2024 Kentucky Derby Odds


Last Updated

The 2024 Kentucky Derby is May 4 from Churchill Downs in Louisville, Ky. This season’s “Road to the Kentucky Derby” is in full swing to see who will qualify. Based on the closing Kentucky Derby odds earlier this month, Fierceness was the favorite at 5-2 odds. We’ll see if anything changes come race week.

This page covers all the Derby odds for the biggest horse race of the year, along with information about betting on the Kentucky Derby.

Best odds for the 2024 Kentucky Derby

Morning line odds for the 2024 Kentucky Derby will come out in the days leading up to the event. Betting odds will continue to shift from there, up to post time. Once the field and odds come out for this year’s Kentucky Derby, we’ll have the post positions and latest odds right here. In the interim, future odds are available for the potential entrants. The final pool closed on April 6. Here are the top contenders based on the closing odds.

2024 Kentucky Derby favorites

Kentucky Derby future wager pools also offer a preview of which horses may be in the running. The first pool concluded on Nov. 2, 2023, while the most recently completed pool was the sixth and final. It closed on April 6 and had a total horse betting handle of $376,038. The table below has the top 15 contenders from that pool, along with their odds through each round of future wagering.

NamePool 6Pool 5Pool 4 Pool 3Pool 2Pool 1
Fierceness5-29-116-18-18-129-1
Sierra Leone 7-17-16-113-136-1NA
Forever Young8-112-121-134-1NANA
Deterministic12-116-193-199-1NANA
Catching Freedom 12-126-131-128-152-149-1
Dornoch12-113-19-115-119-119-1
All other 3-year-olds22-111-15-12-16-54-5
Just a Touch22-131-127-1NANANA
Tuscan Sky24-136-131-188-1NANA
Honor Marie26-135-136-125-1NANA
Stronghold30-148-199-199-199-1101-1
Just Steel 30-199-179-199-1NANA
Mystik Dan35-116-121-1NA99-1NA
Endlessly37-159-1NANANANA
Domestic Product40-133-180-1NA99-179-1

Kentucky Derby favorites last updated: April 15, 2024

Horses for the 2024 Kentucky Derby

Below are the current points standings for the 2024 Road to the Kentucky Derby contenders who have earned 50 or more points to date.

HorseTrainerDerby points
Sierra LeoneChad Brown155
FiercenessTodd Pletcher136
Catching FreedomBrad Cox125
StrongholdPhil D’Amato125
ResilienceBill Mott110
Forever Young (JPN)Yoshito Yahagi100
EndlesslyMichael McCarthy100
DornochDanny Gargan75
Just a TouchBrad Cox75
Track PhantomSteve Asmussen70
West SaratogaLarry Demeritte67
Just SteelWayne Lukas65
Honor MarieWhit Beckman65
Domestic ProductChad Brown60
CatalyticSaffie Joseph Jr.50
DeterministicChristophe Clement50
Society ManDanny Gargan50

Road to the Kentucky Derby contenders last updated: April 15, 2024

What do the Kentucky Derby odds mean?

The oddsmaker will consider a number of factors when setting the morning line. Any odds that come out for the Derby in advance of the draw are speculative, but they can serve as a ballpark guide of what to expect. These odds are not indicative of the oddsmakers’ opinions on each horse. Rather, their purpose is to act as a guess of how the public will wager prior to the race. Additionally, the morning line odds are not final. You can expect to see shifts in the numbers right up to post time. The more money people wager on a horse, the lower its odds, and vice versa.

What goes into the lines for the Kentucky Derby?

Once the field is set for the Derby, there will be a draw to determine post position for all participants in the race. The morning line odds for all entrants will come out several days in advance. The oddsmakers will consider a number of factors when setting the lines, such as the following:

Any odds that come out for the Derby in advance of the draw are speculative, but they can serve as a ballpark guide of what to expect. After the lines are out, it’s time for bettors to digest and make their guesses. You can expect to see shifts in the numbers right up to post time.

Prep races leading up to the Kentucky Derby

Each prep race on the road to the Kentucky Derby awards points to the top four finishers. The top 20 horses clinch spots in the Kentucky Derby starting gate. Here are the winners of the completed races to date.

