The No. 13 BYU Cougars (6-0) will face the visiting Oklahoma State Cowboys (3-3) this Friday night in a Big 12 matchup. The game will kick off at 10:15 p.m. ET in Provo, Utah, with ESPN on the broadcast.
BYU is a 9.5-point favorite on the spread, with Oklahoma State at +265 on the moneyline in college football Week 8 odds. The over/under line for this one is 53.5 points.
The Cougars have already dispatched capable foes in Kansas State (38-9) and Arizona (41-19) at home with balanced offensive attacks. The Cowboys had a 42-10 road loss versus Kansas State and a 38-14 home defeat to West Virginia before a bye in Week 7. They’ve now lost three straight games.
We also cover a sportsbook promotion ahead of the matchup.
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How Ollie Gordon II could get over 62.5 rushing yards
Coming off a massive season with 1,732 rushing yards and 21 touchdowns, Gordon has had just 3.8 yards per carry this year, and the Cowboys have yet to break 150 rushing yards as a team. However, last year Gordon rushed for 166 yards and five touchdowns in a double-overtime win over BYU, so this matchup could be favorable for the Doak Walker winner to break out.
Gordon dealt with some early-season distractions that could have impacted his struggles, and his talent could eventually shine through despite Oklahoma State’s diminished offensive line. BYU’s defense is strong against the run but even better against the pass, so don’t expect a ton of dropbacks from Alan Bowman. The Cougars are allowing 119.6 rushing yards per game, but they rank fourth in the nation in opponent yards per attempt (5.2) and completion rate (50.76%).
How Ollie Gordon II could get under 62.5 rushing yards
Even the most talented running backs need blocking to produce. Gordon has routinely been corralled around the line of scrimmage because his offensive line is struggling, and stud tackle Jake Springfield (leg) isn’t likely to suit up this week.
The Cowboys got whooped on both sides of the line of scrimmage by West Virginia on Oct. 5, losing the rushing battle by a ridiculous margin (389-36), so if BYU has success running the ball, the Cougars could bleed clock and force Gordon to become a receiver more often in a negative game script. Gordon has only topped 50 rushing yards once this season against a Power Four opponent.
How Jake Retzlaff could get over 229.5 passing yards
Retzlaff has been consistent this season with a 60.3% completion rate and 147.5 passer rating per ESPN. The junior has multiple options to target in a balanced attack, with Darius Lassiter and Chase Roberts keeping defenses honest. Because Oklahoma State has struggled to run the ball, Cowboys games have featured a ton of passing, with their opponents generating 257.4 yards on 31.8 passing attempts per game.
The Cowboys’ defense is allowing opponents to pick up first downs on 58.75% of third-down conversions, which ranks 130th among FBS teams. Retzlaff has received great pass protection this season, with a minuscule 1.71% sack rate, so he’ll likely have time to pick apart a struggling secondary.
How Jake Retzlaff could get under 229.5 passing yards
The Cougars will face off against a struggling Cowboys front that just gave up 389 rushing yards to West Virginia. BYU runs on about 50% of offensive plays and doesn’t necessarily seek explosive plays, with a modest average of 7.4 yards per attempt.
Retzlaff has gone under 229.5 yards in three straight games and only needed to pass for 149 yards when the Cougars handled Kansas State at home in their last premier matchup. Part of that low production came from BYU’s defense forcing three turnovers to create short fields. The Cougars are a well-rounded team that doesn’t necessarily need to lean on its junior quarterback to pass for 230-plus yards.