Kentucky Derby Odds 2025


Last Updated

The winner of the 2024 Kentucky Derby was Mystik Dan at closing odds of 18-1. Sierra Leone (9-2) finished in second, followed by Forever Young (6-1) in third. Next year’s edition will come our way on May 3 from Churchill Downs in Louisville, Kentucky. This page covers all the Derby odds for the biggest horse race of the year, along with information about betting on the Kentucky Derby.

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Kentucky Derby recap

At post time for the 2024 Kentucky Derby, Fierceness was the favorite at odds of 3-1, followed by Sierra Leone (9-2) and Forever Young (6-1). Here’s how it all shook out.

FinishHorseJockey/TrainerPostML OddsFinal OddsTimeWinnings
1Mystik DanHernandez Jr./McPeek320-118-12:03.34$3,100,000
2Sierra LeoneGaffalione/Brown23-19-2Nose$1,000,000
3Forever YoungSakai/Yahagi1110-16-1Head$500,000
4Catching FreedomPrat/Cox48-18-11 3/4 lengths$250,000
5T O PasswordFranco/Cox1030-147-16 1/2 lengths$150,000

Kentucky Derby betting, meanwhile, set multiple records, including $320.5 million in total handle for the 14-race card. Online betting rose significantly from the previous year, with FanDuel Racing reporting that over 700,000 customers wagered on the Derby. The surprise at the top of the board led to some hefty payouts for winning bettors.

Kentucky Derby final odds

The table below has the final odds at post time for all of the entrants, along with the 2024 Kentucky Derby morning line odds.

PostHorseJockeyTrainerPost Time OddsMorning Line Odds
1DornochLuis SaezDanny Gargan22-120-1
2Sierra LeoneTyler GaffalioneChad Brown9-23-1
3Mystik DanBrian HernandezKen McPeek18-120-1
4Catching FreedomFlavien PratBrad Cox8-18-1
5CatalyticJose OrtizSaffie Joseph, Jr.34-130-1
6Just SteelKeith AsmussenD. Wayne Lukas21-120-1
7Honor MarieBen CurtisWhit Beckman14-120-1
8Just a TouchFlorent GerouxBrad Cox11-110-1
9EncinoAxel ConcepcionBrad CoxSCRATCHEDSCRATCHED
10T O Password (JPN)Kazushi KimuraDaisuke Takayanagi47-130-1
11Forever Young (JPN)Ryusei SakaiYoshito Yahagi6-110-1
12Track PhantomJoel RosarioSteve Asmussen40-120-1
13West SaratogaJesus CastanonLarry Demeritte22-150-1
14EndlesslyUmberto RispoliMichael McCarthy47-130-1
15Domestic ProductIrad Ortiz, Jr.Chad Brown28-130-1
16Grand Mo the FirstEmisael JaramilloVictor Barboza48-150-1
17FiercenessJohn VelazquezTodd Pletcher3-15-2
18StrongholdAntonio FresuPhil D’Amato35-120-1
19ResilienceJunior AlvaradoBill Mott31-120-1
20Society ManFrankie DettoriDanny Gargan47-150-1
21Epic RideAdam BeschizzaJohn Ennis46-130-1
22 (AE)MugatuJoe TalamoJeff EnglerSCRATCHEDSCRATCHED

Kentucky Derby favorites

Below are the final point standings for 2024 Road to the Kentucky Derby contenders that earned 50 or more points.

  1. Sierra Leone – 155
  2. Fierceness – 136
  3. Catching Freedom – 125
  4. Stronghold – 125
  5. Resilience – 110
  6. Forever Young (JPN) – 100
  7. Endlessly – 100
  8. Dornoch – 75
  9. Just a Touch – 75
  10. Track Phantom – 70
  11. West Saratoga – 67
  12. Just Steel – 54
  13. Honor Marie – 65
  14. Domestic Product – 60
  15. Catalytic – 50
  16. Deterministic – 50
  17. Society Man – 50

Kentucky Derby future pool 6 final odds

Kentucky Derby future wager pools also offer a preview of which horses may be in the running. The first pool concluded on Nov. 2, 2023, while the sixth and final closed on April 6, 2024 and had a total handle of $376,038. The table below has the top 15 contenders from pool 6.

