Among the most popular pregame prop bets for bettors on this year’s Super Bowl is the line on more than 2.5 players to attempt a pass. That’s according to data from DraftKings, which put the “yes” option for that bet among its most popular Super Bowl props for this year’s game between the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles.
Below, we’ll look at the best odds for this particular prop bet, and what history has to tell us about its likelihood.
Odds on over 2.5 players attempting a Super Bowl pass
Super Bowl 57 is a showdown between two quarterbacks who’ve had big years for their teams in Patrick Mahomes and Jalen Hurts. The Chiefs got a scare when Mahomes briefly went down with a high-ankle sprain in their first playoff game, while the Eagles hit their only slump of the regular season when Hurts was out with an injured shoulder.
It’s safe to say that both are important offensive weapons to their respective teams, but does that mean they’ll be the only ones to throw the ball at this year’s Super Bowl?
DraftKings started out with a line of +165 on more than 2.5 players attempting a pass, but that line has since narrowed to +140. Historically, even teams with great quarterbacks sometimes see other plays throw at least one pass in the Super Bowl.
In last year’s game, both the L.A. Rams and Cincinnati Bengals had one pass attempt by a non-quarterback. The last two times the Chiefs played in the Super Bowl, however, Mahomes was the only one to throw a pass for his team. The opposing quarterback also attempted all the passes for his side in both those games.
Popular prop bets
Super Bowls do tend to be a time when some teams show up with at least one trick play ready to go, whether it’s a pass by a running back or receiver or a fake field goal that turns into a passing attempt by the holder.
One extra variable for this year’s game is that both teams have dealt with some injuries at quarterback. Even without a trick play, there’s always a chance that trouble with Mahomes’ ankle or Hurts’ shoulder could force them out of the game at least long enough for a backup to attempt a pass. There’s also the possibility that a blowout in either direction could bring in someone other than the starting quarterback to heave at least one ball through the air.