Sizable Underdog Peru Looking To Upset Improving Canada

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Sizable Underdog Peru Looking To Upset Improving Canada

Peru, opening as an underdog at +225, will aim to extend its unbeaten streak to six games when it takes on Canada (+148) in Kansas City on Tuesday. La Blanquirroja began their Copa America campaign with a hard-fought 0-0 draw against Chile over the weekend.

They defended diligently throughout the game, which will please manager Jorge Fossati.

The Peruvians have picked up three wins and two draws from five matches since Fossati replaced Carlos Compagnucci as head coach in December 2023.

However, in Copa America betting, the sportsbooks have Peru as the underdog for this game. Canada lost 2-0 to Argentina in its opening game of the tournament.

Peru vs. Canada live odds

Peru vs. Canada player props

Peru might have to take more risks to win this game

La Blanquirroja have conceded just one goal in five games since Fossati took the reins. They looked organized and disciplined against Chile on Matchday 1, and they did well to keep Alexis Sánchez and Eduardo Vargas quiet throughout the game. However, they did not show a great deal of ambition in attack.

The Peruvians had just 35% of the possession in that game, and they only managed seven shots on goal. They may need to take more risks, commit more men forward, and try to play more balls into the box if they hope to beat Canada on Tuesday. They have dangerous forwards in Gianluca Lapadula and Edison Flores, but those players need better service.

Canada’s path to victory likely includes Jonathan David 

Jonathan David is coming off an impressive season for Lille. He scored more goals than any other player apart from Kylian Mbappé in Ligue 1, and some of Europe’s biggest clubs are reportedly interested in signing him this summer. David has scored 26 goals in 49 games for Canada.

He could not find the back of the net against Argentina on Matchday 1, but the Argentinian defense is extremely strong. David may get more chances in front of goal when he takes on Peru in this game. After all, the Peruvians are currently bottom of the South American 2026 World Cup qualifying group, with eight goals conceded in six games so far. La Blanquirroja have looked stronger in friendlies this year, but their recent record in competitive matches is poor, so they will need to work hard to contain David.

Peru expected starting 11

Peru’s manager typically sets his team up in a 3-5-2 formation. He could keep faith in the same starting XI that drew 0-0 with Chile on Matchday 1. If so, veteran goalkeeper Pedro Gallesse will start between the sticks, while Miguel Araujo, Carlos Zambrano, and Alexander Callens will form an experienced back-three.

Luis Advíncula and Andy Polo play as wing-backs, but they are likely to sit deep alongside Araujo, Zambrano, and Callens for large portions of this game, as Peru will likely need to work hard to counter Canada’s rapid wingers. Sergio Peña could keep his place alongside Wilder Cartagena and youngster Piero Quispe in midfield, with Gianluca Lapadula and Edison Flores up front. Paolo Guerrero, Peru’s 40-year-old captain, offers another option in attack.

Canada expected starting 11

Maxime Crépau will start in goal for Canada. Bayern Munich’s Alphonso Davies will play in his preferred left-back role, with Derek Cornelius and Moïse Bombito in the center of Canada’s defense and Alistair Johnson on the right. Stephen Eustáquio and Ismaël Koné are likely to keep their places in midfield.

Tajon Buchanan provides pace and power down the right flank. Liam Millar could start on the left side of midfield, as he often links up well with Davies, while Cyle Larin will partner Jonathan David in attack. Jonathan Osorio, Richie Laryea, Jacob Shaffelburg, and Jacen Russell-Rowe all came on in the second half against Argentina on Matchday 1, and they could see more minutes when Canada faces Peru.

Photo by Associated Press