NamePool 6 Odds
Fierceness5-2
Sierra Leone7-1
Forever Young8-1
Deterministic12-1
Catching Freedom12-1
Dornoch12-1
All other 3-year-olds22-1
Just a Touch22-1
Tuscan Sky24-1
Honor Marie26-1
Stronghold30-1
Just Steel30-1
Mystik Dan35-1
Endlessly37-1
Domestic Product40-1

Kentucky Derby news & notes 

Kentucky Derby historical pool odds

Below are the results of the first five Kentucky Derby futures pools in advance of the 2024 edition of the race.

NamePool 5Pool 4 Pool 3Pool 2Pool 1
Fierceness9-116-18-18-129-1
Sierra Leone 7-16-113-136-1NA
Forever Young12-121-134-1NANA
Deterministic16-193-199-1NANA
Catching Freedom 26-131-128-152-149-1
Dornoch13-19-115-119-119-1
All other 3-year-olds11-15-12-16-54-5
Just a Touch31-127-1NANANA
Tuscan Sky36-131-188-1NANA
Honor Marie35-136-125-1NANA
Stronghold48-199-199-199-1101-1
Just Steel 99-179-199-1NANA
Mystik Dan16-121-1NA99-1NA
Endlessly59-1NANANANA
Domestic Product33-180-1NA99-179-1

Races leading up to the Kentucky Derby

Each prep race on the road to the Kentucky Derby awards points to the top four finishers. The top 20 horses clinch spots in the Kentucky Derby starting gate. Here are the winners of the completed races to date.

DateRace (Track)Winner (Points)TrainerOdds
Sept. 16, 2023Iroquois (Churchill Downs)West Saratoga (10)Demerritte/Bejarano8-1
Oct. 7, 2023Champagne (Aqueduct)Timberlake (10)Cox/Geroux7-2
Oct. 7, 2023American Pharoah (Santa Anita)Muth (10)Baffert/Hernandez1-1
Oct. 7, 2023Breeders’ Futurity (Keeneland)Locked (10)Pletcher/Ortiz3-5
Oct. 29, 2023Street Sense (Churchill Downs)Liberal Arts (10)Medina/Torres8-1
Nov. 3, 2023Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (Santa Anita)Fierceness (30)Pletcher/Velazquez6-1
Nov. 25, 2023Kentucky Jockey Club (Churchill Downs)Honor Marie (10)Whitworth Beckman/Bejarano8-1
Dec. 2, 2023Remsen (Aqueduct)Dornoch (10)Gargan/Saez5-2
Dec. 15, 2023Springboard Mile (Remington Park)Otto the Conqueror (10)Asmussen/Gaffalione5-2
Dec. 16, 2023Los Alamos Futurity (Los Alamitos)Wynstock (10)Baffert/Frey5-1
Dec. 23, 2023Gun Runner (Fair Grounds)Track Phantom (10)Asmussen/Torres7-2
Jan. 1, 2024Smarty Jones (Oaklawn Park)Catching Freedom (10)Cox/Torres9-2
Jan. 6, 2024Jerome (Aqueduct)Drum Roll Please (10)Cox/Castellano6-5
Jan. 20, 2024Lecomte (Fair Grounds)Track Phantom (20)Asmussen/Rosario9-5
Feb. 3, 2024Southwest (Oaklawn Park)Mystik Dan (20)McPeek/Hernandez Jr. 12-1
Feb. 3, 2024Holy Bull (Gulfstream Park)Hades (20)Orseno/Lopez6-1
Feb. 3, 2024Robert B. Lewis (Santa Anita)Nysos (20)Baffert/Prat4-5
Feb. 3, 2024Withers (Aqueduct)Uncle Heavy (20)Reid Jr./Sanchez 10-1
Feb. 10, 2024Sam F. Davis (Tampa Bay Downs)No More Time (20)D’Angelo/Lopez12-1
Feb. 17, 2024Risen Star (Fair Grounds)Sierra Leone (50)Brown/Gaffalione4-1
Feb. 18, 2024Sunland Derby (Sunland Park)Stronghold (20)D’Amato/Fresu5-2
Feb. 24, 2024Rebel (Oaklawn Park)Timberlake (50)Cox/Torres6-5
March 2, 2024Battaglia Memorial (Turfway Park)Encino (20)Cox/Concepcion9-2
March 2, 2024Fountain of Youth (Gulfstream Park)Dornoch (50)Gargan/Saez2-1
March 2, 2024Gotham (Aqueduct)Deterministic (50)Clement/Rosario9-2
March 2, 2024San Felipe (Santa Anita)Imagination (25)Baffert/Detttori6-1
March 9, 2024Tampa Bay Derby (Tampa Bay Downs)Domestic Product (50)Brown/Gaffalione8-5
March 23, 2024Fukuryo (Nakayama, Japan)T O Password (40)Takayanagi/Sameshima12-1
March 23, 2024Louisiana Derby (Fair Grounds)Catching Freedom (100)Cox/Prat4-1
March 23, 2024Jeff Ruby Steaks (Turfway Park)Endlessly (100)McCarthy/Rispoli5-2
March 30, 2024UAE Derby (Meydan Racecourse)Forever Young (100)Yahagi/Sakai9-5
March 30, 2024Arkansas Derby (Oaklawn Park)Muth (100)Baffert/Hernandez8-5
March 30, 2024Florida Derby (Gulfstream Park)Fierceness (100)Pletcher/Velazquez8-5
April 6, 2024Cardinal Condition Stakes (Chelmsford)Bracken’s Laugh (30)Hughes/Marsh9-1
April 6, 2024Santa Anita Derby (Santa Anita)Stronghold (100)D’Amato/Fresu5-2
April 6, 2024Blue Grass (Keeneland)Sierra Leone (100)Brown/Gaffalione2-1
April 6, 2024Wood Memorial (Aqueduct)Resilience (100)Mott/Velazquez6-1

