Gregg Berhalter is out, and Mauricio Pochettino is in for the USMNT, but despite the new manager, the odds for the US to win the World Cup have remained the same.
Although the US is at +4000 in World Cup odds, according to BetMGM Sportsbook, the team is still one of the book’s largest liabilities, taking 14.4% of the handle. Spain and Brazil round out the top three largest liabilities at BetMGM.
How have the USMNT World Cup odds evolved?
After the US was ousted 3-1 against the Netherlands in the knockout round of the 2022 World Cup, oddsmakers set the team’s line for the 2026 event. The United States opened at +1800 to win it all on home turf, but since then, the odds have continued to slip following poor performances on the international stage.
- Opening odds (2022): +1800
- Odds before Copa America (June 2024): +2500
- Odds after Berhalter firing (July 2024): +3300
- Current odds to win the World Cup: +4000
The simplest answer to this movement is likely that with the US team performing worse, its odds continue to slip. Berhalter might not have had that much effect on odds after all. With Pochettino coming in to lead this United States team at the 2026 World Cup, it will be interesting to watch how the odds shift.
BetMGM’s liabilities heading into 2026
As previously stated, BetMGM’s top liabilities heading into the World Cup are Spain, the US, and Brazil. Below is a breakdown of that information, including the 10 teams with the largest liabilities, their opening odds, and current odds.
| Team | Opening odds | Current odds | Handle % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | +1000 | +650 | 14.8% |
| USA | +1800 | +4000 | 14.4% |
| Brazil | +600 | +600 | 13.5% |
| France | +600 | +600 | 10.6% |
| England | +700 | +700 | 7.0% |
| Argentina | +900 | +800 | 5.6% |
| Germany | +900 | +900 | 5.7% |
| Portugal | +1400 | +1400 | 8.2% |
| Colombia | +5000 | +3300 | 6.9% |
| Italy | +1200 | +2500 | 2.5% |
