Best UFC Odds: Moneylines, Prop Bets, And Analysis For Upcoming UFC Fights

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Below, you’ll find UFC odds on events like the upcoming UFC Fight Night fight card headlined by Grant Dawson vs. Bobby Green, as well as UFC 294, headlined by Islam Makhachev vs. Charles Oliveira, and UFC 295, featuring Jon Jones vs. Stipe Miocic.

First we’ll look at all the betting odds for the upcoming UFC fight card. If you see a bet you like, clicking the odds will take you to a sportsbook where you can place that wager. Keep scrolling for odds and betting analysis on upcoming fights, plus prop bet odds for the next UFC event.

UFC odds and betting lines

UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Dawson, Oct. 7

Approx. TimeFighterWin OddsFighterWin Odds
7:15 p.m. ETDrew Dober-400Ricky Glenn+325
7:45 p.m. ETDiana Belbita+140Karolina Kowalkiewicz-165
8:15 p.m. ETJoaquin Buckley-200Alex Morono+160
8:45 p.m. ETBill Algeo-150Alexander Hernandez+125
9:15 p.m. ETAbdul Razak Alhassan+280Joe Pyfer-350
9:45 p.m. ETGrant Dawson-350Bobby Green+275
Odds are from BetMGM Sportsbook; updated Sept. 25

Most bettors in the United States and Ontario have multiple options for wagering on UFC events. You can select from a variety of prop bets, moneyline wagers, and multi-fight parlays.

The UFC is a worldwide MMA fight promotion that operates events year-round. It offers some form of fight action almost every weekend. Odds are also available lower on this page for planned and potential UFC events.

UFC event odds and analysis

UFC 294: Islam Makhachev -350 vs. Charles Oliveira +260

The UFC lightweight champion Makhachev (24-1) was in total control the first time these two fought, snatching Oliveira’s (34-9) 155-pound title with a second-round submission after dropping him with a punch earlier in the fight. Oliveira has since rebounded with a dominant TKO stoppage of rising lightweight contender Beneil Dariush, while Makhachev squeaked past featherweight champ Alexander Volkanovski, who moved up in weight to challenge him and nearly pulled off a late comeback upset.

Makhachev had the advantages both standing and on the mat in the last meeting with Oliveira, but the former champ is a crafty veteran with some tricks still left. He’s also been known to have some off nights, and the loss to Makhachev could have been one of them. Still, Oliveira’s habit of starting slow in fights — often getting dropped even in fights he goes on to win — is a potentially troubling one for a matchup like this.

UFC 295: Jon Jones -375 vs. Stipe Miocic +290

Here’s a heavyweight title fight that’s been years in the making, but it may be coming to fruition just a little past its expiration date. Jones (27-1) was the longtime light heavyweight champion who finally moved up in weight and easily captured the vacant heavyweight title in a fight with former interim champ Cyril Gane earlier this year. Miocic is the former heavyweight champ who hasn’t fought since losing his title to Francis Ngannou via knockout in 2021.

Back when he was closer to his prime, Miocic’s combination of power striking and solid overall wrestling ability might have made him an ideal test for Jones at heavyweight. But now Miocic is 41 and more than three years removed from his last UFC win. Jones seems to have acclimated well to the very gradual move up in weight, and as long as he can stay out of his own way outside the cage, would seem to be holding all the cards here.

Best odds for UFC prop bets

Many sportsbooks offer odds on prop bets for UFC events. UFC prop bets typically are concerned with when the fight will end and what the method of victory will be. Prop bet odds typically become available closer to fight night, so check back then.

Future and potential UFC fight odds

Some sportsbooks offer odds on UFC bouts that have been planned or discussed. These are not yet officially signed or attached to any specific UFC event. Some even offer odds on fights that may happen but have not had any serious discussion. While you can place bets on those fights, typically they will be void if the fight does not take place by the end of the current calendar year. Here are some odds on potential future UFC bouts:

Conor McGregor-115Michael Chandler-105
Leon Edwards-105Colby Covington-115
Odds are from Caesars Sportsbook

Types of UFC odds

Depending on where you live, you may have multiple online sportsbooks to choose from. To get the best odds, it can be advantageous to sign up at several books. This can also allow you to claim various sign-up bonuses. Remember to do so while gambling responsibly.

Once you’ve signed up and deposited money into your account, you can place bets on UFC events. Keep in mind that more bets typically become available in the week leading up to the fight. This especially holds true for props.

Moneyline: This is a straight bet on one fighter to win. If you place a moneyline bet, your bet cashes if the fighter you picked wins. This happens regardless of method, time or round. Your payout depends on the odds and the amount of your wager.

Fight props: Prop bets (aka “propositions”) allow you to wager on specific occurrences. These are often at greater and therefore potentially more profitable odds. Examples of fight props might be betting on a certain fight to last for all the scheduled rounds. This is also known as “going the distance.” You might also be able to bet on a fight to finish in the first minute. Or, even on the referee deducting a point at some point in the fight.

Round props: This allows you to bet on which round the fight will end in. Or whether a fight will last long enough to see the beginning of a certain round.

