NFL QB Passing Props 2023


Last Updated

As we get set for the NFL conference championships and look ahead to which teams will be squaring off at Super Bowl 57, legal online sportsbooks are ready with odds for both upcoming games. There will also be an assortment of NFL passing props. You can take your chances on things like over/unders on yards, passing TDs and the longest completion for the four quarterbacks who will be in action this weekend. Let’s take a look at some of this week’s top options and the latest odds for NFL QB passing props.

NFL QB passing props for the conference championship games

In the table below, you’ll see the latest passing prop odds for top QBs in this week’s games. If you find a prop that you like, click on the bet to be directed to the sportsbook to place the wager.

NFL passing props for conference championships

Three of the top four favorites in MVP futures betting will be playing in the conference championship games, while the fourth starter is among the top choices for offensive rookie of the year odds. Beyond betting on how that will shake out, you can also wager on other items on the NFL player prop betting menu.

For those who will be lining up under center, what’s in store when they take turns under the bright lights of playoff football? Here’s a look at some of the top NFL QB passing props for this week’s matchups.

Over/under passing yard props for the NFL conference championships

Oddsmakers will set a line for QB passing yards for each of a game’s starters. Bettors then get to choose if the quarterback will go over or under the line. While there are only two choices to make, it’s not exactly easy to make the right call. Here are the over/under passing yard props and current odds for the conference championships.

Passing TD prop bets for the NFL conference championships

You can also take your chances on how many points the QBs will help put on the board, as in how many passing TDs they’ll get. This bet is also in an over/under format. Here are the latest lines for passing TD props for this week’s starters.

Longest completion props for the NFL conference championships

Long pass plays fill the highlight reels. Bettors can wager on the longest passing play for each starter during the game. So which QBs have a memorable play up their sleeves for the conference title? Here are the current odds for longest completion prop bets.

What are QB passing props?

You can bet on the performance of the league’s top quarterbacks with passing props. When the season is underway, there will be options for each game all season long. For example, you could place over/under bets on passing yardage or TDs.

In the offseason, there are season-long props available for betting in the futures market, some of which are also in an over/under format, and you can also bet on the league leaders in various categories.

Which QBs have the best chance to lead the league this year?

Heading into the season, Justin Herbert and Tom Brady, who finished first and second in last year’s arms race, were on top of the odds charts. Those odds continued to evolve as the season moved along, but a clear leader emerged down the stretch and never relinquished the lead. Patrick Mahomes took this year’s passing crown by throwing for 5,250 yards. Justin Herbert finished in second at 4,739, with Tom Brady in third at 4,694.

How NFL player props work

While the exact options may differ depending on where you bet, here’s a look at the top QB passing props and how they work:

Most passing yards 

For this wager, the goal is to pick the QB who will lead the league in passing yards for the season. Sportsbooks will have the latest NFL betting lines for all of the candidates, ranging from the top favorites down to extreme long shots. The odds at the top may look like this:

Thanks to the positive odds across the board, there’s the chance for some exceptional returns, even when wagering on favorites. At odds of +600, a winning $10 bet would return $60 in profit, while $50 would bring back $300.

When trying to project season leaders, be sure to weigh factors like injury risk, available weapons on offense and continuity on the coaching staff.

Most passing TDs

You can also place your bets on which QB will lead the league in passing TDs. The bet works in the same fashion as betting on the passing yards leader. Tom Brady led the league in passing TDs last year with 43, followed by Matthew Stafford with 41.

Starting QB props

If there’s a potential QB controversy brewing for the preseason, sportsbooks will release odds on who will be the starter in Week 1.

It’s yet another way to stay engaged until the games that matter get underway.

Attempts, completions and INTs

When the regular season begins, there will be props available for the other main stats for QBs, including attempts, completions and interceptions. You’ll be able to bet on them individually at various sportsbooks, and some books will also let you include these props in single-game parlays.

QB passing over/unders

For individual games, many QB props are available in the over/under format. There are also some options in the season-long category with the odds and lines typically coming out in the latter part of the offseason.

TDs and passing yardage are the most popular season-long options. They’re available at most online sportsbooks as a result. Some books will expand the menu even further with interceptions and other stats. 

Who led the NFL in passing last year?

Father time has yet to win the battle with Brady, as he led the league in passing yards last year. After his brief retirement, he’s among the favorites to do so once again. Here are the top 10 leaders from last season along with their total passing yards.

RankPlayerTeamYards
1Tom BradyTampa Bay Buccaneers5,316
2Justin HerbertLos Angeles Chargers5,014
3Matthew StaffordLos Angeles Rams4,886
4Patrick MahomesKansas City Chiefs4,839
5Derek CarrLas Vegas Raiders4,804
6Joe BurrowCincinnati Bengals4,611
7Dak PrescottDallas Cowboys4,449
8Josh AllenBuffalo Bills4,407
9Kirk CousinsMinnesota Vikings4,221
10Aaron RodgersGreen Bay Packers4,115

Recent NFL passing yard leaders

If we look back over the past decade, several league leaders in passing yards have retired, while Brady is among the previous champs who are still standing. Will we see a new name atop the board this time around? While we wait for the answer, here are the last 10 years of passing yardage champs.

SeasonPlayerTeamYards
2021Tom BradyTampa Bay Buccaneers5,316
2020Deshaun WatsonHouston Texans4,823
2019Jameis WinstonTampa Bay Buccaneers5,109
2018Ben RoethlisbergerPittsburgh Steelers5,129
2017Tom BradyNew England Patriots4,577
2016Drew BreesNew Orleans Saints5,208
2015Drew BreesNew Orleans Saints4,870
2014 (tie)Drew BreesNew Orleans Saints4,952
2014 (tie)Ben RoethlisbergerPittsburgh Steelers4,952
2013Payton ManningDenver Broncos5,477
2012Drew BreesNew Orleans Saints5,177

FAQ

What happens to NFL passing props if a QB gets injured? 

For season-long props, an injury that happens in advance of the season tends to void bets, but that ceases to be the case as soon as Week 1 gets underway. For individual games, it works the same way: Void and refund prior to game time; in play once the action kicks off.

Which QB threw for the most yards in a single season?  

Peyton Manning holds the record with 5,477 yards. He set the mark while playing for the Denver Broncos in 2013. Drew Brees is second with a 5,476-yard season for the New Orleans Saints in 2011.

Which QB has led the NFL in passing yards the most times?  

Drew Brees has the record with seven passing titles, all of which he won as a member of the Saints. Sonny Jurgensen and Dan Marino are tied for second with five league-leading seasons apiece.

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