. Top favorites such as Fierceness are capturing a ton of attention in the days leading up to the race. However, we don’t have to look too far back into the iconic race’s history to find longshots that shocked the world. Are there any longshots worth considering for betting on the Kentucky Derby this year?

When the Kentucky Derby morning line odds came out earlier this week, they installed Fierceness as a 5-2 favorite in the 20-horse field. We’ve already seen one shift in the entrant list as Encino was scratched due to injury, bumping Epic Ride from the list of also eligibles into the starting gate. Just five horses have odds of 10-1 or shorter, followed by a group of seven at 20-1 or longer. 

The final eight entrants all have odds of 30-1 or greater. Here’s what each one brings to the table for the 150th running of the race.  

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Kentucky Derby longshots

Catalytic, 30-1 

Catalytic’s lone career win came in a maiden claiming race last October at Gulfstream Park. He has finished second in his two other starts, including a runner-up spot to Fierceness, the favorite to win the derby in early odds, at the Florida Derby.  

T O Password (JPN), 30-1 

One of two derby entrants from Japan, T O Password has gone two for two in career starts. T O Password punched its Derby ticket with a victory at the Fukuroyo Stakes, which took place in Nakayama, Japan, in March.  

West Saratoga, 50-1 

West Saratoga is one of the most experienced horses in the field with 10 career starts. The signature win happened at Churchill Downs last September with a victory in the Iroquois Stakes. West Saratoga finished second behind Endlessly at the recent Jeff Ruby Steaks. 

Endlessly, 30-1 

Endlessly has found plenty of success, winning five of six career starts, including a debut win at Del Mar. The signature victory was at the Jeff Ruby Steaks, a win that earned 100 points and officially punched Endlessly’s ticket into this year’s Derby field. 

Domestic Product, 30-1 

Domestic Product won the Tampa Bay Derby in March, which came on the heels of a second-place finish at the Holy Bull Stakes. Running out of post position 15, Domestic Product debuted in a maiden claiming race at Saratoga in 2023. 

Grand Mo the First, 50-1 

Grand Mo the First has hit the board in all six career starts, booking two victories and four third-place finishes. On the Road to the Kentucky Derby, Grand Mo finished third at both the Florida Derby and Tampa Bay Derby. 

Society Man, 50-1 

Running out of post position No. 20, Society Man’s lone win happened at Aqueduct in a maiden claiming race in March. Next time around, Society Man finished second behind Resilience, a fellow derby entrant, at the Wood Memorial. 

Epic Ride, 30-1 

Epic Ride was on the also eligible list when the morning line odds came out and was bumped up into the field following the scratch of Encino. In all five career starts, Epic Ride has hit the board, including a third-place finish at the Blue Grass Stakes

Are longshots worth a wager?

Deciding what is worth a wager is based on your own research and opinions, although we can break down some of the past winners and their odds ahead of the race. Here are the last five winners of the Kentucky Derby along with their final odds in advance of the race. 

Just one of the last five winners had odds of 10-1 or less at post time, while two of them were among the biggest longshots to win in derby history. Rich Strike is second on the all-time list at 80-1, with Country House holding down the third spot at 65-1. Donerail, winner of the 1913 Kentucky Derby, still holds the record at odds of 91-1.

Latest Kentucky Derby odds

Below is an up-to-date table of Kentucky Derby odds and other key information.

PostHorseJockeyTrainerMorning Line Odds
1DornochLuis SaezDanny Gargan20-1
2Sierra LeoneTyler GaffalioneChad Brown3-1
3Mystik DanBrian HernandezKen McPeek20-1
4Catching FreedomFlavien PratBrad Cox8-1
5CatalyticJose OrtizSaffie Joseph, Jr.30-1
6Just SteelKeith AsmussenD. Wayne Lukas20-1
7Honor MarieBen CurtisWhit Beckman20-1
8Just a TouchFlorent GerouxBrad Cox10-1
9EncinoAxel ConcepcionBrad CoxSCRATCHED
10T O Password (JPN)Kazushi KimuraDaisuke Takayanagi30-1
11Forever Young (JPN)Ryusei SakaiYoshito Yahagi10-1
12Track PhantomJoel RosarioSteve Asmussen20-1
13West SaratogaJesus CastanonLarry Demeritte50-1
14EndlesslyUmberto RispoliMichael McCarthy30-1
15Domestic ProductIrad Ortiz, Jr.Chad Brown30-1
16Grand Mo the FirstEmisael JaramilloVictor Barboza50-1
17FiercenessJohn VelazquezTodd Pletcher5-2
18StrongholdAntonio FresuPhil D’Amato20-1
19ResilienceJunior AlvaradoBill Mott20-1
20Society ManFrankie DettoriDanny Gargan50-1
21Epic RideAdam BeschizzaJohn Ennis30-1
22 (AE)MugatuJoe TalamoJeff EnglerNA

*Kentucky Derby betting odds courtesy of FanDuel Racing