2024-25 NFL MVP Odds

Last Updated

The early favorite in NFL MVP odds is Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes at +650. Mahomes is coming off a second consecutive Super Bowl victory and a second straight Super Bowl MVP. Mahomes also opened as the regular season MVP favorite at the start of the 2023 campaign.

Bills QB Josh Allen (+1000) is just behind Mahomes on the odds board. Allen initially opened higher, but his odds slipped after news that the Bills would be trading WR Stefon Diggs to the Texans. Last season’s offensive rookie of the year C.J. Stroud moved all the way to +1000 on news of the Diggs trade. Reigning MVP Lamar Jackson, meanwhile, remains in fifth at odds of +1200.

You can track the line movement of MVP odds with the latest NFL betting numbers and analysis below.

NFL MVP odds: Mahomes once again the early favorite

Below is the full field of NFL MVP odds. Mahomes has opened as the MVP favorite for a second straight year.

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2024-25 NFL MVP odds tracker

Here’s a look at the odds for the top MVP contenders and the movement since the initial release of lines at top sports betting sites in the US. Click on the current odds if you wish to place a bet.

PlayerCurrent OddsJuly 10 OddsJune 1 OddsMay 1 OddsOpening Odds
Patrick Mahomes+700
Joe Burrow+750
Josh Allen+800
Jalen Hurts+1200
Justin Herbert+1400
Lamar Jackson+1500
Trevor Lawrence+1800
Aaron Rodgers+1600
Tua Tagovailoa+2000
Dak Prescott+2000
Justin Fields+2200
Deshaun Watson+3300
Jared Goff+3500
Geno Smith+4000
Russell Wilson+4000
Derek Carr+4500
Trey Lance+5000
Jordan Love+5000
Kenny Pickett+5000
Kirk Cousins+5000
Matthew Stafford+6000
Mac Jones+6600
Daniel Jones+8000
Kyler Murray+15000
Jimmy Garoppolo+10000

NFL MVP odds tracker last updated: April 8

2024 NFL MVP favorites

Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs

2023 stats: 67.2% CMP, 4,183 YDS, 27 TD, 14 INT, RTG 92.6

Mahomes once again opened as the favorite following another Super Bowl win in which he was the game’s MVP. The Chiefs got off to a bit of a slow start last season, but Mahomes picked it up in the postseason, throwing for six TDs with only one interception in four playoff games. Mahomes won the NFL MVP in 2018 and then again in 2022. Only six players have won the award three or more times since its inception.

Josh Allen, QB, Buffalo Bills

2023 stats: 66.5% CMP, 4,306 YDS, 29 TD, 18 INT, 92.2 RTG

Allen and the Bills hit some early struggles last season but pulled it together for a late-season push that saw the team win the AFC East with five straight victories to end the regular season. Buffalo then came up short against the Chiefs in the divisional round of the playoffs. Allen again proved his abilities as a playmaker, but turnovers continue to be an issue. Only Sam Howell of the Washington Commanders threw more picks than Allen last season. Allen’s odds dipped slightly after news that the team would be trading Stefon Diggs, taking away one of his primary options.

Joe Burrow, QB, Cincinnati Bengals

2023 stats: 66.8% CMP, 2,309 YD, 15 TD, 6 INT, 91.0 RTG

Last season, Burrow battled injuries beginning in training camp, which hampered him at the start of the campaign. He was later knocked out the remainder of the season with a wrist injury that required surgery, limiting him to just 10 total games played. Burrow has continued to rehab from surgery and recently returned to throwing as he gradually builds back for a return to action.

Lamar Jackson, QB, Baltimore Ravens

2023 stats: 67.2% CMP, 3,678 YDS, 24 TD, 7 INT, 102.7 RTG

Jackson ran away with the NFL MVP award last season, emerging as the clear consensus late in the year. In addition to hitting career highs in passing yards and completion percentage, he also ran for just over 50 yards per game with five TDs on the ground. Jackson led the Ravens to an AFC North title and the top seed in the AFC, but the team came up short against the Chiefs in the conference title game.

C.J. Stroud, QB, Houston Texans

2023 stats: 63.9% CMP, 4,108 YDS, 23 TD, 5 INT, 100.8 RTG

Stroud was the offensive rookie of the year after leading the Texans to their first playoff berth since 2019. After starting the season with a projected win total that was among the lowest in the league, the Texans posted a 10-7 record with Stroud at the helm. Stroud’s MVP odds saw a boost with news that the team would be adding Stefon Diggs, giving him a receiving threat that the Texans needed. The team could still stand to improve Stroud’s protection in the offseason, but hopes will be high for continued improvements in his second NFL season.

