UFC 299 Odds: Prop Bets, Odds & Analysis For Sean O’Malley vs. Marlon Vera II


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UFC 299 Odds: Prop Bets, Odds & Analysis For Sean O’Malley vs. Marlon Vera II

UFC 299 takes place in Miami this Saturday, and all UFC odds are live. In the main event, UFC bantamweight champion Sean O’Malley will take on Marlon Vera in a rematch with the 135-pound title on the line. O’Malley is the favorite at odds of for his first UFC title defense. Vera is a sizable underdog despite winning the first fight between these two in 2020.

Top UFC sportsbooks have released full UFC 299 odds, as well as multiple prop bets for Saturday’s pay-per-view main event. Prop bets offer multiple ways to get better odds by betting on how or when the fight will end. Below, we’ll analyze some of the best UFC 299 prop bet odds for O’Malley vs. Vera.

UFC 299 main event prop bet odds

Method of victory props

O’Malley (17-1) is the reigning champion after his second-round TKO win over Aljamain Sterling last year. His lone professional loss came via TKO against Vera (23-8-1) in a bout where O’Malley suffered a debilitating lower leg injury. O’Malley has won five fights since then, with one no-contest due to an accidental eye poke. He won four of those five via TKO/KO, with only one win via split decision.

Vera began his career as more of a submissions specialist and still owes the majority of his wins to submissions. But lately he’s leaned much more heavily on his striking game, with his last five finishes all coming by way of TKO/KO. Vera has a reputation as a durable fighter, but also sometimes as a slow starter who depends on taking over as the fight goes on and his opponents slow down. He’s gone the distance in four of his last six, winning the judges’ decision in all but one of those.

Round props

O’Malley is at his best when he can pressure opponents to draw out their offense in search of a counter. He’s not necessarily known for one-punch power, but he is a precise striker who tends to be most dangerous when he has a chance to dial in on an opponent’s movement and timing. Of his last six fights, half ended during or after the third round. He only has one first-round finish in that span, and he has three first-round finishes overall in the UFC.

Vera is a fighter who typically needs some time to get his offense going. His last first-round finish came against O’Malley, and that was only after O’Malley went down with a leg injury. His most recent finishes have come in the later rounds, as with a fourth-round knockout of former champ Dominick Cruz in 2022.

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