The New Orleans Saints and Dallas Cowboys both rolled to double-digit wins in Week 1 and now the NFC rivals meet for a battle in NFL Week 2 at Dallas, with kickoff scheduled for 1 p.m. Sunday and FOX on the broadcast. The Cowboys (-6.5) are favored by just under a touchdown on the spread with a 46.5-point total assigned to the game.
Jerry Jones and the Cowboys front office settled key contract disputes right before the season by extending CeeDee Lamb and making Dak Prescott the highest-paid player in the NFL at $60 million per year. Right after that deal was finished, Prescott and the Cowboys defense dominated the Browns for a 33-17 road win.
The Saints entered the season with low expectations, but roared to a 47-10 win over the lowly Panthers in their home debut. Derek Carr completed 19 of 23 passes for 200 yards and three touchdowns in the blowout victory. Now he’ll face one of the best defenses in the league, which is led by ferocious edge rusher Micah Parsons.
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How Derek Carr could get 1.5 passing touchdowns
The Saints don’t have a traditional power game with tight end Taysom Hill serving as their goal-line back at times in jumbo packages and lead back Alvin Kamara often utilized as a receiver. That puts a lot of Carr’s shoulders in the red zone and he’s delivered recently with multiple touchdown passes in six straight starts dating back to last season. The Cowboys offense averaged the most points per game (30.1) in the NFL last year, so Carr should be forced into a pass-heavy game script with his team entering as underdogs. The Cowboys lost cornerback DaRon Bland to a foot injury and rookie corner Caelen Carlson is on the injury report with a knee issue.
How Derek Carr could miss 1.5 passing touchdowns
While Carr has a great streak of performances going since last season, four of his last six starts have come at home, and all of those matchups were against below-average defenses. The Cowboys have a truly elite defense that allowed 1.3 passing touchdowns per game last season. Carr posted a 3.9 percent touchdown rate on the road compared to a 5.3 percent touchdown rate at home last season. He also took 18 sacks on the road compared to 13 at home, and his completion rate dropped from 70 percent to 67 percent away from New Orleans. The Saints offensive line is an area of concern and Dallas has a pair of excellent pass rushers in Parsons and DeMarcus Lawrence.
How Dak Prescott could get 257.5 passing yards
Prescott and the Cowboys offense were firing on all cylinders at home last season, with the quarterback averaging 308.8 passing yards in Dallas. Prescott posted a 120 rating at home with 22 touchdowns and three interceptions. While the Saints held Bryce Young and the Panthers to 135 passing yards in Week 1, this is an entirely different challenge against a Cowboys offense that revolves around elite receiver CeeDee Lamb. The Saints could be missing two of their top defensive backs with Marshon Lattimore (hip) and Tyrann Mathieu (heel) absent from practice early in the week. The Cowboys posted one of the highest pass-play rates in neutral situations last year and they’re once again set to lean on Prescott’s arm with Rico Dowdle and Ezekiel Elliott serving as lackluster options in the run game.
How Dak Prescott could miss 257.5 passing yards
If the Cowboys defense dominates and Derek Carr struggles, Prescott’s passing volume could take a dip. That’s the scenario we saw unfold in Cleveland last Sunday, when Prescott went 19-for-32 for 179 yards in a comfortable win. Dallas benefited from a punt return for a touchdown and actually had a slightly lower time of possession than the Browns last week. The Saints should have an above-average pass defense as long as Lattimore and Mathieu are active in Week 2. The Cowboys receiving corps is thin behind Lamb, especially with tight end Jake Ferguson (MCL) expected to miss this game.