Long shots to win the 2024 NFL MVP

The last non-QB winner of the NFL MVP award was Adrian Peterson in 2012. Last season, 49ers RB Christian McCaffrey was among the potential candidates late in the season. At the initial release of 2024 NFL MVP betting odds, McCaffrey was at . Also on the odds board is 49ers QB Brock Purdy , Packers QB Jordan Love , and Cowboys QB Dak Prescott .

Among the top non-QB long shots in the MVP race this year are Dolphins WR Tyreek Hill and Vikings WR Justin Jefferson .

NFL MVP line moves

Josh Allen entered the 2022 season as the betting favorite. He finished as one of the top five finalists, along with Joe Burrow, Jalen Hurts, and Justin Jefferson, but it was ultimately Patrick Mahomes who claimed the award. Mahomes opened as the favorite before the 2023 season, along with Josh Allen, Joe Burrow, and Jalen Hurts. As the season went on, it was Lamar Jackson who emerged as the clear favorite, cementing the award with a strong performance to beat the Dolphins and secure the AFC’s top seed in the playoffs for his team.

Last 10 winners of the NFL MVP award

2023QB Lamar JacksonBaltimore Ravens
2022QB Patrick MahomesKansas City Chiefs
2021QB Aaron RodgersGreen Bay Packers
2020QB Aaron RodgersGreen Bay Packers
2019QB Lamar JacksonBaltimore Ravens
2018QB Patrick MahomesKansas City Chiefs
2017QB Tom BradyNew England Patriots
2016QB Matt RyanAtlanta Falcons
2015QB Cam NewtonCarolina Panthers
2014QB Aaron RodgersGreen Bay Packers
2013QB Peyton ManningDenver Broncos

Teams with the most NFL MVP awards, 1957-present

TeamNumberLast Winner
Packers10QB Aaron Rodgers, 2021
Colts9QB Peyton Manning, 2009
49ers5QB Steve Young, 1994
Browns4QB Brian Sipe, 1980
Rams4QB Kurt Warner, 2001
Broncos3QB Peyton Manning, 2013
Patriots3QB Tom Brady, 2017
Raiders3QB Rich Gannon, 2002
Vikings3RB Adrian Peterson, 2012
Commanders3QB Joe Theismann, 1982

NFL MVP award winners by position, 1957-present

Quarterback48Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens, 2023
Running Back18Adrian Peterson, Minnesota Vikings, 2012
Defensive Tackle1Alan Page, Minnesota Vikings, 1971
Kicker1Mark Moseley, Washington, 1982
Linebacker1Lawrence Taylor, New York Giants, 1986

Popular NFL futures bets

Betting on NFL futures usually means wagering on season-long outcomes. This includes betting on the winner of the AFC or NFC, the Super Bowl or the MVP. Futures can remain active from the time NFL odds come out through most or all of the season, depending on what you’re wagering on.

Futures betting requires a long-term perspective, as you don’t receive any payouts and your wager is locked up until the outcome on which you’re betting is official.

For the MVP award specifically, the outcome can be subjective. A panel of writers votes on the award. It’s another layer to consider for betting strategy.

As an example, the vote totals of a player who is not well-regarded on a personal level by members of the media can be affected, regardless of that player’s accomplishments on the field.


What is the official name of the MVP award?

The Associated Press NFL Most Valuable Player Award has been an annual accolade since 1957. While there are other honors handed out at the conclusion of the season, this is the only MVP award that’s officially sanctioned by the NFL.

How is the NFL MVP award decided?

A panel of 50 sportswriters votes on the NFL MVP at the conclusion of the regular season. The writers make a single selection each, with each vote equaling one point. The player with the most votes/points wins the award.

Has there ever been a unanimous NFL MVP?

Yes, this has happened twice. Tom Brady received 50 out of 50 votes while winning his second MVP award with the New England Patriots in 2010. Lamar Jackson of the Baltimore Ravens was a unanimous pick in 2019 and came one vote short of being the unanimous pick when he won the award again in 2023.

How many players have won multiple NFL MVP awards?

Eleven NFL players have been multiple-time MVPs. Peyton Manning has won the most with five, followed by Aaron Rodgers with four. Jim Brown is among the four players who have won three each, and he is also the only non-QB to win multiple times. Lamar Jackson is the most recent player to join the list, winning his second MVP for the 2023 season.

Who was the last player to win consecutive NFL MVP awards?

Aaron Rodgers in 2020 and 2021. Prior to Rodgers, the last player to turn the trick was Peyton Manning in 2008-09. In the history of the award, just five players have won in consecutive years.