Euro Knockout Stage Live Odds: Moneylines, Totals, Analysis


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Euro Knockout Stage Opening Odds: Moneylines, Totals, & Expert Analysis

The knockout stage of Euro 2024 will get underway when Switzerland takes on Italy at Olympic Stadium in Berlin on Saturday. Soccer fans can then look forward to another seven games, featuring the likes of Germany, England, Spain, France, and Portugal.

There is no longer any margin for error, as a loss in the Round of 16 means elimination. We have previewed all eight matches below, and we have also highlighted the best Euro 2024 odds on each game, which we will list as sportsbooks post them.

Euro knockout stage odds

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Looking for more information when it comes to the 2024 European Championship? Below, we cover some key resources for betting on more than just knockout stage odds.

Euro 2024 knockout stage odds and analysis

Switzerland vs. Italy

Switzerland was unfortunate to finish second in Group A. The Swiss beat Hungary 3-1 in their opener before playing out a 1-1 draw with Scotland. They were on the brink of a 1-0 victory over Germany on Matchday 3, which would have seen them win the group, but Niclas Füllkrug grabbed a 93rd-minute equalizer for the Germans. Switzerland is now a +240 underdog for this Round of 16 showdown with Italy, but the Swiss are on a seven-game unbeaten streak heading into Saturday’s action.

Italy is the reigning European champion after beating England on penalties in the final three years ago. The Azzurri have regressed since then, as key players like Giorgio Chiellini and Leonardo Bonucci retired, and they failed to qualify for the 2022 World Cup. However, they are showing signs of improvement. They finished second in Group B after drawing 1-1 with Croatia on Matchday 3, courtesy of Mattia Zaccagni’s 99th-minute goal. Italy is the favorite to beat Switzerland in this game, but the last two meetings between these teams were draws, so it could be a tight clash.

Germany vs. Denmark

Germany made a blistering start to Euro 2024 by thrashing Scotland 5-1. The Germans then produced a composed performance to beat Hungary 2-0, but they were lucky to scrape a 1-1 draw with Switzerland in their final group stage game. That ensured they finished atop Group A, and their reward is a Round of 16 clash with Denmark. Germany has only picked up one win in its last six games against the Danes, but it is a -162 favorite to secure victory when the teams meet in Dortmund on Saturday.

Denmark finished second in Group C, with three draws in three games. The Danes have not looked particularly dangerous in attack, but they have defended diligently so far. Joachim Anderson, Jan Vestergaard, and Andreas Christensen will need to be at their best to thwart Germany’s star-studded attack in this match. Denmark will also need to counterattack with pace and purpose, so Manchester United striker Rasmus Højlund could be crucial to the team’s chances.

England vs. Slovakia

England is now the favorite to win Euro 2024. The Three Lions finished first in their group, and they have now landed on the opposite side of the bracket to France, Germany, Spain, and Portugal. In theory, that leaves them with a clear path to the final. However, England’s performances have left a lot to be desired so far. Gareth Southgate’s team scraped a 1-0 win against Serbia in its opener but was booed off the pitch after drawing with Denmark on Matchday 2. The boos rang out even louder following a 0-0 draw with Slovenia on Tuesday, and the Three Lions need to quickly rediscover their attacking fluency.

Slovakia clinched third place in Group E after finishing level on points with Romania, Belgium, and Ukraine. The team began the tournament with an impressive 1-0 victory over Belgium but then lost to Ukraine before battling to a 1-1 draw with Romania on Matchday 3. The Slovakians have now conceded three goals in their last two games, so manager Francesco Calzona may need to tighten the defense before taking on the likes of Harry Kane and Jude Bellingham in the Round of 16.

Spain vs. Georgia

Spain has arguably been the most impressive team so far at the Euros. La Roja landed in the so-called “group of death” alongside Italy, Croatia, and Albania, but they won all three games in convincing fashion. The 3-0 victory over Croatia was particularly eye-catching, as the Croatians finished third at the last World Cup. The Spaniards have not yet conceded a goal, and Lamine Yamal, Nico Williams, and Álvaro Morata have looked dangerous in attack, so Spain is the clear favorite to win this match.

