The UFC is back home in Las Vegas at the UFC Apex for Saturday’s UFC on ESPN event. Top sports betting sites have already released betting odds on UFC Vegas 78: Luque vs. Dos Anjos. Below, we’ll look at the best UFC odds for the upcoming action, as well as preview the main event bout between Vicente Luque and Rafael dos Anjos.
UFC Vegas 78 odds: Main event lines and props
Vicente Luque () vs. Rafael dos Anjos ()
Luque (21-9-1 MMA, 14-5 UFC) comes into this headlining bout riding a two-fight losing streak — the only such streak he’s endured during his eight years with the UFC. He followed a decision loss to Belal Muhammad with a knockout loss at the hands of Geoff Neal, and he hasn’t fought since August of 2022.
Dos Anjos (32-14 MMA, 21-12 UFC) has been bouncing between lightweight and welterweight since his brief time as the UFC’s 155-pound champion, and at the age of 38, the 170-pound class seems like a more comfortable fit for his body. But against bigger fighters, he’s sometimes struggled to lead the dance with his wrestling, which is usually his preference.
Luque is a dangerous striker, but he has also proven to be an excellent grappler and submissions artist, especially when he can use his stand-up to force opponents into desperation shots. He’ll enjoy a significant size advantage over the shorter dos Anjos, which should help him control the action at distance.
In past fights, dos Anjos has sometimes preferred to set a high pace in the hopes of wearing opponents out. This could be especially useful in a five-round fight, since Luque’s lone experience going 25 minutes resulted in his most recent decision loss. The question is whether dos Anjos will be able to dictate the pace and the range against Luque, who’s only been out-wrestled by some of the best grapplers the division has to offer.
UFC Fight Night co-main event odds
Cub Swanson () vs. Hakeem Dawodu ()
Swanson (28-13 MMA, 13-9 UFC) is returning to his natural weight class at 145 pounds after dropping down to bantamweight in a losing effort last year. At 39, he may not be as quick or as explosive as he once was, but Swanson is still a smart fighter with a lot of tricks up his sleeve. Lately he’s been as likely to win by knockout as he is to lose, and he hasn’t seen the scorecards in a bout since 2019. The question for him now is whether the wear and tear might be starting to show after nearly 20 years as a pro, during which time he’s fought the best featherweights in the world.
Dawodu (13-3-1 MMA, 6-3 UFC) missed weight for his last fight before losing a decision, and has gone the distance in his last five fights. Almost all the finishes on his record come from his first five fights, when he was competing at a lower level and outclassing inexperienced opponents. The ground game has been an issue for him at times, and his style can sometimes lend itself to very close fights that could go either way once they go to the judges.
UFC Vegas 78 prop bet odds
Below are some of the available prop bet markets for the main event of Saturday’s UFC event. Luque has finished four of his last five fights, with those finishes equally divided between knockouts and submissions. Dos Anjos has gone the distance in four of his last six, and has more wins by decision than any other method.
Full UFC on ESPN odds and fight card
|Rafael dos Anjos
|Khalil Rountree Jr.
How to watch UFC on ESPN: Luque vs. dos Anjos
- Prelims: 4 p.m. ET, ESPN/ESPN+
- Main card: 7 p.m. ET, ESPN/ESPN+