UFC Odds & MMA Betting Lines

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The latest UFC odds for UFC 303 in Las Vegas on Saturday, June 29, are in the table below. You can also check out information on how to bet on UFC fights, as well as UFC prop bet odds as each event draws near.

UFC 303 odds and betting info

Alex Pereira vs. Jiri Prochazka

Pereira (10-2) is coming off a first-round knockout win over the former champ Hill to retain his light heavyweight title at UFC 300 in April. He fought that bout with a broken toe and had been taking time off to recover and teach seminars overseas before the UFC called him in as a late replacement here. This will be Pereira’s fourth fight in less than a year, raising some concerns that he might be pushing his body too hard. Still, his kickboxing-heavy style has served him well against other strikers in this division, and he already has a good sense of what to expect from this stylistic matchup.

Prochazka (30-4-1) also picked up a win at UFC 300, rebounding from a slow start to notch a TKO victory over Aleksandr Rakic in the second round. In that fight he again showed off his ability to essentially ignore damage and will his way to a win even in fights where he seems outmatched. Against a champion who beat him in the stand-up game last time, the big question will be to what extent Prochazka will commit to a wrestling attack in the rematch. Pereira has steadily improved on the ground, but Prochazka may still have the advantage there if he can get the fight to the mat and keep it there without exhausting himself in the process.

Future and potential UFC fight odds

Some sportsbooks offer odds on UFC bouts that have been planned or discussed. These are not yet officially signed or attached to any specific UFC event. Some even offer odds on fights that may happen but have not had any serious discussion. While you can place bets on those fights, typically they will be void if the fight does not take place by the end of the current calendar year. Here is an example of a fight now scheduled for UFC 303:

Conor McGregor-280Tony Ferguson+230
Alex Pereira+130Israel Adesanya-155
Bryce Mitchell+150Ilia Topuria-170

Types of UFC odds

Depending on where you live, you may have multiple online sportsbooks to choose from. To get the best odds, it can be advantageous to sign up at several books. This can also allow you to claim various sign-up bonuses. Remember to do so while gambling responsibly.

Once you’ve signed up and deposited money into your account, you can place bets on UFC events. Keep in mind that more bets typically become available in the week leading up to the fight. This especially holds true for props.

Moneyline: This is a straight bet on one fighter to win. If you place a moneyline bet, your bet cashes if the fighter you picked wins. This happens regardless of method, time or round. Your payout depends on the odds and the amount of your wager.

Fight props: Prop bets (aka “propositions”) allow you to wager on specific occurrences. These are often at greater and therefore potentially more profitable odds. Examples of fight props might be betting on a certain fight to last for all the scheduled rounds. This is also known as “going the distance.” You might also be able to bet on a fight to finish in the first minute. Or, even on the referee deducting a point at some point in the fight.

Round props: This allows you to bet on which round the fight will end in. Or whether a fight will last long enough to see the beginning of a certain round.

Winning method: These bets allow you to wager on precisely how the fight will end. They tend to broadly fall into three categories: KO/TKO/DQ, submission and decision. If the referee stops the fight due to strikes, that’s almost always a knockout or technical knockout. When a fighter taps out, either physically or verbally, while in a choke or joint lock, it’s a submission. If the fight goes the full distance and the judges decide it, that’s a decision. It’s also possible to bet on a fight ending in a draw, though this is relatively rare. You can also combine round props and winning method by betting on a fight to end in a specific round.

Parlays: This is when you group two or more bets together. This goes with the understanding that the parlay only wins if all of your individual picks are correct. For instance, you might bet on three different fighters on the same card to all win their bouts. Or you might bet on one fighter to win, another to win by submission, and a third fight to go the distance regardless of who wins the decision. The more bets you add to a parlay, the higher the odds get and the greater the potential payout. But the risk tends to go up as well, as a single missed bet spoils the parlay.

UFC odds explained

The most common question bettors face when looking at fight odds is how to interpret the numbers they see next to each fighter’s name. A positive number means that these are underdog odds, which means the payoff will be higher if the bet hits. If the moneyline odds on a fighter are +300, that means a bet of $100 would stand to win $300 (plus your original $100 back) if that fighter wins.

A negative number generally indicates a favorite, which means the potential payoff will be lower. If a fighter is -300, that means a bet of $300 would stand to win $100 (plus your original bet back) if that fighter wins.

Recent UFC events

Makhachev submits Poirier; Strickland decisions Costa at UFC 302

UFC lightweight champ Islam Makhachev came in as a huge favorite but faced a stiff test from Dustin Poirier in the main event. Despite suffering a bad cut late in the fight, Makhachev pulled off a brabo choke submission in the fifth round to remain the champion. In the co-main event, former champion Sean Strickland also cashed as a favorite by outpointing underdog Paulo Costa in a somewhat sleepy five-round affair.

Pantoja retains title in narrow victory at UFC 301

Alexandre Pantoja fended off a flyweight title challenge from Steve Erceg in Brazil, but just barely. The champ held onto his title by the skin of his teeth, winning a narrow decision victory against an underdog contender who put up a much tougher fight than many expected. In the co-main event, former UFC champ Jose Aldo returned from a brief retirement to outpoint Jonathan Martinez in a bantamweight bout.

