Noche UFC Odds: Updated Lines & Props For Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2

The UFC is back in Las Vegas on Saturday, Sept. 16, for the Noche UFC event to honor Mexican Independence Day, and top online betting sites have released UFC betting odds on the entire card. In the main event, Mexico’s Alexa Grasso will defend her UFC women’s flyweight title against former champ Valentina Shevchenko. Despite pulling off a comeback submission win in the first fight, the champ Grasso enters as a slight underdog at odds.

In the co-main event, rising contender Jack Della Maddalena faces fan-favorite Kevin Holland . Read on for Noche UFC betting odds and analysis on Saturday’s UFC event.

Noche UFC odds for main event

Alexa Grasso vs. Valentina Shevchenko
Total rounds: Over/under

In their first fight back in March, Shevchenko (23-4 MMA, 12-3 UFC) came in as a heavy favorite and dominated the early going with her quick jab and her wrestling ability. Grasso (16-3 MMA, 8-3 UFC) struggled to adjust to the speed and the takedowns but seized her opportunity on a telegraphed spinning back kick by Shevchenko and jumped on the champ’s back, quickly securing her hooks and sinking the choke to force the fourth-round submission.

Now Grasso must defend the title in an immediate rematch, and the question is whether she can pull off a repeat of that one perfect moment. To Grasso’s credit, it wasn’t just a lucky move or an isolated miscue by Shevchenko. Grasso had clearly scouted Shevchenko’s tendencies and was ready to capitalize on the chance when it came — and she only needed the opening to appear once. That’s smart game-planning but also deft execution, and it attacked an area of Shevchenko’s grappling game that’s looked vulnerable in recent fights.

Grasso may still face some difficulty if Shevchenko keeps it simple and relies on speed and strength advantages, but Shevchenko could be more hesitant to wrestle now that she has reason to worry about Grasso’s jujitsu game. The former champ has also shown some diminishing returns of late, and there’s a chance this may just be the beginning of her natural downslope after years on top of the 125-pound division.

Noche UFC prop bet odds

UFC prop bets tend to be related to when and how the fight will end. Grasso has gone to decision in eight of her 11 UFC bouts. Both her UFC wins inside the distance have come via submission. Shevchenko has gone the distance in just three of her eight fights since she first became the UFC flyweight champion. Over the course of her pro career, she has an almost perfectly even split between wins by submission, KO/TKO, and decision.

Method of victory props

Round props

Full Noche UFC odds and fight card

Here are the odds on every fight scheduled for Saturday’s Noche UFC event in Las Vegas. If you see a bet you like, click on the odds to be directed to the sportsbook where you can place that wager.

How to watch Noche UFC

• Prelims: 4 p.m. ET, ESPN+
• Main card: 7 p.m. ET, ESPN+