Winning method: These bets allow you to wager on precisely how the fight will end. They tend to broadly fall into three categories: KO/TKO/DQ, submission and decision. If the referee stops the fight due to strikes, that’s almost always a knockout or technical knockout. When a fighter taps out, either physically or verbally, while in a choke or joint lock, it’s a submission. If the fight goes the full distance and the judges decide it, that’s a decision. It’s also possible to bet on a fight ending in a draw, though this is relatively rare. You can also combine round props and winning method by betting on a fight to end in a specific round.

Parlays: This is when you group two or more bets together. This goes with the understanding that the parlay only wins if all of your individual picks are correct. For instance, you might bet on three different fighters on the same card to all win their bouts. Or you might bet on one fighter to win, another to win by submission, and a third fight to go the distance regardless of who wins the decision. The more bets you add to a parlay, the higher the odds get and the greater the potential payout. But the risk tends to go up as well, as a single missed bet spoils the parlay.

UFC odds explained

The most common question bettors face when looking at fight odds is how to interpret the numbers they see next to each fighter’s name. A positive number means that these are underdog odds, which means the payoff will be higher if the bet hits. If the moneyline odds on a fighter are +300, that means a bet of $100 would stand to win $300 (plus your original $100 back) if that fighter wins.

A negative number generally indicates a favorite, which means the potential payoff will be lower. If a fighter is -300, that means a bet of $300 would stand to win $100 (plus your original bet back) if that fighter wins.

Recent UFC events

Strickland shocks Adesanya at UFC 293

Sean Strickland came in as the biggest underdog on the card at UFC 293 in Sydney and left with the UFC middleweight title after dominating Israel Adesanya over the course of five rounds. Strickland surprised oddsmakers and experts by standing and striking with the former kickboxing champ Adesanya, outpointing him in the process after nearly scoring a finish with punches in the first round. A rematch between the two seems likely, according to UFC President Dana White.

O’Malley upsets Sterling at UFC 292

Underdog Sean O’Malley scored an upset victory to claim the bantamweight title with a second-round TKO victory over champion Aljamain Sterling in Boston. O’Malley caught the champion reaching on his way in and countered with a clean right hand that put Sterling down, then followed with some accurate ground-and-pound to force the stoppage. In the co-main event, strawweight champion Zhang Weili continued her dominance in the division, earning a one-sided unanimous decision victory over challenger Amanda Lemos.

Gaethje KOs Poirier at UFC 291

Justin Gaethje won the UFC’s ceremonial “BMF” title with a surprising upset victory, knocking Dustin Poirier out with a head kick in the second round. The win offered some redemption for Gaethje, who lost the first meeting via fourth-round TKO back in 2018. In the co-main event, former UFC middleweight champ Alex Perreira got a win in his light heavyweight debut, beating former 205-pound champion Jan Blachowicz via split decision after three close rounds in which Blachowicz gradually slowed due to fatigue.

Volkanovski takes down Rodriguez at UFC 290

Alexander Volkanovski reminded fans why he’s the featherweight champion, dominating Yair Rodriguez in the main event en route to a third-round TKO victory. Volkanovski came in as a sizable favorite in the headlining bout, and his wrestling advantage proved to be the difference early on. In the co-main event, Alexandre Pantoja wrested the men’s flyweight title away from Brandon Moreno via split decision after five grueling rounds. Both men were bloodied and battered by the end, but Pantoja took the belt by the slimmest of margins on the judges’ scorecards, making him the new champ at 125 pounds.

Nunes wins UFC 289, announces retirement

Amanda Nunes successfully defended her UFC women’s bantamweight title with a dominating decision victory over challenger Irene Aldana in Vancouver, Canada. After the fight, Nunes announced her retirement from MMA at the age of 35, explaining that she’d done everything she set out to do in the sport and wanted to focus on her family. In the co-main event, former lightweight champ Charles Oliveira put himself right back in the title conversation with a first-round TKO win over Beneil Dariush. It was Oliveira’s first fight since losing his UFC belt last fall, and Oliveira won an emphatic victory, halting Dariush’s eight-fight winning streak in the opening frame.

Sterling narrowly wins over Cejudo at UFC 288

Aljamain Sterling successfully defended his UFC bantamweight title against former two-division champ Henry Cejudo with a narrow decision victory in the main event of UFC 288. Cejudo was returning after three years out of the cage but was just barely outpointed by the reigning 135-pound champ in a competitive five-round headliner. In the co-main event, welterweight contender Belal Muhammad improved his case for a title shot with a unanimous decision victory over former title challenger Gilbert Burns, who appeared to injure his arm early in the bout.

UFC 287 recap

Israel Adesanya finally got his revenge against Alex Pereira in the main event of UFC 287. Adesanya recaptured the 185-pound title with a second-round knockout of the man who beat him twice in kickboxing and once in the UFC. Adesanya closed as the betting favorite in both MMA bouts, though that margin was much smaller following Pereira’s victory over him last November. In the co-main event, heavy favorite Gilbert Burns outpointed Jorge Masvidal, who then announced his retirement in the cage.

