2022-23 NFL MVP Odds

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Josh Allen () and the Buffalo Bills are now 3-1. He remains the consensus favorite to win the NFL MVP award. Patrick Mahomes () and the Kansas City Chiefs are also 3-1 as he jockeys for second place in MVP futures.

A pair of other QBs – Jalen Hurts () and Lamar Jackson () – have risen up the charts after impressive starts to the year. Among non-QBs, Cooper Kupp () leads the way and looks like he’s on the way to another special season. Here’s a look at the chase for the next NFL MVP award.

NFL MVP odds: Allen, Mahomes top favorites

 

NFL MVP Odds Tracker 2022-23

The MVP chase will continue to take shape as the season plays out. For the time being, the favorite atop the board has been holding steady. Here’s a look at the odds for the top choices and the movement that we have seen since the initial release.

PlayerCurrent OddsOdds for
Sept. 28
Odds for
Sept. 21
Odds for
Sept. 14
Odds for
Sept. 6
Odds for
Aug. 22
Odds for
July 25
Odds for
June 20
Odds for
May 6
Odds for
Feb. 21
Josh Allen+300+350+400+650+700+700+700+700+750
Lamar Jackson+550+1200+1800+2000+2000+2000+2000+2500+2800
Jalen Hurts+600+800+1800+2000+2500+2500+2500+1800+4000
Patrick Mahomes+700+500+600+900+800+800+800+900+750
Tua Tagovailoa+1400+2000+4400+5000+6000+6000+6000+4000+13000
Justin Herbert+1600+1000+750+900+900+900+1000+1000+1600
Aaron Rodgers+2500+2500+1500+1000+1000+1000+1000+1000+800
Tom Brady+3000+2500+850+850+800+800+800+1000+4500
Trevor Lawrence+3000+4000+6000+6000+8000+8000+8000+8000+10000
Matthew Stafford+3000+5000+2000+1600+1400+1400+1400+1500+1800
Joe Burrow+3500+2000+1500+1200+1200+1200+1200+1200+1400
Russell Wilson+4000+2000+2000+1400+1400+1400+1400+1400+2500
Kyler Murray+4500+3000+2700+2000+2000+2000+2000+2000+2200
Derek Carr+5000+3000+2300+2800+2500+2500+2500+2200+5000
Kirk Cousins+5000+5000+2500+5000+4000+4000+4000+5000+5000
Cooper Kupp+7000+6500+7500+6000+10000+10000+7500+5000+3500
Jonathan Taylor+10000+10000+6000+5000+6000+6000+5000+5000+2800
Derrick Henry+13000+10000+7500+5000+7500+7500+5000+5000+2500
Stefon Diggs+20000+7500+15000+15000+15000+15000+15000+15000+15000
Dak PrescottOTB+8000OTB+1600+1400+1200+1200+1600+1600

NFL MVP odds tracker last updated: October 2, 2022

Favorites to win 2022 NFL MVP

The player on top of the odds board remains firmly entrenched, but there has been jockeying for position right behind him. Here are the top favorites for MVP so far.

Josh Allen, favorite for NFL MVP futures
Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen looks to pass during the second half of an NFL football game against the Atlanta Falcons in Orchard Park, N.Y., Sunday, Jan. 2, 2022. (AP Photo/Adrian Kraus)

Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills, ()

  • 2022 stats: 3-1, 67.3 CMP%, 1,227 YD, 10 TD, 3 INT, 101.1 RTG

Allen passed for a score and ran another in as the Bills pulled out a 23-20 win over the Ravens. Buffalo is still favored in Super Bowl futures, and Allen is a huge reason why. Buffalo plays host to the Steelers on Sunday.

Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs, ()

  • 2022 stats: 3-1, 66.4 CMP%, 1,106 YD, 11 TD, 2 INT, 108.4 RTG

After struggling in a Week 3 loss to the Colts, Mahomes and the Chiefs offense got it together in a big way in a road win over the Buccaneers, a team that entered the game boasting one of the top defenses in the league. It was a three-TD outing from Mahomes as Kansas City controlled the action in a 10-point victory. Next up is a home date with the Raiders on Monday night.

Jalen Hurts, Philadelphia Eagles, ()

  • 2022 stats: 4-0, 66.7 CMP%, 1,120 YD, 4 TD, 2 INT, 99.6 RTG

In addition to the passing TDs, Hurts has also used for four scores while leading Philadelphia to a 4-0 start. The club came back from a 14-0 deficit for a 29-21 win over the Jaguars. The passing game was a little muted in the rainy conditions, but the run game more than made up for it. Hurts has rushed for 205 yards on the year. The Eagles are on the road to take on the Cardinals next week.

Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens, ()

  • 2022 stats: 2-2, 65.0 CMP%, 893 YD, 11 TD, 4 INT, 105.1 RTG

As is the case with Hurts, the passing stats don’t tell the whole story about Jackson. He has also racked up 316 yards and a pair of scores on the ground thus far. The Ravens lost a 23-20 decision to the Bills on Sunday to fall to 2-2. They remain firmly in the mix of AFC contenders, but another big test is up next. Baltimore is at home for a visit from the division rival Bengals on Sunday.

Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers, ()

  • 2022 stats: 2-2, 66.1 CMP%, 1,250 YD, 9 TD, 2 INT, 102.2 RTG

A week after being slowed by a rib injury, Herbert looked closer to form in a road win over the Texans. He threw for 340 yards and a pair of scores. After throwing for 5,014 yards last year, he currently leads the league in passing yardage. The Chargers are a step behind the Chiefs in the AFC West race, but a clear playoff contender. They’ll be on the road to square off with the Browns this week.

