The next UFC Fight Night event goes down this Saturday as the UFC returns to its Apex facility in Las Vegas for a fight card that streams on ESPN+. The main event features Brendan Allen vs. Paul Craig in a middleweight bout between two submission specialists. Allen comes in as the heavy favorite at odds, while Craig is in a familiar underdog role at .
Below, we’ll take a closer look at UFC odds and prop bet options for the main event, as well as look at the full card for Saturday’s UFC Fight Night event.
UFC Fight Night odds for every fight
|Brendan Allen||Paul Craig|
|Jake Matthews||Michael Morales|
|Chase Hooper||Jordan Leavitt|
|Nick Aguirre||Payton Talbott|
|Luana Pinheiro||Amanda Ribas|
|Uros Medic||Jonny Parsons|
|Joanderson Brito||Jonathan Pearce|
|Chad Anheliger||Jose Johnson|
|Christian Duncan||Denis Tiuliulin|
|Caio Machado||Mick Parkin|
|Lucas Alexander||Jeka Saragih|
|Ailin Perez||Lucie Pudilova|
|Nikolas Motta||Trey Ogden|
|Rafael Estevam||Charles Johnson|
UFC Fight Night main event odds and analysis
Brendan Allen vs. Paul Craig
Allen (22-5) has won five straight coming into this bout, with his last outing resulting in a first-round rear-naked choke submission victory in June. His finishing ability has been on display for most of his current streak, with four of those five wins coming by way of submission. Allen isn’t exactly known for his striking prowess, but at 27 he’s still a work in progress as a fighter, and the UFC seems to want to spotlight him as he climbs up the middleweight ranks.
Craig (17-6-1) is far more of a known quantity at this point. At 35, he’s considerably older and has seven years of UFC experience, most of which came at light heavyweight. His move down to middleweight in July was a success, as he notched just the fourth TKO win of his career. Craig is a big, rangy fighter, especially at 185 pounds, and his submission skills have saved him in fights that he appeared to be on his way to losing. Where he’s run into trouble is when he can’t force opponents into joining him on the mat and has to pull guard and put himself on his back instead.
Both fighters are skilled grapplers, but sometimes in matchups like that the two end up canceling out each other’s strengths. Allen is likely the faster, more dynamic athlete. As long as he can stop Craig from bullying him with sheer size and strength, he should enjoy some clear advantages.
UFC Fight Night main event prop bet odds
Both Allen and Craig owe the majority of their wins to submissions. Allen has finished nine of his 12 UFC fights to date, and nearly half of those came in the first round. Craig has only been to decision once in his last seven fights, and that was in a three-round undercard affair. This will be a five-round main event, a distance Allen has gone four times in his career. Craig, however, has never gone more than three rounds.
Method of victory props
How to watch UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
- Prelims — 2 p.m. ET, ESPN+
- Main card — 5 p.m. ET, ESPN+