Kentucky Derby past performances

Below is a look at the career performance and earnings of the horses in the 2024 Kentucky Derby field.

PostHorse/ML OddsWins/StartsLifetime Earnings
1Dornoch (20-1)3/6$552,275
2Sierra Leone (3-1)3/4$918,000
3Mystik Dan (20-1)2/6$641,360
4Catching Freedom (8-1)3/5$877,350
5Catalytic (30-1)1/3$216,825
6Just Steel (20-1)2/11$724,545
7Honor Marie (20-1)2/5$526,175
8Just a Touch (10-1)1/3$281,700
9Encino (SCRATCHED)3/4$378,315
10T O Password (JPN) (30-1)2/2$163,339
11Forever Young (JPN) (10-1)5/5$2,049,451
12Track Phantom (20-1)3/7$405,000
13West Saratoga (50-1)2/10$460,140
14Endlessly (30-1)5/6$707,200
15Domestic Product (30-1)2/5$314,200
16Grand Mo the First (50-1)2/6$214,650
17Fierceness (5-2)3/5$1,703,850
18Stronghold (20-1)3/6$827,200
19Resilience (20-1)2/6$494,630
20Society Man (50-1)1/5$196,705
21Epic Ride (30-1)2/5$253,166
22 (AE)Mugatu (SCRATCHED)1/12$80,570

2025 Kentucky Derby race facts

There have been 150 runnings of the world’s most famous horse race. Here are some of the key points to know as we get ready for the 2025 Kentucky Derby:

Kentucky Derby history

The Kentucky Derby first took place in 1875 and has been an annual event since. Aristides was the inaugural winner, clocking in at 2:37.75 over 1½ miles. The race evolved in the years that followed, with the length changing to 1¼ miles in 1896, where it remains to this day.

The race typically takes place on the first Saturday in May and serves as the first leg of horse racing’s Triple Crown. Derby winners tend to become favorites for the next two legs — the Preakness Stakes and Belmont Stakes — but turning the trick of winning all three races has proven to be a difficult achievement.

