UFC 301 goes down this Saturday, May 4, at Farmasi Arena in Rio de Janeiro. Online sportsbooks have released betting odds for the event, with UFC flyweight champion Alexandre Pantoja as a -189 favorite over challenger Steve Erceg, who’s a +175 underdog in the main event.
Below, we’ll look at full UFC 301 betting odds ahead this pay-per-view event. You can also check out more UFC odds, as well as UFC prop bets as each event draws near.
UFC 301 main event odds
Alexandre Pantoja vs. Steve Erceg
Pantoja (27-5) is coming off a dominant decision win over Brandon Royval in his first defense of the UFC flyweight title in December. He’s now won five straight, including his split-decision victory over Brandon Moreno to claim the 125-pound belt last July. Pantoja has proven himself to be a skilled grappler who can threaten with submissions or simply control a fight with wrestling and top control. Of his 27 professional wins, 10 have come via submission, with the rest almost evenly split between decisions and TKO/KO finishes.
Erceg (12-1) has been on a tear, rising through the UFC ranks from newcomer to title challenger in just three fights. He hasn’t lost a bout since 2017, and he blazed through the competition on the local Australian scene before signing with the UFC and making his debut last summer. His last outing saw him score a brutal knockout of Matt Schnell in the second round, but before that he was known more for his skill with submissions.
Pantoja represents a big jump in competition for him. The champ could prove to be a tough stylistic matchup this early in Erceg’s UFC tenure, which likely explains his underdog status in this flyweight title fight.
UFC 301 main event prop bet odds
Pantoja has built his reputation as a grappling specialist, and his ground work has been essential to his UFC title run. The bulk of his finishes in the UFC have come via submission, including two of his last four wins. Erceg owes exactly half of his professional victories to submission finishes, but they’ve all come against lower-tier competition. In his last outing he scored a second-round knockout win, just his second pro victory via strikes.
Method of victory props
UFC 301 current fight card odds
- Alexandre Pantoja vs. Steve Erceg
- Jonathan Martinez vs. Jose Aldo
- Michel Pereira vs. Ihor Potieria
- Anthony Smith vs. Vitor Petrino
- Paul Craig vs. Caio Borralho
- Joanderson Brito vs. Jack Shore
- Karolina Kowalkiewicz vs. Iasmin Lucindo
- Elves Brener vs. Myktybek Orolbai
- Jean Silva vs. William Gomis
- Joaquim Silva vs. Drakkar Klose
- Mauricio Ruffy vs. Jamie Mullarkey
- Dione Barbosa vs. Ernesta Kareckaite
- Ismael Bonfim vs. Vinc Pichel
- Alessandro Costa vs. Kevin Borjas
How to watch UFC 301
- Date: May 4
- Venue: Farmasi Arena, Rio de Janeiro
- Time: Main card, 10 p.m. ET
- Broadcast: ESPN+ pay-per-view