Longshots to win 2022 NFL MVP

As per usual, QBs dominate the MVP odds with the top 17 names on the board. For the last non-QB winner, we have to go all the way back to 2012 when Adrian Peterson pulled it off. It’ll take a special season for a player from another position to make it happen this time around. Here are three contenders to watch.

Jonathan Taylor, Indianapolis Colts, ()

  • 2022 stats: 4 GP, 81 ATT, 328 YDS, 4.0 AVG, 1 TD

Last year’s rushing yards champ is off to a slow start for the 1-2-1 Colts. Even worse, there are concerns that he may have suffered a high ankle sprain in a loss to the Titans. Indianapolis was expected to be a contender in the AFC South race, while it was anticipated that Taylor would pick up right where he left off. To date, neither has panned out.

Cooper Kupp, Los Angeles Rams, ()

  • 2022 stats: 3 GP, 28 REC, 280 YD, 10.0 AVG, 3 TD

A 20-yard rushing TD in the win over the Cardinals helped to further confirm what is already readily apparent. When the ball hits his hands, Kupp is a threat to do some damage. The Rams are back on track with two wins after the tough opening loss to the Bills. Kupp is the constant on offense and a key cog in making the engine go.

Stefon Diggs, Buffalo Bills, ()

  • 2022 stats: 4 GP, 31 REC, 406 YD, 13-1 AVG, 4 TD

Since a 3-TD outing in Week 2, Diggs has quieted down. Opposing defenses are clearly focused on holding him in check, but he should still have his share of breakout games as the season moves along. That likely won’t be enough to keep him in the MVP hunt, but he’s still firmly established as one of the league’s most dangerous threats.

NFL MVP line moves

The odds for two of the initial favorites – Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady – have dipped while they’ve both gotten off to pretty slow starts. Dak Prescott’s chances have dropped considerably in the wake of an injury that forced him to miss time. Jalen Hurts and Lamar Jackson are among those on the rise in the wake of excellent starts to the campaign.

Last 10 winners of NFL MVP award

YearPosition/PlayerTeam
2021QB Aaron RodgersGreen Bay Packers
2020QB Aaron RodgersGreen Bay Packers
2019QB Lamar JacksonBaltimore Ravens
2018QB Patrick MahomesKansas City Chiefs
2017QB Tom Brady New England Patriots
2016QB Matt RyanAtlanta Falcons
2015QB Cam NewtonCarolina Panthers
2014QB Aaron RodgersGreen Bay Packers
2013QB Peyton ManningDenver Broncos
2012RB Adrian PetersonMinnesota Vikings

Teams with the most NFL MVP awards, 1957-present

TeamNumberLast Winner
Packers10QB Aaron Rodgers, 2021
Colts9QB Peyton Manning, 2009
49ers5QB Steve Young, 1994
Browns4QB Brian Sipe, 1980
Rams4QB Kurt Warner, 2001
Broncos3QB Peyton Manning, 2013
Patriots3QB Tom Brady, 2017
Raiders3QB Rich Gannon, 2002
Vikings3RB Adrian Peterson, 2012
Commanders3QB Joe Theismann, 1982

NFL MVP award winners by position, 1957-present

PositionNumberLast
Quarterback46Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers, 2021
Running Back18Adrian Peterson, Minnesota Vikings, 2012
Defensive Tackle1Alan Page, Minnesota Vikings, 1971
Kicker1Mark Moseley, Washington, 1982
Linebacker1Lawrence Taylor, New York Giants, 1986

Popular NFL futures bets

Betting on NFL futures usually means wagering on season-long outcomes. This includes betting on the winner of the AFC or NFC, the Super Bowl or the MVP. Futures can remain active from the time related NFL lines come out through most or all of the season, depending on what you’re wagering on.

Futures betting requires a long-term perspective, as you don’t receive any payouts and your wager is locked up until the outcome on which you’re betting is official.

For the MVP award specifically, the outcome can be subjective. The award is voted on by a panel of writers. It’s another layer to consider for betting strategy.

As an example, the vote totals of a player who is not well-regarded on a personal level by members of the media can be affected, regardless of their accomplishments on the field.

FAQ

What is the official name of the NFL MVP award?

The Associated Press NFL Most Valuable Player Award has been awarded annually since 1957. While there are other honors handed out at the conclusion of the season, this is the only MVP award that’s officially sanctioned by the NFL.

How is the NFL MVP award decided?

A panel of 50 sportswriters casts their votes for NFL MVP at the conclusion of the regular season. The writers make a single selection each with each vote equalling one point. The player with the most votes/points is the NFL MVP award winner.

Has there ever been a unanimous winner of NFL MVP?

Yes, this has happened twice. Tom Brady received 50 out of 50 votes while winning his second MVP award with the New England Patriots in 2010. Lamar Jackson of the Baltimore Ravens did the same in 2019.

How many players have won multiple NFL MVP awards?

Nine players are multiple-time winners of NFL MVP. Peyton Manning has won the most all-time with five, followed by Aaron Rodgers with four. Jim Brown is among the four players who have won three, and is also the only non-QB to win multiple times.

Who was the last player to win consecutive NFL MVP awards?  

Aaron Rodgers. The reigning NFL MVP also won the award in 2020. Prior to Rodgers, the last player to turn the trick was Peyton Manning in 2008-09. In the history of the award, just five players have won in consecutive years.

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