Last season was a disastrous one for the Houston Texans. Going into 2022, the team has finally put an end to the Deshaun Watson era after he spent a year on the sidelines, and hired Lovie Smith to help right the ship.
In the current hierarchy of the NFL, the latest Super Bowl odds help to confirm that Houston is in the bottom tier, but there’s still some intrigue about how the latest rebuild will shake out. The Texans open the year at home in Week 1 with a visit from the rival Indianapolis Colts. Here’s a closer look at the latest Texans betting odds and angles.
Houston Texans odds: Spread, moneyline and over/under
Week 1 odds: Texans open as huge underdogs vs. Colts
The Texans had a dismal 2021 season at 4-13, leaving the team in third place in the AFC South. The Colts finished a place ahead of them at 9-8. The club failed to make the postseason thanks to a stunning Week 18 loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars.
Preseason future odds are painting a similar picture. Sportsbooks expect Indianapolis to compete for the division crown, while Houston is looking like an also-ran.
- Moneyline: The Texans are the biggest moneyline underdog for Week 1 of the NFL season. Indianapolis handily won both meetings with its division rival last season: 31-3 at home in Week 6 and 31-0 at Houston in Week 13.
- Spread: The Colts are 7.5-point road favorites, which is currently the largest spread on the board for Week 1. Houston was 8-9 against the spread a season ago, while Indianapolis was 10-7.
- Over/Under: For the first week of the NFL regular season, there are seven games with a current over/under of between 44 and 47 points, including this one (44.5). The Texans and Colts were both 8-9 on overs last year.
Houston Texans odds to win the Super Bowl
Last Updated: June 30
DraftKings Sportsbook released Super Bowl lines this past January. The Texans were one of the last options on the board at +10000. The number has since plummeted to +25000, which leaves Houston as the last of the 32 options on the list.
The Texans are clearly in rebuild mode, so the chances of the team actually competing for rings are beyond remote. Houston also appears likely to finish in the basement of the AFC South. The Buffalo Bills and Tampa Bay Buccaneers are the current betting favorites to win the Super Bowl.
Houston Texans futures odds for 2022-23
The Texans may be well behind the pack when it comes to Super Bowl contenders, but you can still make your picks on how things will shake out for the team in other areas. Here’s a look at the latest NFL lines for Houston on some other futures bets:
Regular season win total
The Texans struggled to a record of 4-13 last year. DraftKings has set the line in the same neighborhood at 4.5, which is the lowest of the 32 teams. Houston opens the season at home against the Indianapolis Colts.
Odds to win the AFC South
BetMGM Sportsbook: +2500
The odds at BetMGM see little chance of the Texans winning the division. The Colts are the favorites at -105, followed by the Tennessee Titans at +135 and the Jacksonville Jaguars at +700.
Odds to win the AFC
Caesars Sportsbook: +12500
The Texans are also the last pick on the board to win the AFC. For perspective, the next-to-last New York Jets have odds of +8000. The Bills are the current AFC favorites at +350, followed by the Kansas City Chiefs at +525.
Davis Mills NFL MVP odds
FanDuel Sportsbook: +10000
Houston had one of the worst offenses in the league a season ago. A dramatic leap forward doesn’t appear to be in the cards, either. Davis Mills has been doing his best under trying circumstances, but the focus is on showing some growth as opposed to racking up accolades.
Season-long player prop odds
- Most passing yards: Davis Mills +6000
- Most rushing yards: Marlon Mack +10000
- Most receiving yards: Brandin Cooks +5000
The league’s poorer teams can play from behind often, so they may have chances to accrue some yardage. That said, it’s also a new system for a rebuilding team, so the chances of any of the above leading the league are incredibly slim.
Houston Texans schedule
|1||Sept. 11||vs. Indianapolis Colts||1 p.m. ET||IND -7.5||Colts (-380), Texans (+290)||44.5 pts|
|2||Sept. 18||at Denver Broncos||4:25 p.m. ET|
|3||Sept. 25||at Chicago Bears||1 p.m. ET|
|4||Oct. 2||vs. Los Angeles Chargers||1 p.m. ET|
|5||Oct. 9||at Jacksonville Jaguars||1 p.m. ET|
|7||Oct. 23||at Las Vegas Raiders||4:05 p.m. ET|
|8||Oct. 30||vs. Tennessee Titans||4:05 p.m. ET|
|9||Nov. 3||vs. Philadelphia Eagles||7:15 p.m. ET|
|10||Nov. 13||at New York Giants||1 p.m. ET|
|11||Nov. 20||vs. Washington Commanders||1 p.m. ET|
|12||Nov. 27||at Miami Dolphins||1 p.m. ET|
|13||Dec. 4||vs. Cleveland Browns||1 p.m. ET|
|14||Dec. 11||at Dallas Cowboys||1 p.m. ET|
|15||Dec. 18||vs. Kansas City Chiefs||1 p.m. ET|
|16||Dec. 25||at Tennessee Titans||1 p.m. ET|
|17||Jan. 1||vs. Jacksonville Jaguars||1 p.m. ET|
|18||Jan. 7 OR Jan. 8||at Indianapolis Colts||TBD|
Houston Texans news and notes
In early February, the Texans hired Lovie Smith as head coach to replace David Culley. The team also finally parted ways with Watson, shipping him to the Cleveland Browns for a bounty of draft picks. S Justin Reid and LB Jake Martin left via free agency, while new additions include CB Steven Nelson and DE Mario Addison.
In the NFL draft, Houston owned the third-overall pick and spent it on CB Derek Stingley Jr. The team followed that by selecting OG Kenyon Green with the 15th pick, and S Jalen Pitre and WR John Metchie III in round two. The Texans added some pieces in a few key areas throughout the offseason, but this is a club that’s clearly looking to the future.
Houston Texans FAQ
Will the Texans be any better this season?
The Texans appear to be on track for another challenging year. Houston finished last season at 4-13. Current futures odds have the team pegged for last place in the AFC South, while the regular-season win line is at 4.5 at DraftKings.
How did the Texans do against the spread last year?
The Texans were 8-9 against the spread a season ago. Houston was 4-13 on the moneyline and in the middle on the over/under at 8-9.
Whom did the Texans add and lose in the offseason?
The Texans traded Deshaun Watson to the Browns for draft picks in March. New arrivals via free agency include Steven Nelson and Mario Addison, while the team’s top picks at the NFL draft were Derek Stingley Jr. and Kenyon Green.
Who is the starting QB for the Texans?
Davis Mills looks like the Week 1 starter for the Texans. The team signed Kyle Allen in free agency, and also currently has QBs Jeff Driskel and Kevin Hogan on the roster.