UFC 286 recap

In a main-event upset, welterweight champion Leon Edwards retained his title with a majority decision win over Kamaru Usman in London. Though he won a knockout victory in the second meeting, Edwards was nonetheless a 2-1 underdog in the rubber match with Usman, but he surprised many observers by outpointing Usman over the course of five rounds. In the co-main event, Justin Gaethje pulled off another upset by beating Rafael Fiziev via majority decision in a closely contested three-round lightweight fight.

UFC 285 recap

Former light heavyweight champion Jon Jones returned after three years out of the cage to easily defeat Ciryl Gane for the vacant UFC heavyweight title in the main event. After a brief feeling-out period, Jones moved to the clinch and tripped Gane to the mat, then quickly advanced to mount against the cage before locking up a guillotine choke submission just 2:04 into the first round. Jones had opened as an underdog and closed as a modest favorite in the bout, the first time since 2009 he wasn’t the immediate and overwhelming favorite in a UFC fight.

In the co-main event, Alexa Grasso pulled off a major upset by defeating longtime women’s flyweight champion Valentina Shevchenko via submission at the 4:34 mark of Round 4. Shevchenko had been controlling most of the fight with her wrestling and top control, but after a spinning kick attempt missed its mark, Grasso closed the distance and took her back, locking in a rear-naked choke that put the squeeze across Shevchenko’s jaw and eventually forced her to tap. Grasso was a massive underdog in the fight, closing as high as +750 before she ultimately ended Shevchenko’s nine-fight winning streak at flyweight.

UFC odds FAQ

Can I bet on the UFC?

Yes. If you’re in a state where sports gambling is legal, you can typically bet on every bout that happens in the UFC. Many sportsbooks also offer odds on other MMA promotions, such as Bellator, PFL, Dana White’s Contender Series and more.

Where can I bet on UFC fights?

You can usually wager on UFC bouts in any state where sports betting is legal, using one of the sportsbooks that regulators have approved in that state.

What happens if a UFC fight ends in a draw?

It’s relatively rare for MMA bouts to end in draws, but it does happen occasionally. When it does, it usually depends on whether the sportsbook where you placed the wager offered “draw” as one of the options for the outcome. If draw was an option to bet on, as it often is at many sportsbooks, then moneyline bets on either fighter to win would both lose. If draw was not an option, the sportsbook will typically void moneyline bets on one of the fighters to win. However, a bet on the fight to go to a decision would still win, since a draw counts as a type of judges’ decision.

What if a fight is canceled after I’ve made my bet?

Fights are sometimes scratched from the card, occasionally even on the day of the event, for a variety of reasons, most of them relating to fighter health and safety. When that happens, sportsbooks will typically void and refund single bets on that one fight. Bets on that fight as part of a parlay depend on house rules, but often the sportsbook will remove that fight alone from the parlay, and the rest will remain intact. Be sure to read the house rules for any sportsbook you use, as these can vary.

What if the fight is a no-contest?

Fights sometimes end in a no-contest after something like an accidental foul early in the bout makes it impossible to complete. In that case, sportsbooks usually void and refund bets on the fight. Sometimes, however, fights have an announced winner and only later does a state athletic commission change it to a no-contest. In that case, house rules apply, but often sportsbooks pay out bets on the basis of the result on fight night.

How do UFC odds work?

Odds with a plus in front of them are underdog odds, which means the payout for hitting those bets will be higher, but also perhaps less likely. If the moneyline odds on a fighter are +240, that means a $100 bet on that fighter will net you $240 if that fighter wins. Negative odds, meanwhile, indicate favorites, which means the potential payout will be smaller but oddsmakers think it has a higher chance of winning. If the moneyline is -130, that means a bet of $130 would stand to net a gain of $100 on a winning wager.

Who’s the biggest underdog to ever win a UFC fight?

In terms of closing odds, the biggest underdog to win a UFC bout was Shana Dobson, who came in at +950 against Mariya Agapova, who was a -1400 favorite to win their bout at a UFC Fight Night event in 2020. Dobson won the fight via TKO, cashing as an almost 10-1 underdog. The biggest upset in a title fight came at UFC 69, when +850 underdog Matt Serra defeated welterweight champion Georges St-Pierre via TKO in 2007.

How often do favorites win in the UFC?

Not all fights have a favorite and an underdog. Some fights are “pick ’ems,” with the odds the same for both competitors. But of the 511 bouts to take place in the UFC in 2022, 486 had one favorite and one underdog. Of those, the favorite won 64.8% of the time.

How many rounds are there in a UFC fight?

All title fights in the UFC are scheduled for five rounds of five minutes each. The fight can end at any time due to knockout, submission or disqualification, but no fights can go longer than the full five rounds. Most main events are also booked for five rounds of five minutes each, but occasionally last-minute changes to the card or bout order can affect this. All other fights, meanwhile, are scheduled for three rounds of five minutes each and will have gone the distance if they complete all scheduled rounds and are decided by the judges’ scorecards.