The Georgians are playing at their first major tournament, and they seem to be enjoying themselves. They lost 3-1 to Turkey in their opener, but they bounced back with a 1-1 draw against the Czech Republic on Matchday 2 before beating Portugal 2-0 on Wednesday evening. Star player Khvicha Kvaratskhelia is in fine form, and the players can take encouragement from that victory over a strong Portuguese team.

France vs. Belgium

France could only finish second in Group D after delivering a series of underwhelming performances. Les Bleus beat Austria 1-0 in their opener, courtesy of an own-goal from Maximilian Wöber. They then drew 0-0 with the Netherlands, and Kylian Mbappé scored from the penalty spot to earn them a 1-1 draw with Poland on Matchday 3. They have now landed in the same half of the bracket as Belgium, Germany, Spain, and Portugal, so they face a perilous path to the final.

Belgium lost 1-0 to France in the semifinals of the 2018 World Cup. The Belgians have lost several key players since then, as the likes of Eden Hazard and Vincent Kompany retired. They also finished second in their group, despite ending up with the exact same points tally as rivals Romania, Slovakia, and Ukraine. Belgium defended well in all three group stage games, but Domenico Tedesco’s team was a little toothless in attack, so it will need to be more incisive against a solid France defense.

Portugal vs. Slovenia

Portugal qualified for the Round of 16 with a game to spare after beating the Czech Republic 2-1 and Turkey 3-0. Manager Roberto Martínez has a wealth of attacking talent at his disposal, so the main challenge is finding a balanced starting XI. He has favored a front four of Cristiano Ronaldo, Bernardo Silva, Bruno Fernandes, and Rafael Leão, but the Portuguese also have a lot of quality on the bench. Portugal lost 2-0 to Georgia in its final group game, but Martínez rested most of his key players for that match, so they will be fresh for the knockout stage of the competition.

Slovenia has been a tough nut to crack at this tournament. Matjaž Kek’s team earned a draw with Denmark in its first game. The Slovenians came within a whisker of beating Serbia on Matchday 2, only for Luka Jović to grab a last-gasp equalizer. That left them on the brink of elimination, but they managed yet another draw when facing England in their final group stage game. They can now approach this match without fear, but Slovenia is a major underdog against a dangerous Portuguese team.

Romania vs. Netherlands

Romania defied the odds by winning Group E. It was a major underdog at the start of the tournament but opened with an impressive 3-0 win against Ukraine. Romania then lost 2-0 to Belgium on Matchday 2, but a 1-1 draw with Slovakia was enough to see it finish first in its group thanks to goal differential. This is the first time that Romania has reached the knockout stage of an international tournament since Euro 2000, and it will be interesting to see if the team can go deeper into the knockout stage.

The Netherlands ended up third in their group after losing 3-2 to Austria on Matchday 3. It was a thrilling, end-to-end game, but manager Ronald Koeman saw his team put in a poor defensive performance. The Dutch are still the clear favorites to beat Romania in the Round of 16, but they cannot afford to be so sloppy at the back. On a brighter note, Cody Gakpo and Memphis Depay have been impressive in attack, so this could prove to be an entertaining match.

Austria vs. Turkey

Austria surprised many fans by finishing first in Group D. The Austrians were a little unlucky to lose 1-0 to France in their opener, but they responded in style. They beat Poland 3-1 on Matchday 2 before battling to a 3-2 victory over the Netherlands. Most teams have been afraid to take too many risks so far at the Euros, but that is not the case for this high-pressing, all-action Austrian team. It beat Turkey 6-1 in a friendly just a few months ago, so it is the favorite to win this match.

Turkey secured a place in the Round of 16 after beating the Czech Republic 2-1 on Wednesday evening. The Turks ended up level on points with Portugal, with two wins in three games, but they had to content themselves with the runner-up spot in Group F. They now face a tricky game in the Round of 16, and they are the underdogs. However, they have looked strong in attack throughout this tournament, and they could cause problems for an Austrian defense that has yet to keep a clean sheet at the Euros.

Photo by Associated Press