Pereira, Holloway, and Zhang pick up big wins at UFC 300

Slight favorite Alex Pereira successfully defended his light heavyweight title with a first-round knockout of Jamahal Hill in the main event of the biggest UFC event of the year. Women’s strawweight champion Zhang Weili came away with a decision victory over Yan Xiaonan to retain her title, while sizable underdog Max Holloway notched a dramatic knockout win over Justin Gaethje in the final second of their fight for the ceremonial BMF title.

O’Malley dominates Vera to retain UFC bantamweight title at UFC 299

Sean O’Malley battered challenger Marlon Vera in their rematch, winning a unanimous decision victory after five rounds to retain the 135-pound championship. In the co-main event, former interim lightweight champ Dustin Poirier cashed as an underdog with a knockout victory over Benoit Saint-Denis in the second round.

Topuria claims featherweight title with knockout win over Alex Volkanovski at UFC 298

Ilia Topuria made good on his promise to finish longtime 145-pound champ Alexander Volkanovski, knocking him out in the second round to become the first new undisputed champ in the division since 2019. In the co-main event, Robert Whittaker stayed in the middleweight title hunt with a hard-earned unanimous decision win over former title challenger Paulo Costa.

Du Plessis nabs middleweight title with split-decision over Strickland at UFC 297

Dricus Du Plessis became the new UFC 185-pound champion with a narrow split-decision win over Sean Strickland on Jan. 20 in Toronto. Du Plessis outpointed Strickland after dropping the first round to claim the belt in a fight that took place mainly on the feet. In the co-main event, Raquel Pennington claimed the vacant women’s bantamweight title with a unanimous decision win over Mayra Bueno Silva.

UFC odds FAQ

Can I bet on the UFC?

Yes. If you’re in a state where sports gambling is legal, you can typically bet on every bout that happens in the UFC. Many sportsbooks also offer odds on other MMA promotions, such as PFL, Dana White’s Contender Series and more.

Where can I bet on the UFC?

You can usually wager on UFC bouts in any state where sports betting is legal, using one of the sportsbooks that regulators have approved in that state.

What happens to my bet if a UFC fight ends in a draw?

It’s relatively rare for MMA bouts to end in draws, but it does happen occasionally. When it does, it usually depends on whether the sportsbook where you placed the wager offered “draw” as one of the options for the outcome. If draw was an option to bet on, as it often is at many sportsbooks, then moneyline bets on either fighter to win would both lose. If draw was not an option, the sportsbook will typically void moneyline bets on one of the fighters to win. However, a bet on the fight to go to a decision would still win, since a draw counts as a type of judges’ decision.

What if a UFC fight is canceled after I’ve made my bet?

Fights are sometimes scratched from the card, occasionally even on the day of the event. This can happen for a variety of reasons, most of them relating to fighter health and safety. When that happens, sportsbooks will typically void and refund single bets on that one fight. Bets on that fight as part of a parlay depend on house rules, but often the sportsbook will remove that fight alone from the parlay, and the rest will remain intact. Be sure to read the house rules for any sportsbook you use, as these can vary.

What happens to my bet if the fight is ruled a no-contest?

Fights sometimes end in a no-contest after something like an accidental foul early in the bout makes it impossible to complete. In that case, sportsbooks usually void and refund bets on the fight. Sometimes, however, fights have an announced winner and only later does a state athletic commission change it to a no-contest. In that case, house rules apply, but often sportsbooks pay out bets on the basis of the result on fight night.

How do UFC odds work?

Odds with a plus in front of them are underdog odds, which means the payout for hitting those bets will be higher, but also perhaps less likely. If the moneyline odds on a fighter are +240, that means a $100 bet on that fighter will net you $240 if that fighter wins. Negative odds, meanwhile, indicate favorites, which means the potential payout will be smaller but oddsmakers think it has a higher chance of winning. If the moneyline is -130, that means a bet of $130 would stand to net a gain of $100 on a winning wager.

Who’s the biggest underdog to win a fight in the UFC?

In terms of closing odds, the biggest underdog to win a UFC bout was Shana Dobson, who came in at +950 against Mariya Agapova, who was a -1400 favorite to win their bout at a UFC Fight Night event in 2020. Dobson won the fight via TKO, cashing as an almost 10-1 underdog. The biggest upset in a title fight came at UFC 69, when +850 underdog Matt Serra defeated welterweight champion Georges St-Pierre via TKO in 2007.

How often do favorites win in the UFC?

Not all fights have a favorite and an underdog. Some fights are “pick ’ems,” with the odds the same for both competitors. But of the 511 bouts to take place in the UFC in 2022, 486 had one favorite and one underdog. Of those, the favorite won 64.8% of the time. In 2023 and through the first few months of 2024, that rate has nudged up to 67%.

How many rounds are there in a UFC fight?

All title fights in the UFC are scheduled for five rounds of five minutes each. The fight can end at any time due to knockout, submission or disqualification, but no fights can go longer than the full five rounds. Most main events are also booked for five rounds of five minutes each, but occasionally last-minute changes to the card or bout order can affect this. All other fights, meanwhile, are scheduled for three rounds of five minutes each and will have gone the distance if they complete all scheduled rounds and are decided by the judges’ scorecards.