Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs are playing in their sixth straight AFC championship game this Sunday, with kickoff scheduled for 3 p.m. ET at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore and CBS on the broadcast. The Ravens are slight home favorites at , and the over/under for the game is points.
AFC championship player props: Patrick Mahomes
The Chiefs sputtered down the stretch with a 4-4 finish, and Mahomes posted a modest 89.2 passer rating with eight turnovers in those games. Through two playoff wins, the two-time Super Bowl MVP is averaging 238.5 passing yards per game with a 100.8 passer rating, and he has not taken a sack or committed a turnover.
The Ravens’ defense could present a formidable challenge for Mahomes and the Chiefs’ offense. Baltimore allowed the fewest points per game (16.1) and fewest yards per pass attempt (5.2) this season. In Week 16, Baltimore’s secondary baffled San Francisco quarterback Brock Purdy and forced five interceptions in a statement road win.
Below, we will take a look at some player props for this matchup. If you are located in a state where pick’em contests are legal, feel free to check out our PrizePicks and Betr Picks reviews.
Mahomes anytime TD scorer props in the AFC championship
While Mahomes is a mobile quarterback, he hasn’t rushed for a touchdown since Week 16 of the 2022-23 season. The Chiefs have used him sparingly on designed runs or quarterback sneaks this season. Mahomes has rushed for five touchdowns over 16 playoff games.
- To score a touchdown (non-passing):
Quarterback passing props for Patrick Mahomes
Mahomes was averaging 284.9 passing yards per game over 14 playoff appearances prior to this postseason. He passed for 35 touchdowns in those contests. His yardage has been down this season with Matt Nagy taking over as Kansas City’s new offensive coordinator. Mahomes averaged 238.5 passing yards in playoff wins over the Dolphins and Bills to reach the AFC championship.
In road starts this season, Mahomes is averaging 25.2 completions on 36.2 attempts. He’s averaged 25.1 completions on 35.8 attempts in eight postseason starts over the past three years, and he’s gone five straight playoff games without throwing an interception.
Passing props for Patrick Mahomes
- Passing yards:
- Passing touchdown:
- Completions:
- To throw an interception:
- Longest passing completion:
Rushing props for Patrick Mahomes
Mahomes is averaging 27.7 rushing yards per game in his postseason career. He’s rushed for 30 yards (7.5 yards per carry) in two wins this postseason. He averaged 5.2 yards per carry and 24.7 rushing yards per game this season.
- Rushing yards:
- Longest rush:
Super Bowl MVP odds for Patrick Mahomes
Already a two-time Super Bowl MVP with three Super Bowl appearances under his belt, Mahomes is getting odds of to win a third MVP award.