DateRace (Track)Winner (Points)TrainerOdds
Sept. 16, 2023Iroquois (Churchill Downs)West Saratoga (10)Demerritte/Bejarano8-1
Oct. 7, 2023Champagne (Aqueduct)Timberlake (10)Cox/Geroux7-2
Oct. 7, 2023American Pharoah (Santa Anita)Muth (10)Baffert/Hernandez1-1
Oct. 7, 2023Breeders’ Futurity (Keeneland)Locked (10)Pletcher/Ortiz3-5
Oct. 29, 2023Street Sense (Churchill Downs)Liberal Arts (10)Medina/Torres8-1
Nov. 3, 2023Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (Santa Anita)Fierceness (30)Pletcher/Velazquez6-1
Nov. 25, 2023Kentucky Jockey Club (Churchill Downs)Honor Marie (10)Whitworth Beckman/Bejarano8-1
Dec. 2, 2023Remsen (Aqueduct)Dornoch (10)Gargan/Saez5-2
Dec. 15, 2023Springboard Mile (Remington Park)Otto the Conqueror (10)Asmussen/Gaffalione5-2
Dec. 16, 2023Los Alamos Futurity (Los Alamitos)Wynstock (10)Baffert/Frey5-1
Dec. 23, 2023Gun Runner (Fair Grounds)Track Phantom (10)Asmussen/Torres7-2
Jan. 1, 2024Smarty Jones (Oaklawn Park)Catching Freedom (10)Cox/Torres9-2
Jan. 6, 2024Jerome (Aqueduct)Drum Roll Please (10)Cox/Castellano6-5
Jan. 20, 2024Lecomte (Fair Grounds)Track Phantom (20)Asmussen/Rosario9-5
Feb. 3, 2024Southwest (Oaklawn Park)Mystik Dan (20)McPeek/Hernandez Jr. 12-1
Feb. 3, 2024Holy Bull (Gulfstream Park)Hades (20)Orseno/Lopez6-1
Feb. 3, 2024Robert B. Lewis (Santa Anita)Nysos (20)Baffert/Prat4-5
Feb. 3, 2024Withers (Aqueduct)Uncle Heavy (20)Reid Jr./Sanchez 10-1
Feb. 10, 2024Sam F. Davis (Tampa Bay Downs)No More Time (20)D’Angelo/Lopez12-1
Feb. 17, 2024Risen Star (Fair Grounds)Sierra Leone (50)Brown/Gaffalione4-1
Feb. 18, 2024Sunland Derby (Sunland Park)Stronghold (20)D’Amato/Fresu5-2
Feb. 24, 2024Rebel (Oaklawn Park)Timberlake (50)Cox/Torres6-5
March 2, 2024Battaglia Memorial (Turfway Park)Encino (20)Cox/Concepcion9-2
March 2, 2024Fountain of Youth (Gulfstream Park)Dornoch (50)Gargan/Saez2-1
March 2, 2024Gotham (Aqueduct)Deterministic (50)Clement/Rosario9-2
March 2, 2024San Felipe (Santa Anita)Imagination (25)Baffert/Detttori6-1
March 9, 2024Tampa Bay Derby (Tampa Bay Downs)Domestic Product (50)Brown/Gaffalione8-5
March 23, 2024Fukuryo (Nakayama, Japan)T O Password (40)Takayanagi/Sameshima12-1
March 23, 2024Louisiana Derby (Fair Grounds)Catching Freedom (100)Cox/Prat4-1
March 23, 2024Jeff Ruby Steaks (Turfway Park)Endlessly (100)McCarthy/Rispoli5-2
March 30, 2024UAE Derby (Meydan Racecourse)Forever Young (100)Yahagi/Sakai9-5
March 30, 2024Arkansas Derby (Oaklawn Park)Muth (100)Baffert/Hernandez8-5
March 30, 2024Florida Derby (Gulfstream Park)Fierceness (100)Pletcher/Velazquez8-5
April 6, 2024Cardinal Condition Stakes (Chelmsford)Bracken’s Laugh (30)Hughes/Marsh9-1
April 6, 2024Santa Anita Derby (Santa Anita)Stronghold (100)D’Amato/Fresu5-2
April 6, 2024Blue Grass (Keeneland)Sierra Leone (100)Brown/Gaffalione2-1
April 6, 2024Wood Memorial (Aqueduct)Resilience (100)Mott/Velazquez6-1

Kentucky Derby history

The Kentucky Derby first took place in 1875 and has been an annual event since. Aristides was the inaugural winner, clocking in at 2:37.75 over 1½ miles. The race evolved in the years that followed, with the length changing to 1¼ miles in 1896, where it remains to this day.