To date, it has happened just 13 times, most recently by Justify in 2018. Secretariat holds the all-time speed record for the mile-and-a-quarter race at Churchill with a blistering time of 1:59.4 in 1973. Bob Baffert and Ben A. Jones are tied for the most Derby wins for a trainer with six, while Eddie Arcaro and Bill Hartack share the lead for jockeys with five wins apiece.

Past Kentucky Derby winner odds

Here is the most recent decade of Kentucky Derby winners and their final odds.

YearWinnerPost PositionTimeTrainer/JockeyFinal Odds
2024Mystik Dan32:03.34McPeek/Hernandez Jr.18-1
2023Mage82:01.57Delgado/Castellano15-1
2022Rich Strike202:02.61Reed/Leon80-1
2021Mandaloun72:01.02Cox/Geroux15-1
2020Authentic182:00.61Baffert/Velazquez8-1
2019Country House202:03.93Mott/Prat65-1
2018Justify72:04.20Baffert/Smith5-2
2017Always Dreaming52:03.59Pletcher/Velazquez9-2
2016Nyquist132:01.31O’Neill/Gutierrez2-1
2015American Pharoah162:03.02Baffert/Espinoza5-2

Kentucky Derby FAQ

When is the Kentucky Derby?

The next Kentucky Derby will take place on May 3 at Churchill Downs in Louisville, Kentucky. The race traditionally happens on the first Saturday in May.

How many horses run in the race?

Recently, the race has set the maximum at 20. The first race saw 15 horses, and the number has varied over the race’s history. In 2023, there were 18 horses at the starting gate.

How much does the winner of the Kentucky Derby receive?

The overall purse for the Kentucky Derby in 2024 was $5 million, with the winner, Mystik Dan, landing the first prize of $3,100,000. The inaugural winner in 1875 received $2,850.

When is post time?

We’ll get an official post time for the 2025 Kentucky Derby as we get closer to race day. The 2024 Kentucky Derby went off at 6:57 p.m. ET, the 12th of 14 races at Churchill Downs that day. The doors opened at 8 a.m. ET, allowing fans to take in the all-day experience.

How much are Kentucky Derby tickets?

General admission tickets for the Kentucky Derby go on sale online in November, starting at $60. As the date for the race nears, the tickets increase in price to $75 to $80, while purchasing a ticket on the day of the race itself will cost $85.

How long does the Kentucky Derby last?

Historically, the Kentucky Derby has lasted just a little more than two minutes, ever since the move to 1.25 miles in 1896, which is where the phrase “the most exciting two minutes in sports” comes from.

Who was the fastest horse to win the Kentucky Derby?

Secretariat set the record for the fastest time in Kentucky Derby history in 1973 with a finish of 1:59.40. Monarchos is second with a time of 1:59.97 in 2001.

Which jockeys/trainers have the most wins?

Eddie Arcaro and Bill Hartack are tied for the most wins as jockeys, each crossing the line first on five occasions. Bob Baffert and Ben A. Jones share the lead for trainers with six victories.

What do the Kentucky Derby odds mean?

The oddsmaker will consider a number of factors when setting the morning line. Any odds that come out for the Derby in advance of the draw are speculative, but they can serve as a ballpark guide of what to expect. These odds are not indicative of the oddsmakers’ opinions on each horse. Rather, their purpose is to act as a guess of how the public will wager prior to the race. Additionally, the morning line odds are not final. You can expect to see shifts in the numbers right up to post time. The more money people wager on a horse, the lower its odds, and vice versa.

Are these Kentucky Derby odds official?

Currently, post positions and morning-line odds have not been officially set by line makers. Typically, both of these are set the Wednesday before the Kentucky Derby, but this year, the draw will take place a full week before on April 27.

Once the field is set for the Derby, there will be a draw to determine post position for all participants in the race. The morning line odds for all entrants will come out a week in advance Below are factors that also play a role in determining odds:

After the lines are out, it’s time for bettors to digest and make their guesses. You can expect to see shifts in the numbers right up to post time.