Brazil is the heavy favorite at -220 to get the better of Colombia, Paraguay, and Costa Rica in Group D at Copa America. The Samba Boys will be missing star player Neymar, who has been sidelined with a knee injury. However, they still boast a wealth of attacking talent, and they are also solid on defense, so they are among the leading contenders for glory at this tournament.

Colombia also has a strong squad, so the sportsbooks expect Los Cafeteros to qualify for the quarterfinals at the expense of Paraguay and Costa Rica. However, Paraguay has an excellent record at Copa America, and it has enough firepower to cause problems for its opponents in this group. We go over all four teams below, along with the best Copa America odds available on each of them.

Copa America Group D winner odds

Copa America Group D odds to qualify

Paraguay vs. Colombia odds

Costa Rica vs. Brazil odds

2024 Copa America Group D

Copa America 2024 Group D

Brazil is the overwhelming favorite to win Group D. However, Colombia is on a remarkable 21-game unbeaten streak, which included a 2-1 victory over Brazil in November 2023. Meanwhile, Paraguay has an excellent record of reaching the knockout stage of this tournament, so Group D could be fascinating.

Brazil

Losing Neymar for this tournament was undoubtedly a major blow, but the Brazilians have enough quality to cope with his absence. Vinícius Júnior and Rodrygo have been in fine form for Real Madrid, and they will bring pace and dynamism to Brazil’s attack. Teenage sensation Endrick also has the world at his feet, while the likes of Richarlison, Gabriel Martinelli, Gabriel Jesus, and Raphinha offer added firepower.

The midfield is likewise impressive, as Bruno Guimarães, Lucas Paquetá, and Douglas Luiz offer energetic alternatives to veteran Casemiro. Marquinhos runs a tight ship at the back, and Alisson is a world-class goalkeeper, so there are no real weaknesses on the Brazilian team.

However, recent results have been poor. Brazil is winless in its last four 2026 World Cup qualifying games, including a 2-1 defeat to Colombia. On the bright side, it recently appointed a new manager, Dorival Júnior. He led the team to a 1-0 win against England and then a 3-3 draw with Spain in two recent friendlies, so things are looking up for the Seleção.

Colombia

Colombia was in disarray after failing to qualify for the 2022 World Cup. The country’s soccer chiefs responded by firing manager Reinaldo Rueda and bringing in Argentinian coach Néstor Lorenzo to replace him. Since then, the Colombians have been invincible.

They are unbeaten in their last 21 games in all competitions. Los Cafeteros have secured three wins and three draws in six games in South America’s 2026 World Cup qualifying group. The 2-1 victory over Brazil was certainly the highlight, but they will also take confidence from a 1-0 away win against Paraguay in November 2023.

The Colombian squad features a strong blend of youth and experience. Their most dangerous player is Liverpool forward Luis Díaz, but Rafael Santos Borré also has an eye for goal, and veteran captain James Rodríguez remains a superb playmaker. The defense lacks experience, but it has been solid in recent months.

Paraguay

Paraguay will aim to win a third Copa America title this summer. La Albirroja were victorious in 1953 and 1979, and their recent record at this tournament is strong. They have qualified for the knockout stage in six of the past seven editions of Copa America, including a runner-up finish in 2011.

However, they are winless in their last five games against both Brazil and Colombia. That does not augur well for their chances of success in Group D, but they do have some talented forwards. Julio Enciso has been excellent for Brighton, while Ángel Romero of Corinthians is a reliable striker, and Newcastle’s Miguel Almirón is always a livewire on attack.

Costa Rica

It has been 10 years since Costa Rica shocked everyone by reaching the quarterfinals of the 2014 World Cup. Most of those players have retired, while veterans like Keylor Navas, Joel Campbell, Óscar Duarte, and Celso Borges are past their best.

Los Ticos are trying to rebuild with younger players, but the next generation lacks the quality of the 2014 crop. Costa Rica has lost in the quarterfinals at the last three CONCACAF Gold Cups, and it is now down to No. 52 in the FIFA world rankings. Los Ticos are the heavy underdogs in this group, and they will need to drastically exceed expectations if they are to beat Brazil, Colombia, and Paraguay in Group D.

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Key teams & players to watch in Group D

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2024 Copa America Group D FAQ

Will Casemiro play for Brazil at Copa America?

Casemiro is Brazil’s captain, so he is highly likely to play at Copa America. However, he has looked a little sluggish in Manchester United’s midfield this season, and he faces competition from Bruno Guimarães and Douglas Luiz, so he is not a guaranteed starter.

What formation will Colombia adopt at Copa America?

Colombia manager Néstor Lorenzo typically sets his team up in a 4-2-3-1 formation. Luis Díaz, James Rodriguez, and Mateus Uribe played behind striker Rafael Santos Borré in the recent 2-1 win against Brazil, so Lorenzo could stick with that attacking quartet at Copa America.

Who will captain Paraguay at Copa America?

Palmeiras defender Gustavo Gómez is the Paraguayan captain. He did not feature for La Albirroja in their recent friendlies, but he is likely to be back in the squad for Copa America.

Who is the manager of the Costa Rican team?

Gustavo Alfaro took over leading the Costa Rican squad in 2023. He replaced Colombian coach Luis Fernando Suárez, who was fired after a poor run of results. Costa Rica has two wins and three defeats in five games since Alfaro took the reins, so the jury is still out on the Argentinian coach.