The race typically takes place on the first Saturday in May and serves as the first leg of horse racing’s Triple Crown. Derby winners tend to become favorites for the next two legs — the Preakness Stakes and Belmont Stakes — but turning the trick of winning all three races has proven to be a difficult achievement.

To date, it has happened just 13 times, most recently by Justify in 2018. Secretariat holds the all-time speed record for the mile-and-a-quarter race at Churchill with a blistering time of 1:59.4 in 1973. Bob Baffert and Ben A. Jones are tied for the most Derby wins for a trainer with six, while Eddie Arcaro and Bill Hartack share the lead for jockeys with five wins apiece.

2023 Kentucky Derby recap

It was a hectic leadup to the 2023 Kentucky Derby. Five horses were scratched leading up to the event, including presumptive favorite Forte on the morning of race day. At post time, there were 18 horses at the starting gate, with Angel of Empire and Tapit Trice the top two favorites. Here’s how the race shook out.

Mage was the winner, clocking a time of 2:01:57, with post-time odds of 15-1.

FinishHorseJockey/TrainerPostML OddsFinal OddsTimeWinnings
1MageCastellano/Delgado815-115-12:01.57$1,860,000
2Two Phil’sLoveberry/Rivelli312-19-11 1/2 lengths$600,000
3Angel of EmpirePrat/Cox148-17-21 1/2 lengths$300,000
4DisarmRosario/Asmussen1130-126-14 1/2 lengths$150,000
5Hit ShowFranco/Cox130-124-16 1/2 lengths$90,000

On the betting front, multiple records were set, including a record-setting $188.7 million in wagers placed on the derby on race day alone. The surprise at the top of the board led to some hefty payouts for winning bettors.

Past Kentucky Derby winner odds

The below decade has the last decade of Kentucky Derby winners and their final odds.

YearWinnerPost PositionTimeTrainer/JockeyFinal Odds
2023Mage82:01.57Delgado/Castellano14-1
2022Rich Strike202:02.61Reed/Leon80-1
2021Mandaloun72:01.02Cox/Geroux15-1
2020Authentic182:00.61Baffert/Velazquez8-1
2019Country House202:03.93Mott/Prat65-1
2018Justify72:04.20Baffert/Smith5-2
2017Always Dreaming52:03.59Pletcher/Velazquez9-2
2016Nyquist132:01.31O’Neill/Gutierrez2-1
2015American Pharoah162:03.02Baffert/Espinoza5-2
2014California Chrome52:03.66Sherman/Espinoza5-2

Kentucky Derby FAQ

When is the Kentucky Derby?

The next Kentucky Derby will take place on May 4 at Churchill Downs in Louisville, Kentucky. The race traditionally happens on the first Saturday in May.

How many horses run in the race?

Recently, the race has set the maximum at 20. The first race saw 15 horses, and the number has varied over the race’s history. In 2023, there were 18 horses at the starting gate.

How much does the winner of the Kentucky Derby receive?

The overall purse for the Kentucky Derby is $3 million, with the winner landing the first prize of $1,860,000. The inaugural winner in 1875 received $2,850.

When is post time?

Post time for the 2024 Kentucky Derby will be made official as we get closer to race day. The 2023 Kentucky Derby went off at 6:57 p.m. ET, the 12th of 14 races at Churchill Downs that day. The doors opened at 8 a.m. ET, allowing fans to take in the all-day experience.

How much are Kentucky Derby tickets?

General admission tickets for the Kentucky Derby go on sale online in November, starting at $60. As the date for the race nears, the tickets increase in price to $75 to $80, while purchasing a ticket on the day of the race itself will cost $85.

How long does the Kentucky Derby last?

Historically, the Kentucky Derby has lasted just a little more than two minutes, ever since the move to 1.25 miles in 1896, which is where the phrase “the most exciting two minutes in sports” comes from.

Who was the fastest horse to win the Kentucky Derby?

Secretariat set the record for the fastest time in Kentucky Derby history in 1973 with a finish of 1:59.40. Monarchos is second with a time of 1:59.97 in 2001.

Which jockeys/trainers have the most wins?

Eddie Arcaro and Bill Hartack are tied for the most wins as jockeys, each crossing the line first on five occasions. Bob Baffert and Ben A. Jones share the lead for trainers with six victories.